Auburn's AdjO is No. 16, AdjD is No.44. So, there's some wiggle room.

CofC's AdjO is No. 87, though, and their AdjD is No. 167.

So, if you're going by the numbers, an upset is v unlikely. But it could happen (Louisville v. Morehead St in 2012 outlier)

— Sam Butler (@_sam_butler) March 11, 2018