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Value of Impact Plays

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During the last 260 plays with Barrett Trotter as QB, the Auburn offense averaged an impact play (15-yds or more) every 12.4 offensive snaps.

With Clint Moseley as the QB, the offense has averaged an impact play every 8.1 snaps, which translated to a 35% improvement.

What does this mean?

Auburn has averaged 65.4 snaps per game, which would equate to 5.27 impact plays per game during Trotter's last 4 starts based on the ratio of 1 every 12.4 snaps. It would translate to 8.07 impact plays under Moseley's ratio of 1 every 8.1 snaps.

An impact play currently is valued at 3.6 points per impact play through 9 games.

3.6 * 5.27 = 18.9 PPG

3.6 * 8.07 = 29.1 PPG

Since 1992, Auburn is 88-17-2 with at least 8 impact plays on offense during a game and 20-2 under Gus Malzahn.

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