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lca408

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About lca408

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    Biggest Auburn fan that DOES now go to Grad school there
  • Birthday 07/17/1985

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    B'ham and Sly town
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  1. That’s fair. I get the point. But I’d also say, at least for a major/mid size city, majority of citizens HAVE been exposed. Here in Bham you have a lot of movement from the suburbs to the downtown area for work and also play where a lot of the cool new hip places to eat and drink at are. I live in Inverness and if we decide to have a day or night out, we almost always head into Jeff County and go to a brewery or a good restaurant over the mountain. Lots of people do that all over the larger Bham area. It seems nearly impossible that most people who do this, especially the younger 25-45 crowd, haven’t already been exposed though maybe not infected. Our church is on 3rd ave North and we also make that drive every Sunday, well until the Bishop put a halt on public masses that is. I just think that the big cities and their areas are already hit pretty hard. The tests are just catching up at this point. But you’re right about the more rural areas though. And for folks who don’t venture out. I definitely agree that quarantine is the best option, but I just feel like it’s too little too late at this point.
  2. Sure, but that’s the thing. It’s been here at least since mid to late January, possibly earlier. Social distancing and quarantine has only been in place for about a week and a half. That’s almost 2 months that it’s been able to spread unimpeded across the country. The only reason states like Alabama lagged behind in confirmed cases was because our testing apparatus took so long to get in place. The actual number of current cases has to be at least 2-3 times what it currently is. As testing becomes more available, the number grows really high. But it seems to me that’s more of a reflection of people finally being tested as opposed to actual spread, which at this point, it’s basically everywhere.
  3. My question is this - if this virus has been out and about for several months now, some saying since December, how much good would a quarantine really do at this point? With that level of infectivity, how much more can really be gained among a population where I would imagine perhaps a majority in a major/medium size city would have already been exposed?
  4. Good question. I don’t know. I’d imagine for most people, probably not a full 30 days. Tom Hanks and Rita Wilson have already been released from the hospital and quarantine and they only got tested last week. To be honest, the math here isn’t adding up. To be as contagious as it is, there should be more cases. Of course the answer is there’s a bunch more cases out there that are not being reported because a lot of people either don’t have the local resources to test/confirm, or they’re just not seeking medical attention. My suspicion is that the rates of critical infection and fatality rates are much lower than the 20% and 4% that are being thrown around right now, simply because the numbers are skewed by the people who are actually seeking medical attention. Just like with the flu and other viruses, a lot of people just don’t go to the doctor or seek to get tested for it because the symptoms are so mild, or perhaps they don’t think they even have it. It’s allergy season now too, which may convince some people that’s all it is. Meanwhile, these people with mild symptoms or asymptomatic can easily spread it to others unknowingly and get to the higher risk people. My thinking is, if you live in a decent/large city, you’ve already been exposed and many are already on the way to being infected because quarantine went into effect so late. I think we’re hitting our peak of infections right now or very soon, but the peak of confirmed cases/hospitalizations is coming in another week or so. Unfortunately, I think the “quarantine” recommendations came a little too late for most people who will be infected.
  5. Problem is, it’s more contagious than the flu. It’s going to spread regardless. Shutting things down for a month is only going to delay the spread and space it out over the next few months. I doubt this will actually do that much good. There’s evidence that the virus can stay in your system for something like 30+ days even after you’ve recovered. Then again, the symptoms are so mild for most people, I wouldn’t be surprised if a lot of folks get it, get better, and don’t even realize they had it since it’s being built up like “Captain Trips.” Then you have smokers and older folks who will legit have problems and complications with it. It stinks all around but IMO, it may be best to just have it run through the populace quickly so everyone gets over it. I’d be more worried about it lingering and having flare ups throughout the year, since right now there’s no hard evidence to suggest that the heat will help like it does with the flu, though that is the hope.
  6. I think he was more upset that he wasn’t getting 48-45 carries in a game.....
  7. lca408

    Barbee

    He’s a public figure, working for a public university with a larger than average social media following. He represents that school and speaks with, at least some level of, authority on behalf of that institution. He did when he was coach here as well. As a public figure, it shouldn’t be surprising when he is publicly criticized for his job performance, same as actors and other celebrities and coaches, public figures, etc. Not only did he legitimately trash the Auburn basketball program by his management (or lack thereof), he has now decided to be a petty a$$hole at his new job and try to take shots at the coach that took his job and the school which paid him. I don’t care if he gets his feelings hurt one iota. He’s brought it on himself and he has the responsibility as a public figure to either stop the idiocy or apologize for acting like a child. He doesn’t have to, and therefore, why should any Auburn fan feel bad for making fun of the loser? The best revenge is to live well and right now, we’re doing pretty well in his absence. It’s good to remind him of that. I hope he cried himself to sleep last night after the loss. Maybe it’ll prompt him to grow as a person.
  8. I wouldn’t consider missing out on BJ a mark against Gus. It seems like the staff has worked their asses off trying to get him to Auburn. I also wouldn’t necessarily blame the Calvin Ashley bust on him either - things like that just happen. But all the others? The lack of recruiting at the position? For several years now? Taking other skill position players over a position of perhaps 2nd or 3rd most importance on any team (if not 1st)? There’s no excuse for that. If this were 2010 or 2011, it wouldn’t sting as badly since Auburn was pretty much killing it with OL recruiting, taking both high rated and avg rated players in big numbers during Chizik’s tenure with regularity. Because we just now apparently remembered we need to recruit the position and are having to seek out JC players to fill out a depth chart, this sucks. Shortsighted personnel management by the staff for a couple of years now, and now they’re desperate to try and catch up
  9. New facilities are nice and necessary but they’re not going to equate to wins. They’ll help with recruiting but if you have a coach that can’t get the best playmakers on the field at the same time, getting higher ranked classes doesn’t matter. The coach is the important factor here that needs to be changed to expect more. Gus is a perennial 8-4 coach that occasionally beats Alabama, but loses to LSU and Georgia regularly and loses in postseason 71% of the time. He pulls in good recruiting classes and the players stay out of trouble. He’s put Auburn in an uncomfortable limbo of never being able to reach the mountaintop, hovering about 3/4 of the way up the slope and rarely sliding down further, but unable to change anything about it because the safety harness is made of bulletproof Kevlar (buyout) and is stuck in the side of the mountain and can’t be moved. Im not optimistic that the football only facility, as awesome as it could be, will change Gus’ fortunes on the field. He’ll still sit and simmer around that 4 losses per year stew regardless. A new coach? It could be a difference. But at this point, after 7 years, we know what we have.
  10. The reason I said “just had a big bust at QB” was to illustrate how bad that situation was. You ran through the litany of issues with offensive personnel other than QB, but honestly, with a better QB, hell even with 2016 healthy Sean White, Auburn wins 8 or more games that year. Barber still got that 1,000 yards rushing in 2015. The wins were there to be had against MSU, Arkansas, and UGA at least, possibly even Ole Miss. And we still managed .500. All I’m saying is, it’s not the worst case scenario. Things could have gone even worse. Thats certianly not saying that they will however. Malzahn has the ability to keep the locker room tight so I doubt it would get much worse than that if it even gets to that point. The SEC is not a deep league in terms of talent and quality teams, at least in the last couple of years. A talented Auburn team with a respectable defense and some talent on offense can manage 7-8 wins a year pretty easily, as we continue to do almost every year now. It remains to be seen if we can hit that elusive 10+ wins a year mark more than just once every 4 or 5 years.
  11. Idk if 2015 was the actual worst case scenario. As bad as the offense was, the defense was on its way to improving and holding its own. It was the reason we kept many of those losses close, like the Alabama game and the Ole Miss game. We also at least had Barber who was a hard runner even if he didn’t have great talent, and a decent of inexperienced O line. That team’s talent was solid, good enough to be competitive in the league. We just had a big bust at QB and that affected everything else. Could have been worse. In general though, I agree. Gus probably isn’t going to have a 3-9 season. But I could see 5-7 as a possibility. Not this year mind you, but in a downward spiral of bad recruiting and Gus “holding on too tight” and “losing the edge.”
  12. I don’t think whether Morris calls plays or not matters. Whether or not Gus calls plays doesn’t matter either. What matters is a terrible offensive line that has steadily gone downhill. Not enough linemen being recruited until you’re already in the hole, not much, if any development of those players, and a reliance on plays that need a good functioning line to work. This will be the downfall of Malzahn if there’s no improvement in that regard. My only hope is that the new starters actually have a mean streak and can push someone in front of them for a change. That’d be nice, instead of just standing around, failing to give effort and then talking trash in interviews and on twitter about how anyone that criticizes the line play doesn’t know football, like a certain senior interior lineman I know of. I'm tired of the tough schedule excuse. Malzahn is going into his 8th season. This is who he is. It won’t get better. I doubt we’ll actually truly play for a championship again with him as a coach.
  13. This. Everything was going well and that changed the momentum. Defense went back out, got tired, gave up a TD, etc. But even without it, we still wouldn’t be able to run the ball. Once again, the clear lack of an offensive line worth a damn is killing this offense. That’s still on Gus for failing at building that line.