channonc

I think he gets elected, and I don't think it will be close. Of course, I hope I am wrong...

I hope you are right, but honestly, I just don't see this moving the needle toward Medicare-for-all. I see us landing right back where we started. Where people are being sold cheaper plans that don't actually cover anything, even more bankruptcies due to medical issues, pre-existing coverage being completely gone (and frankly that was always a huge risk once the individual mandate was repealed). If a court strikes down ACA, then what happens to those on expanded Medicaid. States can't afford to just pick up the tab (not without enormous tax increases to cover it). There are several countries who do this cheaper and better, but yet, we refuse to even talk about exploring other ways of doing it here. It's really infuriating.

I think there is an important element here that no one is talking about. The report, along with the indictments, has proven that Russia did meddle in the election and was favoring Trump. With another election coming up, I would hope (but of course not expect) that we can start discussing some solutions around cybersecurity, and liability of social media in hopes of curbing them or another state in the future from doing the same.

Buried in the New Yorker piece on FNC and Trump was given a heads up on debate questions too. Particularly the Megan Kelly question about how he treats women and the question about whether he would support the eventual R nominee should it not be him.

Agreed, except I think it will be hard to do for the VA GOP. They also have their skeletons. But I agree with your larger point. There's no accountability anymore. The news cycle is so fast that if you can survive a few hours, the storm will blow past.

He should be banned from more places than just twitter.

Realized that not everyone would follow that my agreement was with Dub's statement. Northam and Fairfax should be gone.

Yes they did in 2001 and the fraternity was kicked off campus. BTW- it was over a picture of them in blackface and wigs. LINK

Agreed!

He has openly said he will not run for his Senate seat as a Democrat as he does not consider himself a member of the party. It’s irrelevant who he caucuses with IMO. Bernie says he’s not a Democrat

His age doesn't bother me at all. His unwillingness to join the party for which he seeks the nomination from is a deal breaker from me. He's not a Democrat and if he wishes to remain an independent he should run as one.

I wouldn't go quite this far YET, but I definitely see your point and agree with it in the larger sense. I think the difference between her and Trump is she seems to have well intentions, but I don't think that can be used as an excuse to misstate facts or even get issues out right wrong. She would do better to think before tweeting.

Very true! Thank you for noting that. Let's be very clear about this bill. It was a corporate tax cut. In fact, if you look back on early conversations as this bill was coming together, Speaker Ryan and W&M Chair Brady were actually pushing for two separate bills: one corporate-- which would go first, and a second to address individuals. Republicans in swing districts pushed hard for individual tax reform to be included because they couldn't go home and campaign on just cutting corporate taxes. Individual taxes were really only thrown in there as a way to win over the votes of the Republican caucus as the corporate package alone didn't have enough votes. Ironically, it looks like it didn't matter as many of those moderate swing Republicans either retired or lost re-election.

They are temporary based on the definition of the word. They expire, the corporate breaks do not. As to whether Congress will do anything else, it's hard to say. It took nearly a decade for anything new, and in terms of major tax reform, nothing had really happened since the late 80s. I see what you are saying, but frankly our system is a progressive one, and is designed to tax those at the top the most. I'm taking your statistics as true, and if anything, that should show you how much of wealth gap there is in this country. Unfortunately, this bill had the opportunity to do that and instead only contributes more to that divide. Additionally, the elimination of SALT did not just affect upper income folks. In some areas, property taxes alone are much more than $10,000/year on even a modest home. That doesn't take into account local and state income taxes either. And frankly, I think taxing taxes is ridiculous, which is essentially what capping that deduction does. Straight from the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, who look at policies based on it's affect on working and lower income people (emphasis mine): Law Does Relatively Little for Working- and Middle-Class Americans Working families seemed largely an afterthought in congressional deliberations over the new tax law. Key tax parameters that affect these families change significantly under the law, but often in offsetting ways. Proponents of the law frequently highlight its rate cuts, increase in the standard deduction, and doubling of the Child Tax Credit (CTC) for some families (see below). Yet other provisions raise taxes on families, such as the elimination of personal exemptions and the new inflation adjustment for key tax parameters, which will push more taxpayers into higher tax brackets over time. The end result is only modest tax cuts overall for working- and middle-class families, which pale in comparison to the large net tax cuts for wealthy households and profitable corporations. In addition, TPC analysis finds that an estimated 21 percent of households making under $200,000 will see no tax cut or even tax increases in 2018 under the new law.[14] Last-minute decisions typified the bill’s skewed priorities. Negotiators lowered the top individual tax rate in the final bill to 37 percent — down from the Senate bill’s 38.5 percent and the House’s 39.6 percent — but rejected the effort by Senators Marco Rubio and Mike Lee to provide more than a token CTC increase for children in low-income working families. While Rubio and Lee secured a more adequate CTC increase for moderate-income families, 10 million children under age 17 in low-income working families will receive no CTC increase or a token increase of $75 or less.[15] Another 14 million children will get a CTC increase of more than $75 but less than the full $1,000-per-child increase that families with higher incomes will receive. Moreover, the law raises the income level at which the CTC begins phasing out from $110,000 to $400,000; as a result, a married couple with two children family making $400,000 will newly qualify for a $4,000 credit, while a single mother of two working full-time at the minimum wage will receive a $75 increase in her CTC. (See Figure 2.) Figure 2 The new tax law not only shortchanges many working-class families but actually harms a number of them. Its repeal of the ACA’s individual mandate is expected to add millions to the ranks of the uninsured and raise premiums in the individual insurance market by about 10 percent, according to CBO.[16] This could also generate further instability in the individual health insurance market, especially in the near term, as falling enrollment, increased uncertainty, and growing confusion make it harder for insurers to forecast their costs. The new tax law will also generate pressure to cut programs that millions of working- and middle-class families rely on. The $1-$2 trillion ten-year cost of the tax cuts adds to deficits initially but will have to be paid for at some point, through some combination of tax increases and spending cuts. In the end, it is likely that for millions of lower- and middle-income families, the budget cuts that the tax law will engender will reduce their incomes more than the tax cuts will increase them. New Tax Law Ignores Critical Tool for Boosting Working-Class Incomes Lawmakers drafting the new tax law appear not to have considered strengthening the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC). Stagnant working-class wages call for a strong policy response, and the EITC is well-designed to be at the forefront of addressing this challenge. It already lifts millions out of poverty and supplements the wages of people who do needed jobs but receive relatively low pay, from truck drivers to cooks to home health aides. It is well placed to do more. Ambitious EITC proposals are on the table. Senator Sherrod Brown and Rep. Ro Khanna, along with 55 House co-sponsors, have introduced a bill to substantially increase the EITC for childless workers and double it for workers with children, raising the incomes of 47 million households and lifting 8 million people out of poverty.a A median working-class family of three, which now makes $48,700, would receive a $2,800 EITC boost in 2018.b Such a proposal could have been paid for with progressive base-broadening measures. Those designing the new tax law also declined to make improvements to the small EITC for workers not raising minor children in their homes, thereby perpetrating features of the tax code under which more than 5 million such workers are literally taxed into — or deeper into — poverty by federal income and payroll taxes.c This chart, which compares the effects of the new tax law and the Brown-Khanna proposal, underscores the law’s missed opportunity to address stagnant wages and growing inequality through such means as strengthening the EITC. Doing so should be part of future tax reform efforts to address the many problems that the new tax law creates. a Chuck Marr, Emily Horton, and Brendan Duke, “Brown-Khanna Proposal to Expand EITC Would Raise Incomes of 47 Million Working Households,” CBPP, October 10, 2017, https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-tax/brown-khanna-proposal-to-expand-eitc-would-raise-incomes-of-47-million-working. b An alternative approach would have been a more ambitious CTC proposal. A bill introduced by Senators Michael Bennet (D-CO) and Brown would increase the maximum CTC to $3,000 per child ($3,600 per child under age 6), make the credit fully refundable, and pay it out on a monthly basis. Christopher Wimer and Sophie Collyer of Columbia University estimate that it would cut the child poverty rate nearly in half. See Christopher Wimer and Sophie Collyer, “Expanding the Child Tax Credit would Cut Child Poverty Nearly in Half,” Poverty and Social Brief 1 (3) (2017): https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5743308460b5e922a25a6dc7/t/59f0dab890bccea6185a078d/1508956859468/Poverty+and+Social+Policy+Brief_CTC__1_3.pdf. c CBPP analysis of March 2017 Current Population Survey data. We estimate that the new law’s $400 tax cut for the bottom 60 percent of households would turn into a $1,200 (2.8 percent) reduction in their after-tax incomes if each household ultimately pays an equal dollar amount each year in program cuts to pay for the tax cuts.[17] The actual impact could be worse: recent congressional Republican budgets have included large budget cuts that would fall harder, in dollar terms, on low- and moderate-income households than on more affluent ones. For example, those budgets have consistently featured large cuts in Medicaid, which provides health and nursing home care to millions of these families.

Based on my direct experience and knowledge of the bill, regardless of whether you like the new tax plan or not, there are some things you should be aware of. First, the revenue needed to pay for the corporate tax breaks largely came from the individual side, illustrated perfectly by the fact that the individual "tax breaks" are temporary and not permanent. Most of the cuts on the individual side really were for the top brackets. So if you fall into a top bracket, you were likely to see a cut compared to last year's numbers. As a way to disguise this, and to make it appear as though individuals got an instant break, the IRS was instructed to readjust the withholding tables (they were going to have to anyway due to the new law) as close as possible. Meaning, not as much was going to be withheld. This was a way to politically help shore up some support-- as you recall, the tax bill is still underwater when you look at broad-based polling on the subject. While this was public knowledge, it wasn't widely reported unless you were following this issue closely. Additionally, the law eliminated personal exemptions which means that the w4 was completely reworked. The regulations accompanying H.R. 1, eliminated the requirement for companies to issue the w4 to all employees at the beginning of the year (except to new hires). So unless you went to payroll or HR and specifically requested the forms last year, most companies didn't walk around and hand out the new forms/worksheets. So whatever you had opted for as far as additional withholding, etc. was generally just rolled over from 2017 to 2018. Again, I think had people seen that personal exemptions disappeared, several would have begun to dive more deeply into their tax liability for 2018 and found that they would not be faring quite as well as what they were being told. This of course, does not mean no one benefited, it just means, not as many people benefited as I think many assumed. As I stated before, I knew my tax liabilities under this new bill would grow despite my income not growing to the same amount. I made sure to be extra conservative in trying to avoid any payments this year to the IRS and took out even more than I usually do to try to buffer that change. But when I compare what I paid the IRS in 2017 and what I paid in 2018, I paid more-- much more-- even though because of my careful planning I ended up with a bigger refund than in 2017.