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Are we headed towards another recession?


AFTiger

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http://www.salon.com/2013/08/22/are_we_headed_towards_another_recession_newscred/

With industrial production lagging and the jobs market in the toilet, our economy is moving in the wrong direction

A country experiences an economic slowdown when its industrial production lags, its jobs market shows a dismal performance, corporate profits deteriorate, and the general standard of living declines.

Sad to say, this is exactly what the U.S. economy is experiencing right now.

Industrial production in the U.S. economy is anemic. For the month of July, industrial production in the U.S. economy remained unchanged; in June, it saw a menial increase of 0.2%; in May, it was flat; and in April, industrial production declined 0.4%. (Source: Federal Reserve, August 15, 2013.)

Last month, the production of consumer goods in the U.S. economy declined by 0.5%.

Moving onto the jobs market in the U.S. economy, while politicians certainly do a good job at making it sound like the employment picture is improving, the majority of jobs created since the Great Recession have been in low-wage-paying sectors.

Corporate profits, as has been very well documented in these pages, are dismal. Companies in the U.S. economy have found ways to boost their earnings through artificial means, like stock buyback programs, and are cutting costs by reducing their labor force. Sure, these maneuvers make earnings temporarily look better; but when you look at their sales, companies in the U.S. economy are not selling more.

And who will Democrats blame?

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http://www.salon.com/2013/08/22/are_we_headed_towards_another_recession_newscred/

With industrial production lagging and the jobs market in the toilet, our economy is moving in the wrong direction

A country experiences an economic slowdown when its industrial production lags, its jobs market shows a dismal performance, corporate profits deteriorate, and the general standard of living declines.

Sad to say, this is exactly what the U.S. economy is experiencing right now.

Industrial production in the U.S. economy is anemic. For the month of July, industrial production in the U.S. economy remained unchanged; in June, it saw a menial increase of 0.2%; in May, it was flat; and in April, industrial production declined 0.4%. (Source: Federal Reserve, August 15, 2013.)

Last month, the production of consumer goods in the U.S. economy declined by 0.5%.

Moving onto the jobs market in the U.S. economy, while politicians certainly do a good job at making it sound like the employment picture is improving, the majority of jobs created since the Great Recession have been in low-wage-paying sectors.

Corporate profits, as has been very well documented in these pages, are dismal. Companies in the U.S. economy have found ways to boost their earnings through artificial means, like stock buyback programs, and are cutting costs by reducing their labor force. Sure, these maneuvers make earnings temporarily look better; but when you look at their sales, companies in the U.S. economy are not selling more.

And who will Democrats blame?

Same people they always blame,the mean and nasty republicans.If the republicans would have just give in to more stimulus will be there cry.
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Yes we're headed for another recession. This nexr one will make the so called great recession of 2008 look like child's play. All the debt accumulated by the nations of the world is way out of line. It's unsustainable.

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Yes we're headed for another recession. This nexr one will make the so called great recession of 2008 look like child's play. All the debt accumulated by the nations of the world is way out of line. It's unsustainable.

By definition a recession is not really that bad. Part of the regular economic cycles. The downturn we are starting to experience won't be classified as a recession. This could get ugly.

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Well, well, well....how incompetent do you have to be being insistent that the economy is so strong that you need to raise rates to now acknowledging you might need to use negative rates (like Japan, the ECB and Sweden, etc.) all in the same months time...

"Meanwhile, on Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellensaid the U.S. central bank is studying the feasibility of pushing short-term interest rates into negative territory should it need to give the economy a stronger boost."

http://www.foxnews.com/opinion/2016/02/11/janet-yellen-and-negative-interest-rates-america-this-is-last-nail-in-savers-coffin.html

Just what we need, more gov't "experts" in control of the economy...I can see why many of you on here think all we need is more gov't to save us from the last time gov't got involved and "fixed" things...I mean, didn't quantitative easing solve all our problems? Didn't that create inflation and robust economic growth? No, of course not...With experts like Yellen, what could possibly go wrong....

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Well, well, well....how incompetent do you have to be being insistent that the economy is so strong that you need to raise rates to now acknowledging you might need to use negative rates (like Japan, the ECB and Sweden, etc.) all in the same months time...

"Meanwhile, on Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellensaid the U.S. central bank is studying the feasibility of pushing short-term interest rates into negative territory should it need to give the economy a stronger boost."

http://www.foxnews.c...ers-coffin.html

Just what we need, more gov't "experts" in control of the economy...I can see why many of you on here think all we need is more gov't to save us from the last time gov't got involved and "fixed" things...I mean, didn't quantitative easing solve all our problems? Didn't that create inflation and robust economic growth? No, of course not...With experts like Yellen, what could possibly go wrong....

You guys realize the article in the OP is from 2013, right?

As to the prospect of negative rates, that isn't going to happen. If we were going to go down that road it would have been a couple years ago. If you know anything about how the Fed works and the role of the Chair, then you know that markets are hyper sensitive to even the language used by the Chair--which is why the notion of negative rates was teased.

Your tragically misunderstood conception of macroeconomic policy notwithstanding, quantitative easing did aid in limiting the recession. And are you questioning Yellen's ability to serve as Fed Chair?

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Well, well, well....how incompetent do you have to be being insistent that the economy is so strong that you need to raise rates to now acknowledging you might need to use negative rates (like Japan, the ECB and Sweden, etc.) all in the same months time...

"Meanwhile, on Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellensaid the U.S. central bank is studying the feasibility of pushing short-term interest rates into negative territory should it need to give the economy a stronger boost."

http://www.foxnews.c...ers-coffin.html

Just what we need, more gov't "experts" in control of the economy...I can see why many of you on here think all we need is more gov't to save us from the last time gov't got involved and "fixed" things...I mean, didn't quantitative easing solve all our problems? Didn't that create inflation and robust economic growth? No, of course not...With experts like Yellen, what could possibly go wrong....

You guys realize the article in the OP is from 2013, right?

As to the prospect of negative rates, that isn't going to happen. If we were going to go down that road it would have been a couple years ago. If you know anything about how the Fed works and the role of the Chair, then you know that markets are hyper sensitive to even the language used by the Chair--which is why the notion of negative rates was teased.

Your tragically misunderstood conception of macroeconomic policy notwithstanding, quantitative easing did aid in limiting the recession. And are you questioning Yellen's ability to serve as Fed Chair?

Responding to the question; not the article. Anytime anything from Salon is posted it's pretty much a waste of time reading it...long on opinion and short on facts....well not short, nothing that could be construed as a fact.

To acknowledge you are evaluating negative rates says you've been 100% wrong about the direction of the economy. How can you seriously evaluate negative rates as a policy alternative if we are seeing robust economic growth? You can't have it both ways....

Quantitative easing, done in the real world, would get you prosecuted...it's a pure ponzi scheme...and pushing a disaster out is not the same as preventing a recession, or worse. Of course I can print counterfeit money and pass it for years and keep up a profligate lifestyle...but eventually, someone is going to demand actual payment...or in this case, actual economic growth to inflate your way out of it...what is hard to believe is that they actually looked at current economics and come to the conclusion that the economy is robust and just raised rates and debated doing it again.

When the SnP's NI drops 10% (like it just did) and worker productivity declines (like it just did), you need to look out. You don't get that in a robust economy.

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http://www.kiplinger.com/tool/business/T019-S000-kiplinger-s-economic-outlooks/

Kiplinger's Economic Outlooks

GDP 2.5% for '16; 2.4% for '15 More » Unemployment Falling to 4.6% by end '16, from 4.9% now More » Interest rates 10-year T-notes at 2.6% by end '16 More » Inflation 2.3% for '16, up from 0.7% in '15 More » Business spending Slight rise in '16, after drop in '15 More » Energy Crude oil trading from $35 to $40/bbl. by May More » Housing Construction, sales of single-family homes both up 15% in '16 More » Retail sales 4% growth in '16, from 4.6% in '15 (excluding gasoline sales) More » Trade deficit Widening 4% in '16 after a 5% increase in '15 More »

Read more at http://www.kiplinger.com/tool/business/T019-S000-kiplinger-s-economic-outlooks/index.php#POlXEEgFS8H4IAzX.99

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We're always headed toward another recession .

Shouldn't there be a period of prosperity in between.

Standard " But Bush ! " diversionary tactic in 3,2,1...

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Give me some negative interest rates! I want to borrow $1 million. I promise to pay back the $900,000 I'll owe.

Yes, I know it doesn't work like that. :) Just havin' a little fun while waiting for February 27th when the Equestrian team has their next home meet.

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Well, well, well....how incompetent do you have to be being insistent that the economy is so strong that you need to raise rates to now acknowledging you might need to use negative rates (like Japan, the ECB and Sweden, etc.) all in the same months time...

"Meanwhile, on Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellensaid the U.S. central bank is studying the feasibility of pushing short-term interest rates into negative territory should it need to give the economy a stronger boost."

http://www.foxnews.c...ers-coffin.html

Just what we need, more gov't "experts" in control of the economy...I can see why many of you on here think all we need is more gov't to save us from the last time gov't got involved and "fixed" things...I mean, didn't quantitative easing solve all our problems? Didn't that create inflation and robust economic growth? No, of course not...With experts like Yellen, what could possibly go wrong....

You guys realize the article in the OP is from 2013, right?

As to the prospect of negative rates, that isn't going to happen. If we were going to go down that road it would have been a couple years ago. If you know anything about how the Fed works and the role of the Chair, then you know that markets are hyper sensitive to even the language used by the Chair--which is why the notion of negative rates was teased.

Your tragically misunderstood conception of macroeconomic policy notwithstanding, quantitative easing did aid in limiting the recession. And are you questioning Yellen's ability to serve as Fed Chair?

QE might have provided a short term reprieve from the downturn but long term success is still in question. The exit from QE will be tricky. We hope Yellen is qualified. She has inherited a s***ty position.

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QE did nothing but postpone the inevitable. It propped up the stock market but it did nothing for the actual underlying structure, it added to our debt. Easy money fron central banks is what got us in in this position to alrge degree, The market still has to have the final say in all of this.

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