FSU almost certain for the FInal 4

[AU64 10,122]

FSU won the only other really big game they play this year and is almost certain the Final 4....almost like giving them a bye right to the playoffs.

So, that leaves the SEC's big 4, Oregon,somebody from the Big 12 and maybe Mich State fighting for the other 3 spots. Couple folks objected to the AU-OM game as being referred to as an elimination game but I'm afraid that's what it has come down to now in our conference.

JMO but by midnight Saturday, AU or OM will have to try and pull themselves together to avoid further loses after the disappointment of being eliminated from the playoffs. As Gus noted, essentially in the SEC now, every game is an elimination game for someone.

[cooltigger21 0]

That game last night was the best chance to keep them out. I still think that once they get there they will run up against a team that will take care of them. I rest easy knowing that no matter what happens, any gains they have will eventually be wiped out due to their handling of Famous Jameis and the rest of the football team. The school is going to get hammered in these lawsuits. Feds are going to be all over them. Jimbo will end up losing his job and be lucky to get an assistant job at a DII school. JW will move on to the NFL and get kicked out within 3 years and end up in prison.

[DKW 86 7,419]

FSU has to have the weakest SOS in the Top Ten.

http://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/ranking/strength-of-schedule-by-team

1 Auburn (6-1) 41.2 1 16 1

2 Texas A&M (4-3) 40.2 2 26 2

3 LSU (6-2) 39.4 3 58 14

4 Oklahoma (5-2) 38.7 1 52 8

5 Tennessee (2-5) 38.5 3 69 7

6 Mississippi (7-1) 38.0 6 76 9

7 Alabama (7-1) 37.9 2 68 3

8 Miss State (7-0) 37.2 4 83 5

9 Arkansas (3-4) 36.7 2 20 4

10 Kansas St (5-1) 35.9 1 35 6

11 Baylor (5-1) 35.9 8 119 12

12 S Carolina (3-4) 35.5 3 33 24

13 W Virginia (5-2) 34.8 1 58 10

14 USC (5-3) 33.6 14 70 23

15 Florida (3-3) 33.6 9 109 17

16 TX Christian (5-1) 33.2 2 58 11

17 Texas Tech (2-5) 32.9 8 81 30

18 Arizona St (5-1) 32.9 12 112 21

19 Wash State (1-6) 32.6 11 72 26

20 Stanford (4-3) 32.6 5 105 16

21 Georgia (6-1) 32.4 4 39 18

22 Notre Dame (6-1) 32.0 22 108 29

23 UCLA (6-2) 31.9 12 54 15

24 Miami (FL) (4-3) 31.8 7 75 31

25 Florida St (7-0) 31.4 1 47 33

26 Oregon (6-1) 31.3 14 70 20

27 Clemson (5-2) 31.3 1 27 13

28 Washington (4-3) 31.2 21 114 37

29 Kentucky (4-3) 31.2 27 105 62

30 Arizona (6-1) 31.1 17 71 19

31 Louisville (5-3) 30.9 31 78 48

32 California (3-4) 30.8 23 100 38

33 Texas (3-5) 30.7 13 58 35

34 Oklahoma St (4-3) 30.6 1 55 28

35 Utah (5-1) 30.4 24 117 46

36 Nebraska (6-1) 30.3 29 91 34

37 N Carolina (3-4) 30.1 24 80 25

38 Missouri (5-2) 29.9 3 73 22

39 Oregon St (3-3) 29.6 24 109 54

40 Vanderbilt (1-6) 29.6 38 118 57

[Dual-Threat Rigby 8,662]

They're kind of like a better Ohio State

[NoALtiger 3,850]

Yeah, you can pretty much pencil them in a playoff spot and as 64 said earlier, the OM game is clearly an elimination game at this point. I thought it was already, but for sure now.

[keesler 5,924]

FSU's on a 24 game winning streak and while they have a weak SOS, they've also played a few really good teams in that 24 game streak ~ they've had some lucky breaks go their way but they've also made their own luck a time or two to tally a W.

[AU-24 3,063]

With only one week of the playoff committee results, I think it is possible for a one loss team to leap FSU. Problem is

allot of those one loss teams, play each other.

I think if the committee really considered SOS, a one loss team or two could jump FSU.

[weagl1 1,782]

If they do make the playoff and we are also able to run our gauntlet I fear they will pass us silly. Put Winston under pressure and he can't do crap. We got to him the first half last year and Louisville also did it last night. But let him stand back there as he did in the second half of both games and he will pick you apart. Let's face it, we are unable to get any pressure from our front 4 and until that improves we will get picked apart.

[cooltigger21 0]

If they do make the playoff and we are also able to run our gauntlet I fear they will pass us silly. Put Winston under pressure and he can't do crap. We got to him the first half last year and Louisville also did it last night. But let him stand back there as he did in the second half of both games and he will pick you apart. Let's face it, we are unable to get any pressure from our front 4 and until that improves we will get picked apart.

If our pass rush doesn't start to materialize, you can forget making the playoff.

[mcgufcm 4,096]

The SEC has a big 5. UGA has better odds to make it than any of the West division teams.

[tgr4lfe 220]

The remaining slate for those big 5 from the SEC is a defacto playoff, win and keep fighting for that spot, loss and probably eliminated from it. In Auburn's case, it is a month long 4 game playoff, with 3 of the 4 games ON THE ROAD (@ Ole Miss, @ UGA, @ UAT).

[weagl1 1,782]

The SEC has a big 5. UGA has better odds to make it than any of the West division teams.

Yes. We have the toughest route of any contender and they gave the easiest. Even if they lose to AU they still get to the SEC championship game and whoever from the west survives will be coming off a very physical and emotional game against a top 10 ten team (be it the egg bowl or the iron bowl) and UGA will be waiting in Atlanta and coming off an easy win over GA Tech.

[AU64 10,122]

The SEC has a big 5. UGA has better odds to make it than any of the West division teams.

Yes. We have the toughest route of any contender and they gave the easiest. Even if they lose to AU they still get to the SEC championship game and whoever from the west survives will be coming off a very physical and emotional game against a top 10 ten team (be it the egg bowl or the iron bowl) and UGA will be waiting in Atlanta and coming off an easy win over GA Tech.

UGa may have a better chance than any particular SEC West team to get to Atlanta....but after that, I don't think so. As for whether the SEC W survivor might not be ready to play their best because of coming off an emotional win....I don't think history is on your side there.

Winning fuels emotion and teams seeing their dreams still in front of them are not inclined to let down after a big win. Generally it's the loser of a BIG game late in a season that has a hard time getting over their bubble being burst...bama's Sugar bowl disasters for example. The winner of the Iron Bowl or Egg Bowl...whichever matters...should be stoked and ready for the next challenge. JMO

[NoALtiger 3,850]

The SEC has a big 5. UGA has better odds to make it than any of the West division teams.

Yes. We have the toughest route of any contender and they gave the easiest. Even if they lose to AU they still get to the SEC championship game and whoever from the west survives will be coming off a very physical and emotional game against a top 10 ten team (be it the egg bowl or the iron bowl) and UGA will be waiting in Atlanta and coming off an easy win over GA Tech.

Yeah, I'd have to say the Iron Bowl last year is about as tough as it gets on the physical/emotional scale. Let's ask Mizzou how that worked out.

[Mikey 16,576]

We have to give FSU some credit, like them or not. They've won a bunch of games and won big ones by coming through in the clutch. I don't think a one-loss team will pass an undefeated FSU but that's not important anyway. At least three one loss teams would have to pass them to keep them out of the playoffs and that will not happen.

[bigman334 56]

i cant hate on FSU. they continue to win. Doesnt matter how. it takes a lot of luck to win every game. so getting lucky shouldnt count against them. all that matters is that you continue to win.

[cooltigger21 0]

Oh they have done what they needed to do to win games. Up until all of this stuff with JW came about I actually liked them and pulled for them to win a lot of the time. It's a pity that they have allowed things to get to the point they have where there on field accomplishments are diminished by all the rest. They brought on themselves so I have no pity for them.