StatTiger

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StatTiger last won the day on November 28 2016

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  1. Auburn's 31 point loss to Alabama is Gus Malzahn's worse defeat at Auburn, surpassing his 27 point loss to Georgia during the 2014 season. It likely factored into Malzahn's decision to "finish the game", when the Tigers fell behind by 24 points early in the final period. Auburn under Gus Malzahn is now 5-16 in games the Tigers trail by at least three points at halftime against an FBS opponent. This includes a 2-11 record when trailing by at least seven points. Of Auburn's 17 plays of 30-yards or more on offense this season, only five have occurred during the first half. 24.0 percent of Auburn's offensive snaps against UAT, netted 5-yards or more. Alabama gained at least 5-yards on 50.8 percent of their snaps. Both were season-lows for the Auburn offense and defense. Coming into the Iron Bowl, Auburn's defense allowed 4.9 yards per play and 5.0 yards per play during the second half. Alabama averaged 8.5 yards during the game and 14.3 yards during the second half. Alabama scored 35 points on only 22 second half snaps. Malik Willis has completed 4 of 6 passes for 19 yards on the season. Less than 5-yards per completion is not great quarterback development. Jarrett Stidham was a combined 7 of 19 against UAT, passing on first and second downs for 30-yards. Against Georgia and Alabama this season, 68 percent of Jarrett Stidham's passes were within 5-yards of the line of scrimmage. He completed 29 of 46 short passes for 148-yards and zero touchdowns. That's an average of 3.2 yards per attempt and 5.1 yards per completion. 45.8 percent of the combined carries by JaTarvious Whitlow, Kam Martin and Shaun Shivers were held to 3-yards or less. Auburn had a "team" statistical report score of 21.6 percent, a season-low. Auburn's average team score this season is 53.3 percent. During Auburn's first four conference games, the Tigers converted only 47.4 percent of their short-yardage situations (2-yds or less), running the football. During the last four conference games, Auburn made a dramatic improvement of 83.3 percent. Alabama finished with a pass rating of 234.7, the worst performance by an Auburn defense against an opponent with at least 20 pass attempts, since 1960. Alabama gained more than 5.3 yards per play on first down than Auburn. It was the worst difference since the 2008 LSU loss, when the Bengal-Tigers averaged more than 5.9 yards per play. Yesterday's game marked the 24th time the Auburn pass offense averaged less than 6-yards per pass attempt on first down under Gus Malzahn. Of those 24 times, Auburn was held under 200-yards rushing, posting a 2-9 record. The Auburn offense was held to under 300-yards on five occasions during the 2016 and 2017 seasons combined (27 games). The Tigers have been held under 300-yards four times this season alone. The Auburn offense averaged 6-yards or more on first down during 59 percent of their conference games from 2013-2014. Since 2014, it has dropped to 35 percent in conference play. Auburn's average pass efficiency rating on first down from 1992-2018 is 139.2. Yesterday marked the 22nd time Auburn has fallen under a 120 rating under Gus Malzahn against an FBS opponent. Auburn's record during the 22 games if 6-16. Of those 22 games, Auburn was held to under 240-yards rushing on 16 occasions, posting a 1-15 record. Auburn finished the conference season with a pass rating of 122.7. Auburn's average rating in conference play from 1992-2018 is 126.9. The 2018 Auburn pass offense ranks 15th among the last 27 Auburn pass offenses in efficiency rating. They are No. 21 in yards per attempt with 6.54 yards per attempt. From 1992-2018, Auburn averaged 171.7 yards rushing per game in conference play. This season Auburn averaged 119.6 yards, No. 21 among the last 27 Auburn run offenses. From 1992-2018, Auburn averaged 366.6 yards per game in conference play. This season Auburn averaged 328.0 yards per game, No. 18 among the last 27 Auburn offenses. From 1992-2018, Auburn averaged an offensive TD every 23.6 snaps in conference play. This season the Tigers averaged a TD every 24.5 snaps, No. 13 among the last 27 Auburn offenses. From 1992-2018, Auburn's defense has allowed 357.3 yards per game in conference play. Auburn allowed 420.0 yards this season, No. 24 among the last 27 Auburn defenses. The Tigers this season also finished at No. 17 among the last 27 Auburn defenses, allowing a TD every 29.1 snaps defended. War Eagle!
  2. StatTiger

    Iron Bowl Report Card

    The 2018 regular season is mercifully over with as Auburn awaits their destination for this season's bowl game. It was another predictable game plan against Auburn's biggest rival and was smothered as predicted. During his five games against Georgia and Alabama, 95 of Jarrett Stidham's 150 pass attempts have been within 5-yards of the line of scrimmage (63.3 percent). Stidham threw only 11 passes beyond 20-yards of the line of scrimmage during those five games, completing only two. Auburn had some early success running the football but not at the level the Tigers could build anything substantial. Auburn managed only three impact plays on offense, which would have never been enough to be competitive against a team like Alabama. Once Alabama went up 31-14 in the third quarter, Auburn ran the ball 11 of 13 times on the first down. When Alabama increased their lead to 45-21, it was evident Malzahn was satisfied with running the clock to avoid any additional scoring. The Auburn defense played its worst game of the season, allowing 500-yards on only 59 snaps. It was the first time from 1961-2018 (685 games), an Auburn defense allowed 500-yard of offense on less than 60 snaps. After allowing 184-yards on 37 snaps during the first half, Auburn surrendered 316 yards on just 22 snaps during the second-half. Auburn could not apply any pressure on Alabama's quarterbacks, and the secondary was toasted, giving up seven pass plays of 20-yards or more. Credit should be given to Alabama, fielding one of the most explosive pass offenses in the country. Alabama had only 123-yards rushing, which would typically result in a loss in the Iron Bowl. Fifteen times during the last 56 Iron Bowls, Alabama was held to under 130-yards rushing. Auburn won 11 of those 15 games, allowing an average of 18 points per game against UAT. Alabama's quick-strike ability in their passing game is one of the primary reasons they are favored to win yet another National Championship. The result was not surprising as Alabama entered the games as a 24-point favorite to win the game. What was disappointing was another big game, where Gus Malzahn refused to attack the opponent's secondary downfield. The last two years, the pass offense has become way too reliant upon the short passing game. It is the primary reason why Malzahn must relinquish control of the offense should he return as the head coach in 2019. Since 2014, Auburn is 5-14 against FBS teams with a winning record, when the offense runs for under 200-yards. During those 19 games, Auburn's pass offense averaged 187-yards and 19 points per game. Auburn completed only 55 percent of their passes for 6.5 yards per attempt, which included only 16 touchdown passes and 14 interceptions. Malzahn was given the opportunity to correct the passing issues after the 2016 season but he elected to hire an inexperienced offensive coordinator. Only time will tell if he makes the necessary changes on the offensive side of the football. War Eagle! Game #12 Statistical Evaluation (Alabama Game) Offensive Report Card 01) Avg 6-yards per play on 1st down: [3.6] fail 02) Convert at least 40% of 3rd downs: [50.0%] pass 03) Avg at least 4.5 yards per rush: [3.0] fail 04) Score on at least 1/3 of possessions: [21.4%] fail 05) Keep 3 and out series under 33%: [28.5%] pass 06) Average 8.0 yards per pass attempt: [4.8 yds] fail 07) Score at least 75% inside red zone: [100.0%] pass 08) TD red zone above 60%: [100.0%] pass 09) Avg at least 30-yards per possession: [20.2 yds] fail 10) 40% of offensive snaps part of scoring drives: [20.0%] fail 11) TD / Turnover ratio above 1.6: [3 / 1] pass 12) TD ratio of at least 1 every 17 snaps: [25.0] fail 13) At least 8 impact plays: (3) fail 14) At least 2 big plays: (1) fail 15) Pass rating of at least 126.3: [101.4] fail 16) Yards to Point Ratio of 14.0 or under: [13.4] pass Score: 6 of 16 (37.5%) FAIL Defensive Report Card: 01) Avg under 6-yards per play on 1st down: [9.1] fail 02) Convert below 35% of 3rd downs: [45.4%] fail 03) Avg at least 4.0 yards per rush or less: [4.7] fail 04) Score 1/3 of possessions or below: [61.5%] fail 05) Keep 3 and out series above 33%: [30.7%] fail 06) Average below 7.5 yards per pass attempt: [11.4 yds] fail 07) Score below 75% inside red zone: [100.0%] fail 08) TD red zone below 60%: [66.7%] fail 09) Avg under 30-yards per possession: [38.5 yds] fail 10) 40% or less of offensive snaps part of scoring drives: [67.8%] fail 11) TD / Turnover ratio below 1.6: [7 / 0] fail 12) TD ratio of at least 1 every 30 snaps: [8.4] fail 13) Less than 8 impact plays: (9) fail 14) No more than 2 big plays allowed: (4) fail 15) Pass rating below 125.0: [234.7] fail 16) Yards to point ratio of 18.0 or higher: [9.6] fail Score: 0 of 16 (0.0%) FAIL Special Teams Report Card: 1) Punt Average (Above 41.3): [40.3] fail 2) Punt Return Defense (Below 7.8 YPR): [0.0] pass 3) Punt Return Offense (Above 9.8 YPR): [2.0] fail 4) Kick-Return Defense (Below 21.2 YPR): [N/A] 5) Kick-Return Offense (Above 22.3 YPR): [21.7] fail 6) PAT’s (100%): [3/3] pass 7) FG Pct (75% or above): [N/A%] Score: 2 of 5 (40.0%) FAIL * 50% is a passing score.
  3. StatTiger

    Upon Further Review -Liberty Game

    Indeed, along with the lack of big play ability.
  4. StatTiger

    A closer look at big plays

    The 2018 Auburn offense currently ranks No. 24 among the last 32 Auburn offenses from 1987-2018 in plays of 30-yards or more. The 2018 Auburn offense generates such a play every 46.4 snaps. Auburn's average ratio of big plays is one every 34.4 snaps since 1986. The top-5 Auburn offenses during this time frame were 2010, 2013, 2004, 2014 and 2017. Last season the Auburn offense produced 41 plays of at least 30-yards. This season through 11 games, the Tigers have 16 such plays. The 2018 pass offense currently ranks No. 22 among the last 32 Auburn offenses with a 30-yard play every 25.2 attempts. The average ratio from 1987-2018 is one every 20.5 passes. The top-5 Auburn pass offenses during this time frame were 2004, 2010, 2013, 2014 and 1997. The 2018 Auburn run offense currently ranks No. 26 among the 32 Auburn offenses from 1987-2018. This year's Auburn offense generates a 30-yard run or better every 139.0 snaps, and the average ratio is one every 61.2 attempts. Auburn currently has only three 30+ runs this season, compared to the 16 produced last season. The top-5 Auburn offenses during this period were 2010, 2013, 2016, 2005 and 2017. From 1987-2018, big plays accounted for 22.6 percent of the total yardage gained. During the 2017 season, they accounted for 33.3 percent, which was the highest percentage during the past 32 seasons. As dependent as the 2017 Auburn offense was on big plays, it reveals how much the drop off this season has hurt the 2018 Auburn offense. Auburn went from 1 every 25 plays last season to 1 every 46.5 plays this season. Take away the big plays and Auburn averaged 4.51 yards per play during 2017 and 4.77 yards per play this season. Auburn's lack of punch on offense this season combined with struggles in converting third-downs, defines the 2018 Auburn offense. This year's offense has gone "3 & out" over 27 percent of the time, ranking 13th among the last 26 Auburn offenses. Of Malzahn's offenses at Auburn, only the 2011 offense was worse than the 2018 Auburn offense when it came to going "3 & out". Defense: Compounding Auburn's offensive drought in generating big plays on offense is the high number of big plays allowed on defense. Under Kevin Steele, Auburn's ratio of big plays has gradually declined. During 2016, Auburn allowed a 30+ play every 44.2 snaps. The ratio declined in 2017 with one every 36.8 snaps and this season it has dropped further to 1 every 32.2 plays defended. The average ratio from 1992-2018 is one every 41.7 plays. The top-5 Auburn defenses from 1992-2018 are 1992, 2007, 2015, 1994 and 1996. All five defenses combined allowed a big play every 66 plays. The 2018 Auburn defense currently ranks No. 23 among the last 27 Auburn defenses. The 2016 Auburn defense ranks No. 14, and the 2017 Auburn defense ranks No. 18. From 2016-2018, Auburn has surrendered 71 plays of 30-yards or more, broken down by 14 on the ground and 57 through the air. From 1992-2018, 70.3 percent of the big plays allowed were allowed on pass defense. Under Kevin Steele, it has increased to 80.3 percent. War Eagle!
  5. During their last seven games, Auburn has converted only 6 of 22 third downs during the first quarter. The Tigers are 1 of 7 their last three games. Liberty had four plays of 5-yards or more during their first offensive possession. During their next 14 possessions, Liberty totaled only six plays of 5-yards or more. One of the plays was an 18-yard pass that should have been reviewed and ruled incomplete. Of Auburn's 82 snaps, 52.4 percent resulted in at least 5-yards. The Flames gained 5 yards only 17.9 percent. Both were season highs for the Auburn offense and defense. 39 of Liberty's 56 snaps netted 2-yards or less (69.6%), a season-high for the Auburn defense. Seth Williams moved into first place on the team with 17 plays of 15-yards or more on the season. JaTarvious Whitlow is next with 14, followed by Anthony Schwartz and Darius Slayton with 13 each. After rushing for 50 yards on 16 carries during the first half; Liberty was held to 5 yards rushing on 12 carries during the second half. During the first six games of the season, Auburn converted only 61.3 percent of the situations involving two yards or less to convert, running the football. During the last five games, the success rate has increased to 81.8 percent. Auburn's front-7 accounted for over 78 percent of the team's tackles against Liberty, a season-high for the Tigers. Auburn's offense converted just 2 of 12 third-down situations against Liberty, a season-low for the Auburn offense. Coming into the Liberty game, Auburn's offense had scored only four touchdowns outside the red zone. Against Liberty, the Tigers had three such plays. Auburn's pass-efficiency rating on third down since 1992 is 126.4. Auburn has reached that average only twice this season. Auburn finished the game plus 22 in first downs, the highest ratio since Auburn defeated West Carolina 62-3 during the 2013 season. During the first seven games of the season, Auburn converted 63.3 percent of their third-down situations of 3-yards or less. That conversion rate has dropped to 50 percent the last four games and 40 percent during Auburn's last two games. After losing four fumbles against Alabama State, Auburn has lost only four fumbles during the last nine games. Auburn has now recovered 13 of their last 14 fumbles. Auburn is now 171-19-1 (.898) when the Auburn offense scores on at least 33 percent of their possessions. The Auburn defense under Kevin Steele held 25 of 27 opponents under their rushing average from 2016-2017. This season it is 8 of 11. Auburn under Gus Malzahn is now 43-5 when the Tigers have more rushing yardage and rush attempts than the opponent. Auburn is 4-10 during games the rushing numbers are flipped. Malzahn's success up to this point is about imposing their physical edge. Until the pass offense becomes more consistent, Auburn will struggle to win consistently. Auburn under Gus Malzahn is now 45-4 with a pass rating of 130 or better and 7-22 when held under 130. Kam Martin registered his third career 100-yard rushing game, the 87th time an Auburn player has rushed for at least 100-yards under Gus Malzahn's offense. Auburn's leading rusher at the RB position is averaging 83.5 yards per game this season, which is No. 27 among the last 37 Auburn offenses. Seth Williams 100-yard performance against Liberty marked the 19th time a player had 100-yards receiving since Gus Malzahn was hired as head coach and the 33rd time under Malzahn's offense at Auburn. Gus Malzahn is now 42-8 when leading at halftime and 7-17 when losing. From 1981-2018, 72.8 percent of Auburn's offensive scoring drives have been touchdowns. This season it is currently at 70.0 percent, No. 24 among the last 38 Auburn offenses. War Eagle!
  6. StatTiger

    Liberty Game Report Card

    Considering how the season has unfolded and the caliber of opponent, Auburn's 53-0 victory over the Flames was a solid victory. For the most part, the players appeared to be focused and did not take the Flames lightly. The Auburn offense was able to impose their physical will on the visiting Flames, racking up 340 yards rushing. Kam Martin started the game, rushing for 116-yards on 17 carries. Seth Williams recorded his first career 100-yard game on five receptions. It included an incredible 45-yard touchdown catch, he fully extended laterally to complete the pass. The Tigers struggles inside the red zone, third downs and generating big plays is a primary reason why Auburn barely had a passing grade on offense. Of their 82 offensive snaps, Auburn produced only one play more than 30-yards. For all the yardage gained on a high number of snaps, Auburn managed only five offensive touchdowns. Despite the higher criteria of this statistical report card, the Auburn defense still managed a perfect score. Auburn began to substitute on defense late in the second quarter but lost no intensity, despite the youth movement on the field. Twenty-four players recorded a tackle against Liberty and Auburn allowed only two plays of 15-yards or more during the game. Auburn's secondary played exceptionally well with nine pass breakups and two interceptions. Auburn held Liberty to a pass rating of 41.5, the seventh best performance by an Auburn defense from 1990-2018 (359 games). Take away their two plays of 15-yards or more, and the Flames gained just 85 yards on 54 snaps. After gaining 42-yards on their opening possession of the game, Liberty averaged 6.6 yards per possession during their remaining 14 possessions. Auburn's 134-yards allowed on defense was the 7th best performance during the last 359 games. For the sixteen Auburn seniors, the Tigers 53-0 victory was a great way to end their playing days at Jordan-Hare. The victory over Liberty does not take the sting away from a disappointing season, but for three hours, the players played well and had fun doing so. It was a sign the players have not quit on the Auburn coaching staff, which means there will be "fight" in them when they travel to Tuscaloosa next week. The task ahead next Saturday will be the most challenging of the season. The players will no doubt, leave it on the field in the Iron Bowl and hopefully, the coaching staff will put them in position to maximize their effort. Despite the caliber of competition today, it was good to see a solid "team" victory, which will be essential next Saturday against Alabama. War Eagle! Game #11 Statistical Evaluation (Liberty Game) Offensive Report Card 01) Avg 7-yards per play on 1st down: [6.94] fail 02) Convert at least 50% of 3rd downs: [16.7%] fail 03) Avg at least 6.0 yards per rush: [5.57] fail 04) Score on at least 1/2 of possessions: [61.5%] pass 05) Keep 3 and out series under 25.0%: [15.4%] pass 06) Average 9.0 yards per pass attempt: [9.1] pass 07) Score at least 80% inside red zone: [60.0%] fail 08) TD red zone above 75%: [40.0%] fail 09) Avg at least 40-yards per possession: [40.8] pass 10) 50% of offensive snaps part of scoring drives: [65.8%] pass 11) TD / Turnover ratio above 3.0: [5/0] pass 12) TD ratio of at least 1 every 13 snaps: [16.4] fail 13) At least 10 impact plays: [10] pass 14) At least 3 big plays: [1] fail 15) Pass rating of at least 145.0: [174.5] pass 16) Yards to Point Ratio of 12.0 or under: [10.0] pass Score: 9 of 16 (56.2%) Pass Defensive Report Card: 01) Avg under 5-yards per play on 1st down: [1.19] pass 02) Convert below 30% of 3rd downs: [27.3%] pass 03) Avg at least 3.0 yards per rush or less: [1.96] pass 04) Score 1/4 of possessions or below: [0.0%] pass 05) Keep 3 and out series above 40.0%: [60.0%] pass 06) Average below 6.5 yards per pass attempt: [2.8] pass 07) Score below 65% inside red zone: [0.0%] pass 08) TD red zone below 50.0%: [0.0%] pass 09) Avg under 20-yards per possession: [8.9] pass 10) 30.0% or less of offensive snaps part of scoring drives: [0.0%] pass 11) TD / Turnover ratio below 1.0: [0/4] pass 12) TD ratio of at least 1 every 35 snaps: [56.0] pass 13) Less than 6 impact plays: [2] pass 14) No more than 1 big plays allowed: [1] pass 15) Pass rating below 115.0: [41.5] pass 16) Yards to Point Ratio of 25.0 or higher: [134.0] pass Score: 16 of 16 (100.0%) Pass Special Teams Report Card: 1) Punt Average (Above 43.0): [40.7] (2 of 3 inside 20) pass 2) Punt Return Defense (Below 7.0 YPR): [0.0] pass 3) Punt Return Offense (Above 11.0 YPR): [12.2] pass 4) Kick-Return Defense (Below 20.0 YPR): [17.0] pass 5) Kick-Return Offense (Above 25.0 YPR): [15.5] fail 6) PAT’s (100%): [6/6] pass 7) FG Pct (75% or above): [75.0%] pass Score: 6 of 7 (85.7%) Pass * 50% is a passing score.
  7. Can Gus Malzahn be successful on a consistent basis at Auburn? I believe he can, but it would require him to recognize the shortcomings of his current program and not just on the offensive side of the football. Going in a different direction on offense under an established or quality offensive coordinator would be a good start, but Auburn's issues go far beyond schematics. This year we have witnessed more than a struggling offense and now a struggling defense. It transcends the performance of the offensive line and lack of depth at RB. All the miscues we have witnessed this season are a reliable indicator a lack of accountability is present. Missed assignments, missed tackles, turnovers, and penalties have plagued this team. After every loss, we as fans focus on the little things that might have changed the outcome of each game. These constant miscues and errors are the mark of a poorly coached team. For the most part, Auburn plays like a bad team because they are indeed, a bad team. Yes, Alabama's Nick Saban is loaded with a boatload of talent, but his teams are well prepared and well coached. Rarely do you see them making mental errors and when they do, there is a coach on the sideline to remind the player they made a mistake. Good coaches, coach all the time. Their players are disciplined and coached up to know their responsibilities and assignments. Their situational awareness is impressive at times, allowing them to make the most of their individual talents. Situational awareness is another hallmark of great coaching and preparation. The defense is almost always in a position to make the play, and their offense limits their turnovers and executes soundly. It goes beyond giving effort. Auburn's players play hard and lay it on the line for the most part, but they make way too many mistakes. IMO, this falls back to poor coaching and the lack of understanding that every snap matters. Nick Saban speaks of "the process" when he discusses his team. The word process is defined as a series of actions or steps taken in order to achieve a particular end. In a nutshell, Saban has a plan for everything when it comes to "team preparation," and he seldom veers away from the plan. Under Malzahn and staff, we see defenders racing to make a play but losing their gap responsibility or giving up the edge that turns a 3-yard run into a 30-yard play. On offense we see receivers lazy on run plays, tipping off the defense. Watch the receivers coming off the line on a run play. Unless they are assigned to make a block, they often muddle through the play. This season alone, we have seen senior players field punts inside their own five or miss blocking assignments. Auburn has veteran receivers dropping passes or veteran players missing tackles. When these minor mistakes occur, how often are they confronted or corrected when they come off the field? We have a coach on the sideline so focused on the offense, he forgets or doesn't realize he can call a timeout to help his defense. Malzahn could have called a timeout in the Georgia game just before halftime to allow Steele extra time to decide on his defensive call to counter UGA's pending 4th down play. It reminded me of Malzahn's failure to call a timeout against Florida State, just before they executed a fake punt. Again, it is the little things that begin with the coaches and works down to the players. Everyone must be accountable for every play. Again, Auburn has players that can win championships and give their all for the most part. Their effort should not be questioned, where is the accountability when the same mistakes are made over and over. Defenders jumping off-sides or lining up off-sides shows a lack of discipline and focus. It is a quarterback who licks his fingers multiple times before every pass play. It is about coaching on the sideline and being aware of the moment of the game to make sound adjustments. It is about correcting players when they make mistakes and giving them a plan to be successful moving forward. The best coaches I have been around or witnessed are usually great "teachers." All the mental errors and miscues we witness on television is likely the final product of how the players are practicing and prepared during the week. I am a firm believer that championship teams are built during the spring and summer and modified once the season begins. Good coaches continue to coach regardless of the score. Talent can sometimes overcome some mistakes or mask issues but not for long. Eventually, an inadequately prepared team will show its vulnerability on game day. On the flip side, a well-coached team lacking talent can perform consistently because they execute well and make fewer mistakes. Gus Malzahn could hire a staff of great coaches, but if there is no accountability directed towards the players, they will continue to make the same mistakes. After every loss, Malzahn is quick to reference mistakes or poor execution being the primary cause for the loss. Though there is some truth to poor execution at critical moments of the game, what are Gus and his staff doing to make sure the same mistakes are not made over and over? We all know it is up to any coaching staff to place their players in the best position to be successful, but that is not enough to build a championship program. The right play can be called at the right moment, but it only takes one player to ruin the execution of the play. Show me a championship team in any sport, and I will show you a team that executes well. Execution is developed through preparation and repetition. For all the mistakes we see on Saturday, think about how practice and camps are handled at Auburn. Gus Malzahn's staff places the players in position to be successful more often than not, but what are the coaches doing to eliminate the mental mistakes and poor execution? If a wide receiver is steadily dropping passes the response cannot be just continuing to throw to him in the hope he will improve. The coaches have to address why the drops occur and give the player the guidance to be more fundamentally sound. Does Malzahn recognize this and is he capable of making the changes to make Auburn better at executing? Football is a challenging sport and fans tend to focus on play-calling and schemes. Poor fundamentals and execution will destroy the best game plan. He has to understand that a good house is built on a strong foundation. If the foundation is weak, all the window dressing in the world will eventually be exposed when the house begins to fall apart or collapses. Malzahn's coaching history was always going to be a possible concern. He does not come from a strong coaching tree, where he worked under a great head coach. He has been tasked to learn on the job, and some of the results have been painful to watch. Gus Malzahn is driven and intelligent when it comes to X's and O's, but sometimes he cannot see the forest for the trees. The great coaches make sure the little things are always in order to meet the significant challenges. Good luck Coach and War Eagle!
  8. Upon Further Review - Auburn Pass Offense: Yesterday I noted Auburn's 172 yards passing on 25 completions was the lowest yardage gained on at least 25 completions by an Auburn offense from 1961-2018. From 2000-2018, teams from the Southeastern Conference have combined for 351 games of at least 25 completions. Auburn's 172 yards gained against Georgia last night was the worst performance by an SEC team regarding passing yardage gained. Comparing Auburn's passing performance last night to other SEC teams, there were 73 games where an SEC team completed 25 passes during a game. The average passing yardage gained was 313 yards. Looking back at the last 3004 games involving an SEC team from 2000-2018, Gus Malzahn's pass offense appears six times in the top-5 worst percentile for the lowest yards per pass attempt during a game. Examining SEC teams during Malzahn's tenure at Auburn as OC and HFC, Auburn had seven finishes in the top-5 percentile of the worst yards per completion during a game. Only Florida (9), Kentucky (11), Tennessee (8) and Vanderbilt (8) had more finishes in the top-5. During the Malzahn offensive era at Auburn, the Tigers have been held to under 7-yards per pass attempt in nearly 1/3 of their games (31.6 percent). Auburn is 13-24 during those games. Against Power-5 competition, Auburn was held to under 7-yards per pass attempt in 39.3 percent of their games under Malzahn's offensive control. The Tigers are 11-24 in those games, scoring an average of 19 points per game. From 2015-2018, Auburn is now 3-14 against Power-5 teams when the Tigers average 7-yards per pass attempt or less. This includes an average of 16 points per game. Malik Miller and John Shenker were targeted as many times as Anthony Schwartz against the Bulldogs. For a passing offense that survives on the "short" passing game, Auburn is 13 of 29, converting situations of 2-yards or less to convert, throwing the football the past two seasons. During the last two games, Jarrett Stidham has attempted 37 passes within 5-yards of the line of scrimmage for 3.6 yards per attempt. For the season it is 170 pass attempts of the short variety for just 5.4 yards per attempt. From 2015-2018, Auburn has attempted 233 passes on first down against Power-5 competition with a winning record for a total of 8 touchdown passes. From 1992-2018, Auburn has averaged 8.21 yards per pass attempt on first down. Auburn's pass offense from 2015-2018 has reached that average only 23 of 50 games. The Tigers are 12-15 during the games they failed to reach the average. Auburn's pass-efficiency on third down from 1993-2018 is 126.5. This season Auburn has a pass rating of 111.0 on third down, held under 100 in 5 of 10 games. Gus Malzahn's collegiate offense is now 9-20 against Power-5 competition when the running game is held below 150-yards rushing. During those 29 games, his offense averaged 190 yards passing, 293 yards in total offense and 19 points per game. His pass offense threw for 35 touchdowns and 29 interceptions for 6.8 yards per pass attempt. Malzahn's offense is now 13-24 against top-40 defenses when his offense is held under 200-yards rushing. His offense averaged 315 yards and 20 points per game during those 37 games. Pass efficiency is 123.0 overall during those games, and his offense was 2-19 during the games they fell under a 123 rating. The majority of offenses are hindered without a consistent running game, so the above numbers are not an indictment of Gus Malzahn's offense only. Auburn's 3-13 record from 2015-2018, when held under 140-yards rushing, should be a sobering wakeup call for Malzahn to make changes offensively. From 2015-2018, Auburn is 9-13 against FBS opponents with a winning record, when Auburn attempted more than 40 percent of their passes within 5-yards of the line of scrimmage. Auburn averaged just 21 points per game during those 22 contests. During his post-game press conference, Gus Malzahn's explanation for so many short passes against Georgia was the Bulldogs took everything else away. If he cannot recognize how to adjust his pass offense to make plays downfield, it is long overdue to hire someone who can. There is nothing wrong with having a "run to set up the pass offense," but Auburn will not compete for a championship if they continue the same tendencies, throwing the football. Malzahn has some major decisions to make regarding his offensive coaching staff and whether or not he wants to maintain control over the product. War Eagle!
  9. Upon Further Review - Georgia Game During the first five games of the season, Auburn's defense allowed an average of 152.4 yards on 4.3 yards per play during the first half. During the last five games, Auburn has surrendered 218.8 yards on 6.1 yards per play during the first half. Auburn has held the opponent to 2-yards or less on 51.5 percent of the snaps defended. They held Georgia to only 34.8 percent Saturday night. The Auburn offense averaged 6.5 yards per play during their first 14 first down snaps and only 4.1 yards during their next 14 first down snaps. Last season Auburn averaged 29.6 yards per impact play, the best average by an Auburn offense from 1992-2018. This season the Tigers average 24.1 yards per impact play, the second-worst average during the same period. With 56 receptions on the season, Ryan Davis has the opportunity to become the first Auburn Tiger to have back-to-back 60-reception seasons. He is already Auburn's all-time leading receiver, breaking the record against the Bulldogs. Ryan Davis has caught 165 passes for 8.9 yards per reception and six touchdowns. Brent Fullwood had 166 rush attempts during the 1986 regular season for 8.4 yards per rush and ten touchdowns. Imagine what Ryan Davis could have accomplished if the majority of his receptions required him to make one person miss rather than 3-4. Auburn scored a 12 of 39 (30.8%) on their statistical report card against Georgia. It was the lowest "team" production this season. It marked the 5th time from 2009-2018, Auburn had a team grade below 31 percent against the Georgia Bulldogs. Auburn's defense has allowed 3.7 yards per rush during the second half, but the Georgia Bulldogs averaged 7.7 yards. The 77-yard touchdown run was a back-breaker for the Auburn defense and a statistical explosion. The secondary accounted for nearly 42 percent of the tackles against UGA, way too high against a team that threw the football only 33.3 percent of the time. During the first five games of the season, the Auburn defense forced a "3 & out" on 49 percent of the possessions defended. During the last five games, it has dropped to just 19 percent. Last season through ten games, Auburn passed the ball 32 percent of the time during the second-half. This season through ten games, it has increased to 55 percent. JaTarvious Whitlow needs an average of 111-yards rushing during his last three games of the season to reach the 1000-yard mark. He is currently averaging 66.8 yards per game. He does have three games this season with at least 14 carries, averaging 132 yards per game. Last night marked the 37th time since 1985, Auburn's leading passer was held to under 200-yards passing, and leading rusher was held to under 50-yards rushing during the same game. Auburn is now 8-28-1, when it occurred and 1-7 under Gus Malzahn's control of the Auburn offense. Auburn is now 6-50 from 1961-2018 when the opponent out-rushes the Tigers by 150-yards. The average score during those 56 games is 31-12 in favor of the opponent. Under Gus Malzahn, Auburn is 6-17 when the opponent has more rushing yardage and 1-8 when the opponent out-rushes Auburn by more than 100-yards. Auburn is now 69-5 during their last 286 games when the Tigers do not lose the tackle for loss battle, first-down battle and turnover battle during the same game. Two of the five losses have now come against Georgia. Under Gus Malzahn, Auburn is 20-2 when they do not lose the trifecta. War Eagle!
  10. StatTiger

    Georgia Game Report Card

    Game #10 Statistical Evaluation (Georgia Game) Offensive Report Card 01) Avg 6-yards per play on 1st down: [5.28] fail 02) Convert at least 40% of 3rd downs: [27.3%] fail 03) Avg at least 4.5 yards per rush: [5.1] pass 04) Score on at least 1/3 of possessions: [20.0%] fail 05) Keep 3 and out series under 33%: [20.0%] pass 06) Average 8.0 yards per pass attempt: [4.81 yds] fail 07) Score at least 75% inside red zone: [100.0%] pass 08) TD red zone above 60%: [50.0%] fail 09) Avg at least 30-yards per possession: [27.4 yds] fail 10) 40% of offensive snaps part of scoring drives: [31.6%] fail 11) TD / Turnover ratio above 1.6: [1 / 0] fail 12) TD ratio of at least 1 every 17 snaps: [57.0] fail 13) At least 8 impact plays: (3) fail 14) At least 2 big plays: (1) fail 15) Pass rating of at least 126.3: [115.5] fail 16) Yards to Point Ratio of 14.0 or under: [27.4] fail Score: 3 of 16 (18.7%) Defensive Report Card: 01) Avg under 6-yards per play on 1st down: [5.00] pass 02) Convert below 35% of 3rd downs: [57.1%] fail 03) Avg at least 4.0 yards per rush or less: [6.6] fail 04) Score 1/3 of possessions or below: [50.0%] fail 05) Keep 3 and out series above 33%: [10.0%] fail 06) Average below 7.5 yards per pass attempt: [7.48 yds] pass 07) Score below 75% inside red zone: [75.0%] fail 08) TD red zone below 60%: [25.0%] pass 09) Avg under 30-yards per possession: [51.6 yds] fail 10) 40% or less of offensive snaps part of scoring drives: [55.1%] fail 11) TD / Turnover ratio below 1.6: [3/1] fail 12) TD ratio of at least 1 every 30 snaps: [23.0] fail 13) Less than 8 impact plays: (13) fail 14) No more than 2 big plays allowed: (3) fail 15) Pass rating below 125.0: [163.0] fail 16) Yards to point ratio of 18.0 or higher: [19.1] pass Score: 4 of 16 (25.0%) Special Teams Report Card: 1) Punt Average (Above 41.3): [40.3] fail 2) Punt Return Defense (Below 7.8 YPR): [0.0] pass 3) Punt Return Offense (Above 9.8 YPR): [13.0] pass 4) Kick-Return Defense (Below 21.2 YPR): [41.0] fail 5) Kick-Return Offense (Above 22.3 YPR): [17.0] fail 6) PAT’s (100%): [1/1] pass 7) FG Pct (75% or above): [100.0%] pass Score: 4 of 7 (57.1%) Pass * 50% is a passing score. The team with the most rushing yardage is now 24-5-1 during the last 30 meetings, and Auburn is 1-13 when Georgia has more rushing yardage. Auburn needed to keep the rushing difference within 75-yards, but the Bulldogs were +201 in rushing. For those wanting an "Air-Raid" game plan on offense saw more passing but the same passing concepts under Malzahn. Of his 36 pass attempts, Stidham attempted 25 within 5-yards of the line of scrimmage. The Georgia defense did a good job limiting the yards after the catch. From 1961-2018, Auburn has now completed at least 25 passes during a game on 28 occasions. Auburn's 25 completions against Georgia netted a dismal 172-yards, the lowest passing yardage by an Auburn pass offense with at least 25 completions. During the previous 27 games Auburn completed at least 25 passes, the Tigers averaged 330 yards passing. Auburn's continued inability to establish the run along with their short passing game made it easy for a Georgia defense to keep everything in front to eventually smother the Tigers offense. Auburn's defense was hammered with over 300-yards rushing, now allowing 209 yards rushing per game during their last five conference games. It marked the eighth time Kevin Steele's defense has allowed over 200-yards rushing with a 3-5 record during those eight games. In conference play, Auburn has allowed an average of 159-yards rushing under Kevin Steele. Once again, the defense surrendered a high number of explosive plays as Georgia had 13 plays of 15-yards or more. Auburn allowed 350 yards on just the 13 explosive plays. Third-down defense continues to be an issue as of late for the Auburn defense as Georgia converted 8 of 14 attempts. It was the worst defensive performance of the season as Georgia gained at least 45-yards on eight of their nine possessions. Their tenth and final possession was a merciful kneeling of the football to expire the final period. The only reason special teams had a passing grade was the conversion of their loan PAT and one field goal attempt. On a night Auburn needed to manufacture points, special teams did very little to assist in that regard. Auburn under Gus Malzahn is now 0-8 when trailing by at least ten points at halftime and 2-8 when trailing by at least seven points. The two victories came during the 2013 season which feels like a long time ago. Georgia has dominated Auburn away from Jordan-Hare with Gus Malzahn in control of the Tigers offense. During six games away from Jordan-Hare, Auburn has not scored an offensive touchdown after the first quarter, shutout in 15 of 18 quarters after the first period. After the first quarter, Auburn has scored only 13 points during the 18 quarters after the first period. Auburn is now 7-17 under Gus Malzahn when trailing at halftime and 3-13 against FBS teams from 2015-2018. War Eagle!
  11. StatTiger

    Texas A&M Game Report Card

    I think we reached a point in the game even Malzahn felt, "what the heck" and cut the passing game loose. Kind of like the UCF game last year, when AU just let it rip everywhere on the field. Gus is normally conservative when it comes to the passing game and likely felt there was nothing to lose when the fourth quarter began, trailing by 13.
  12. During the first five games of the season, 31.1 percent of the snaps defended by the Auburn defense resulted in at least 5-yards. During the last four games, it has increased to 44.3 percent. Auburn's defense has lost its consistency, which is a concern with the two conference games remaining on the season. Auburn allowed 6.7 yards per play during the first half of the Aggie game and 4.3 during the second half. Of the Aggies 35 first half snaps, 11 were held to 2-yards or less (31.4%). Of their 44 second half snaps, 27 were held to 2-yards or less (61.5%). Jarrett Stidham has averaged 245 yards passing per game during his last five outings, along with 7 TD passes and two interceptions. The Aggies rushed for 143 yards on 21 carries during the first half and were held to 58 yards on 26 attempts during the second half. Twenty-four times from 1986-2018, Auburn has been held to 50-yards or less rushing. Jarrett Stidham's 154.1 QB rating is the highest rating by an Auburn quarterback under those circumstances. Darius Slayton became the first Auburn player to record a 100-yard receiving performance this season. It is the second of his career and the 18th since Gus Malzahn took over as head coach. During the first half, Auburn ran the ball on 8 of 11 first down plays. The Tigers gained a total of 3-yards rushing from the eight running plays on first down. The Tigers ran the ball just three times out of 12 second half first down plays, primarily because they trailed by ten going into the final period. Auburn finished with an efficiency rating of 214.6 on first down, a season-high for the Tigers against an FBS opponent. Auburn is 14-3 under Gus Malzahn when the Tigers attempt at least eight first down passes and average at least 8-yards per attempt. Auburn is now 37-8 under Gus Malzahn when the Tigers gained more yards per play on first down than the opponent. When Auburn out gains the opponent by at least one yard per play, the Tigers are 32-1. Auburn came into the game, 1-8 when the offense went "3 & out" over 40 percent of the time. The Tigers went "3 & out" on six of 13 possessions against the Aggies and still managed to pull out the victory. The Tigers are converting only 34 percent of their third-down situations the last eight games. Big plays have kept the Tigers in contention with the inability to sustain drives. It will become difficult to finish out the last two conference games, counting on big plays for a victory. Jarrett Stidham has 34 pass plays of 30-yards or more during his tenure at Auburn. In comparison, Nick Marshall had 31 during the first 23 games of his Auburn career. From 1990-2018, Auburn is now 8-25 when the opponent has at least ten more first downs than the Tigers. The Tigers were outgained by the Aggies by 15, giving Auburn a 2-7 record when the opponent has at least 15 more first downs than the Tigers. The previous victory came against Northwestern in 2009. Auburn is now 14-4 under Malzahn when the Tigers do not lose a fumble, and the opponent loses at least one fumble during a game. Auburn has now lost 1 of their last nine fumbles (11.1%), a vast improvement of losing 19 of their previous 25 fumbles (76.0%). Before yesterday, Auburn was 0-7 under Malzahn when the Tigers were out-rushed by at least 100-yards. Auburn under Malzahn is now 3-6 during games the Tigers are held to under 100-yards rushing. Interesting enough, the Tigers are 3-1 this season. Auburn won the tackle for loss, turnover and first down battle against Texas A&M. This was a primary difference in the game as Auburn is now 69-4 in games since 1995 when this happens. Auburn's defense is currently registering a tackle for loss on 12 percent of the snaps defended. This is the highest ratio of tackles for loss by an Auburn defense over the past 25 years. Auburn is currently No. 2 nationally in red zone TD percentage (29.6%). It is the best TD percentage by an Auburn defense over the past 30 years. The Tigers ability to clamp down inside the red zone has made up for the slipping 3rd down conversions and big plays allowed. Auburn is now 67-10 in games when the Tigers are +2 in turnovers from 1992-2018 and 14-2 under Gus Malzahn. Auburn is now 43-2 during games they outscore the opponent by at least 14 points during the fourth quarter from 1981-2018 and 62-6-1 when outscoring the opponent by 10 points during the final period. War Eagle!
  13. StatTiger

    Texas A&M Game Report Card

    From 1981-2018 and before the TAMU game, Auburn was 3-69-1 in games the Tigers trailed by at least 10 points, going into the fourth quarter. Auburn was also 0-12 from 1961-2018 when held to under 20-yards rushing and 0-8 with 21 rush attempts or less. These three statistics should place this "team" victory into perspective. The players never quit, despite playing TAMU, the officials and a poor game plan on offense and defense. The outcome appeared to be hopeless when Auburn's offense went "three and out" after the Aggies increased their lead to 27-13. During Auburn's last two possessions, Jarrett Stidham was 7 of 8 in passing for 126-yards, leading Auburn on two touchdown drives to win the game. Darius Slayton made up for his dropped deep ball during the first quarter, hauling in 7 passes for 108-yards. Ryan Davis made up for fielding a punt inside his own three, with a tremendous 47 yard gain on a shallow crossing route. The defense was gashed by the TAMU running game but was terrific in situational play. The defense forced two turnovers which resulted in 14 Auburn points. The Tigers allowed only four third-down conversions from 14 attempts and held the Aggies to 50 percent in touchdown percentage inside the red zone. Auburn won the tackle for loss battle and the first-down battle (yards per play). During the first seven possessions defended, Auburn allowed 304 yards on 41 snaps and 24 points. The Auburn defense clamped down during the final six possessions, allowing 117 yards on 38 snaps and zero points. It was fitting to see Jarrett Stidham embrace Deshaun Davis right before the last play of the game. Both team leaders stepped up and kept their teammates in the game to mount an improbable comeback. Regardless of your stance on Gus Malzahn's future at Auburn, it was beautiful to see the players fighting to the end. They have faced an uphill climb against injuries and outside crowd noise to play to the final whistle. The win does not make up for the last two disappointing losses, but it was indeed lovely to overcome adversity to win a critical game. For the final eight minutes and 40 seconds of the game, Auburn's offense, defense, and special teams were all on the same page, which was required to snatch a victory from the grasp of a sure-defeat. The challenge remaining for the Auburn Tigers is implausible, but for this Saturday, the Auburn Family were able to witness and enjoy a thrilling victory. War Eagle! Game #9 Statistical Evaluation (Texas A&M Game) Offensive Report Card 01) Avg 6-yards per play on 1st down: [6.30] pass 02) Convert at least 40% of 3rd downs: [27.3%] fail 03) Avg at least 4.5 yards per rush: [0.9] fail 04) Score on at least 1/3 of possessions: [30.8%] fail 05) Keep 3 and out series under 33%: [46.1%] fail 06) Average 8.0 yards per pass attempt: [8.6 yds] pass 07) Score at least 75% inside red zone: [100.0%] pass 08) TD red zone above 60%: [100.0%] pass 09) Avg at least 30-yards per possession: [21.4 yds] fail 10) 40% of offensive snaps part of scoring drives: [39.2%] fail 11) TD / Turnover ratio above 1.6: [4 / 0] pass 12) TD ratio of at least 1 every 17 snaps: [12.7] pass 13) At least 8 impact plays: (8) pass 14) At least 2 big plays: (2) pass 15) Pass rating of at least 126.3: [168.8] pass 16) Yards to Point Ratio of 14.0 or under: [9.9] pass Score: 10 of 16 (62.5%) PASS Defensive Report Card: 01) Avg under 6-yards per play on 1st down: [4.51] pass 02) Convert below 35% of 3rd downs: [28.6%] pass 03) Avg at least 4.0 yards per rush or less: [4.3] fail 04) Score 1/3 of possessions or below: [30.8%] pass 05) Keep 3 and out series above 33%: [15.4%] fail 06) Average below 7.5 yards per pass attempt: [6.9 yds] pass 07) Score below 75% inside red zone: [75.0%] fail 08) TD red zone below 60%: [50.0%] pass 09) Avg under 30-yards per possession: [32.4 yds] fail 10) 40% or less of offensive snaps part of scoring drives: [37.9%] pass 11) TD / Turnover ratio below 1.6: [2/2] pass 12) TD ratio of at least 1 every 30 snaps: [39.5] pass 13) Less than 8 impact plays: (10) fail 14) No more than 2 big plays allowed: (2) pass 15) Pass rating below 125.0: [111.8] pass 16) Yards to point ratio of 18.0 or higher: [17.5] fail Score: 10 of 16 (62.5%) PASS Special Teams Report Card: 1) Punt Average (Above 41.3): [48.2] pass 2) Punt Return Defense (Below 7.8 YPR): [3.5] pass 3) Punt Return Offense (Above 9.8 YPR): [9.3] fail 4) Kick-Return Defense (Below 21.2 YPR): [14.0] pass 5) Kick-Return Offense (Above 22.3 YPR): [8.0] fail 6) PAT’s (100%): [4/4] pass 7) FG Pct (75% or above): [N/A] Score: 4 of 6 (66.7%) PASS * 50% is a passing score.
  14. StatTiger

    Ole Miss Game Report Card

    2017 Arkansas game
  15. The team effort we witnessed against Ole Miss was present the week before against Tennessee. The difference in the outcome of the two games was better execution in critical moments of the game. Auburn did not commit self-destructing errors against Ole Miss as they did against the Volunteers. Auburn's defense allowed Tennessee to convert 7 of 10 third-down situations of at least eight yards. Auburn's remaining opponents this season converted only 9 of 63. The three turnovers against Tennessee were poor decisions on the part of the quarterback. Take the sack on all three plays and Auburn survives to play another series. Both offensive game plans were to feed the football to the playmakers and for the most part, Auburn was successful in both games. Looking at the big picture, Auburn's three losses this season are inexcusable, but the team cannot afford to look back at what could have been. The only element they have control over is the remaining games to be played. Auburn has more than enough talent to win their next three football games. The outcome of the next three games will be no different from the first eight games. The coaching staff must place their personnel in a position to be successful, and the players must execute and limit their mistakes. The bye week allows the players to rest up and for the coaching staff to self-evaluate their team. The coaches and players need to focus on the "short-term" goals, treating each remaining game as a season within a season. Auburn's ten impact plays netted 303-yards, a season-high against FBS competition. JaTarvious Whitlow was responsible for five of the plays for 142-yards. Through eight games, Auburn's top-4 playmakers are JaTarvious Whitlow (13), Seth Williams (12), Anthony Schwartz (10) and Darius Slayton (10). During the last three games, the quartet is responsible for a combined 277-yards per game on 12.0 yards per play. Add Ryan Davis, and Shaun Shivers to the game plan and Chip Lindsey has plenty to work with to win the next three games. During the first five games of the season, Auburn's opponent gained at least 5-yards on 31.1 percent of their snaps. During the last three games, it has increased to 43.9 percent. The defense is tired and in dire need of the upcoming bye week. Auburn averaged 6.3 yards per play on first down against Ole Miss, a season-high for the Auburn offense against an FBS opponent. Malzahn's Auburn teams are 31-2 when they average at least 6-yards per play on first down and 19-23 when they do not. During the last three games, Sal Cannella has been targeted more in the passing game than Seth Williams and Anthony Schwartz. Cannella during the last three games averaged 6.2 yards per reception, while Schwartz averaged 24.7 yards and Williams, 24.0 yards per catch. The time has come to target the playmakers rather than trying to make someone a playmaker. Sal Cannella can still have a role in the offense but not at the expense of limiting the proven personnel. Through eight games, Auburn's defense has defended 67 possessions beginning at least 75-yards away from the Tiger's goal line. They have surrendered only three touchdown drives. Special teams, field position, and turnovers will likely decide the outcome of Auburn's next three games. Gus Malzahn must dig deep to become a better situational coach the next two games. During the past five games, 61.3 percent of Stidham's pass attempts are within 5-yards of the line of scrimmage. He has completed only 33.9 percent of his passes beyond 5-yards of the line of scrimmage. Regardless of how Stidham has performed this season, he will be needed to make plays in the intermediate range to win the next two conference games. During his last ten games, Stidham is completing 49 percent of his intermediate passes and only 33 percent of his deep balls. Auburn averaged 4.4 yards per rush during the first half against the Rebels and 7.5 yards during the second half. 57 percent of Auburn's offensive snaps were part of a scoring drive, a season-high against an FBS opponent. Auburn averaged 40.3 yards per offensive possession, a season-high for the Tiger's offense. Last season 31 percent of Auburn's offensive touchdowns were scored outside the red zone. This season it has dropped to just 16 percent, the lowest percentage of touchdowns outside the red zone since 1974. The lack of the big play on offense this season has stymied the offense. The decision to focus the game plan on the playmakers is beginning to show results. During the first five games, Auburn averaged a play of at least 30-yards, every 58 snaps. During the last three games, it has improved to 1 every 34 snaps. Auburn has been out-gained on first down during seven of their last eleven games, posting a 6-5 record. The Tigers went back to running heavily on first down with 80.6 percent of the snaps being run plays. Auburn had run the ball 57.6 percent on first down this season, coming into the Ole Miss game. Emphasizing the running game against the Rebels was an excellent "short-term" decision. First down play selection could change against the next two conference opponents. Auburn's offense under Gus Malzahn is now 58-10 during games the Tigers attempt at least 45 runs. The Auburn defense is allowing a TD every 56.9 plays, the best ratio since the 1989 Auburn defense. Hopefully, the bye week is the spark needed to pump up a defense with rubber legs. Auburn's pass-efficiency defense is currently at 112.9, fifth-best among the last 25 Auburn defenses. Except for the occasional play of 20-plus yards, Auburn's pass defense has been relatively consistent this season. Auburn has now been scored on in 15 consecutive quarters, the longest such stretch since the 2015 season. During Auburn's last 12 conference games, the opponent has attempted 372 passes and the Tigers have intercepted only two of those passes. War Eagle!