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Beaker

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    Auburn! And fly fishing. Best O - 2004; best D 1988
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  1. The equestrian team just got a 5* horse from Kentucky to commit I think I read also. They are jumping over hurdles to keep that program in the top 3.
  2. Remember...these are 17 year olds. Not the most predictable species on planet Earth.
  3. So, it wouldn't matter to you if Auburn had the choice of playing the 17th most difficult schedule every year vs the 3rd most difficult? Say for 20 years in a row? You have no problem with that? This is kinda like bama gets Tenn as their permanent rival and Auburn gets Georgia. Tradition aside, you're thinking that is about same difficulty level? And I say this because Georgia is often in the top 3 while Tenn starts the season around 17th - just a general estimate. This year they start at 9. Which enhances my point further. You know, maybe you don't, in a field of a 100, 3 vs 17 are not close at all. This is statistics, not my opinion. I am not trying to argue, some folks see things differently. War Eagle. I think I will drop....I am leaving tomorrow for vaca.
  4. Long term outlook is not good. We are in the bucket of have nots for the most part.
  5. I get your point....I was talking (actually repeating) what a recruiting analyst said about only the QB position. Having Calzada, Ashford and Gariner is enough for us to be fine for a season or two if we don't get a QB in this 2023 that we like. But we have to get a good one in 2024, not just 'get one'. I didn't mention Finley because not sure how he figures into our future unless he can find some consistency. Hope that helps.
  6. 2021 Strength of schedules... Mmmmm. No, not about the same. #1 Arkansas #3 Auburn #4 South Carolina #6 LSU #7 Alabama #10 Ole Miss #11 Georgia #16 Mississippi State #17 Tennessee #24 Florida
  7. And when Gus recruited, we criticized his methodology and some of the results....I think we will always pick apart the coach on the recruiting front now that we have more information and pay sites. I would have probably questioned John Heisman if I could have seen the players he missed on. As for Harsin's staff - some are and some are not. I think if we landed a desired OT and even one that we "just liked" folks like you and me wouldn't be so nervous about recruiting, figuring it would sort itself out. I just don't think we can look at the entire staff and say, they can't recruit well. Caddy, the LB coach from FL, Brumbaugh, Etheridge have all proven they can coach and recruit. We know the WR coach can flat out coach and I've read he seems to making in roads in recruiting. I list each to say this - something is amiss when it seems like every one of them is struggling to gain a commitment. Could it be NIL and effective negative recruiting? I fear it might be. If it is NIL and effective negative recruiting from the 'colostomy we had in Feb' - I doubt any staff can overcome that before we tack up an impressive win or two. I have to go pack for vaca....hold the fort down and go fill a McDonald's bag will ya!
  8. I get your assumptions, but we have no idea how much cash our NIL coffers have compared to our competition. You make a good point, but you are assuming our NIL is halfway competitive and right now, reading the tea leaves, it does not appear to be so. And just because we raked in top 10 money, that money does not go to our NIL bucket. TAMU reportedly paid $30 mil for their class. Did they? I doubt it, but you think Auburn is gonna pay $10 mil for a class? Heck, we argued for yrs over Gus's buyout and it was $7 per year. Until I see something to prove me wrong, it feels like we are miles behind our competition in the NIL game.
  9. Yeah we need a domino to fall our way. And losing the QB is not the end of the world. But we must hit on the kid for the 2024 class that we want so badly.
  10. I said this when NIL was announced: the rich will get richer. I am very concerned for Auburn long term. And for all the mid sized major univ / football programs. I feel it is an arms race we can't compete in long term. When the all the big programs who are decent start hiring the intellectual capital from programs like bama, Texas A&M, thuga, - NIL will help them become elite on the field. It will take only a few years. Who am I talking about? A major univ with lots of money/alumni and who just can't compete for a Natty right now: Michigan, Penn State, USC, Oregon, TAMU (you see how they are turning the tables), Texas, Oklahoma, Tenn, Wisc - basically big, big alumi bases with football pedigrees. Maybe Mich State... - Let me show you what I mean: Texas hires an SEC OC who appears to be quite successful. Pays SEC money... Now Texas hasn't done anything since the 70's or early 80's if you remove the anomaly that was Vince Young. Texas has like one skin on the wall for last 40 yrs... Now they have Quinn Ewers and just landed Arch Manning. Arguably the two best QBs of their respective classes. If they can hire those two kids, they will be successful buying the needed kids to play in the trenches. You think TAMU has money? Texas is saying, "step aside Jethro and hold my beer". Texas has been the butt of a lot of jokes for over a decade, but they are assembling a scary program using NIL mostly. Basically, big money programs will be poaching key people from elite SEC programs who know how to make NIL work above and below the table. And I don't believe Auburn can compete in an arms race once everyone figures out NIL. This is why I am concerned long term. Facilities used to 'wow kids,' now they are just a requisite.
  11. How do you know it didn't? Couldn't a Texas booster have just paid off an OSU booster / NIL dealmaker? That seems more likely to have happened. Also, there can escalator clauses and such in these NIL agreements. There is protection for the NIL booster.
  12. I said this when NIL was announced: the rich will get richer. I am very concerned for Auburn long term. And for all the mid sized major univ / football programs. I feel it is an arms race we can't compete in long term. When the all the big programs who are decent start hiring the intellectual capital from programs like bama, Texas A&M, thuga, - NIL will help them become elite on the field. It will take only a few years. Who am I talking about? A major univ with lots of money/alumni and who just can't compete for a Natty right now: Michigan, Penn State, USC, Oregon, TAMU (you see how they are turning the tables), Texas, Oklahoma, Tenn, Wisc - basically big, big alumi bases with football pedigrees. Maybe Mich State... - Let me show you what I mean: Texas hires an SEC OC who appears to be quite successful. Pays SEC money... Now Texas hasn't done anything since the 70's or early 80's if you remove the anomaly that was Vince Young. Texas has like one skin on the wall for last 40 yrs... Now they have Quinn Ewers and just landed Arch Manning. Arguably the two best QBs of their respective classes. If they can hire those two kids, they will be buying their kids to play in the trenches. You think TAMU has money? Texas is saying, "step back, hold my beer". Texas has been the butt of a lot of jokes for over a decade, but they are assembling a scary program using NIL mostly. Basically, big money programs will be poaching key people from elite SEC programs who know how to make NIL work above and below the table. And I don't believe Auburn can compete in an arms race once everyone figures out NIL. This is why I am concerned long term.
  13. Super insightful and thanks!. I also recall hearing that we don't have an comparable degree program that aligns with a lot of universities where players are getting some kind sports management degree. I am not saying that is the name, just similar. Then when they try to transfer in - they don't have enough credits or similar hurdles. This is what happened with the guard from U of Ark that was going to transfer, but couldn't. This is a major stinking hurdle that Auburn has to fix! So.....we need to establish a similar degree program to receive transfers because the portal is critical, but if they can't transfer most of their credits, they are not coming.
  14. No program takes 2 QBs per year - that would be 8 in the QB room, plus a redshirt senior once in a while. I get your point though - stock up if you can. And yeah, Gus was throwing Chad a bone albeit, Chad caught lightning in a bottle at Clem with Taj Boyd, Sammie Watkins and Deshaun Watson. Much like Gus caught lightning in a bottle with Nick Marshall.
  15. If you can out recruit those programs vying for the same players (of course). You're right, it's a different scenario, but all of our competition has the NIL and many have much deeper NIL packages and buckets of money to offer. Consider the fact TAMU is twice the size of Auburn and many many are in lucrative fields making big bucks. It's no wonder they were able to buy the #1 class away from bama and thuga. Yes we can sell playing time while our competitors are convincing recruits Harsin is gone if we don't win 9 games and pointing to the February coup attempt. You are 100% right - it's a good time for a rebuild, but zero % of it is easy and it won't be super quick.
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