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  1. Tied 17-17 in the Fourth Quarter in that crap town college station. A&M just scores to tie it up.
  2. From 2000-2012, SEC teams have combined for an efficiency rating of 129.2. During Malzahn's 4 seasons as an OC in the SEC, his pass-offenses had an efficiency rating of 142.8. That's very impressive, when you consider how many quarterbacks account for that overall rating (good & bad). Imagine how efficient it would be with a returning starter in place, which he has never had at the collegiate level. For the most part, if Auburn can run the football, they will have a consistent pass-offense to compliment it. 54 games as an OC in the SEC and his offense ran for 170-yards or more 39 times wi
  3. Dangit, I'm ready for this season to get started. I know I'm about 3-1/2 hours premature on this, but let's start talking about a game we can watch today! The *other* SEC-ACC matchup of the weekend. Anyone leaving work early to see the season kick off? Anyone dying to see anything in particular from this game? I have lots of SC and NC ties in my family, so it's of interest to me. GO!
  4. Post Season Numbers & Thoughts: During the first 7 games of the season the Auburn defense allowed 5.88 yards per play during the first-half and 4.21 yards per play during the second-half. During the final 6 games of the season, the Auburn defense allowed 5.97 yards per play during the first-half and 6.76 yards per play during the second-half. During the first 7 games of the season, 49.0% of the snaps defended by the Auburn defense during the first-half, went for 2-yards or less. It increased to 55.6% during the second half of games. During the last 6 games of the season, 43.7% of th
  5. The Wisconsin defense has been very solid all year up until the B10 Championship. Despite their major beat down at the hands of the Buckeyes, the Badger defense is still No. 4 in total-defense. Some of their success on defense has to do with the caliber of offenses Wisconsin faced but they did hold their opponent to 23 percent below their yardage average for the season. One area Auburn should be able to exploit is the Badger pass-defense. The Wisconsin pass-defense is No. 108 nationally allowing big pass-plays (25+) every 12.4 pass attempts. The Auburn pass-offense is No. 7 nationally in gener
  6. Through 10 games Cameron Artis-Payne has 1,276-yards rushing, averaging 5.59 yards per rush. Through the same number of games last season, Tre Mason had 1,038-yards on 5.73 yards per attempt. CAP has 22 plays of 15-yards or more this season compared to Mason's 13 through the same number of games. Against the Georgia Bulldogs Cameron Artis-Payne was held to just 86-yards rushing, though the senior RB had a 28-yard run called back on a holding penalty. CAP has been the most consistent performer on offense this season and currently leads the conference in rushing with two games remaining in the r
  7. Through 9 games Cameron Artis-Payne has 1190-yards rushing, exceeding the pace of Tre Mason's All-American season in 2013. Mason had 921-yards through 9 games in 2013 and both backs averaged 5.72 yards per rush up through 9 games. CAP averages a 10-yard run or better every 6.1 carries compared to Mason's ratio of 1 every 7.3 attempts. It will be difficult for CAP to close out the season as Mason did in 2013 but it doesn't change the fact CAP is on pace for a very special season of his own. He is currently on pace for a 1,700-yard plus season through 13 games. The senior running back has tot
  8. Reflecting back to the Tuberville era, I was always concerned with teams that were physical. Basically it was teams that could run the football and play well on run-defense. The following numbers support this theory... From 2000-2008, Auburn compiled a record of 13-10 vs. FBS teams with a combination of a top-40 run-offense and top-40 run-defense. When Auburn faced teams that were not top-40 run-offense and top-40 run-defense, the Tigers went 42-5. Looking at the years Gus Malzahn has coached the Auburn offense, the concern becomes teams that can pass the ball and play solid run-defense. Loo
  9. With Gus Malzahn leading the Auburn offense, the Tigers have competed in 39 conference games. The offense has averaged 430-yards and 32 PPG in conference play. Auburn during this time frame has scored 30 or more points, 21 times with a 21-0 record, when they do so. Despite scoring 30 or more points in conference play 21 times, 9 of those game have been settled by 8 points or less (42.8%). Auburn is 4-5 in conference play, when Malzahn's offense scores 20-29 points during a game. From 2003-2008, Auburn went 12-5 in conference play, scoring 20-28 points. It would be nice for the team to be abl
  10. Some fans keep commenting on Auburn needing to find an offensive identity, which is puzzling to comprehend. Auburn through 6 games is No. 21 nationally averaging 487-yards per game and No. 15, in scoring-offense, averaging 39 PPG. A team that is struggling to find it's offensive identity looks like Florida or Vanderbilt. They certainly don't look like a team that averages over 480-yards per game and nearly 40 PPG. To put things in perspective, consider the following. From 1990-2013, only 13 of 288 SEC teams (4.5%) finished the season averaging over 480-yards per game. The Auburn run-offense,
  11. D'haquille Williams clearly lived up to all the preseason hype, catching 9 passes for 154-yards against the Razorbacks. He led all offensive players with 5 impact plays or plays of 15-yards or more. He became only the 4th Auburn WR to record at least 5 impact plays during a game against a conference opponent from 1992-2014. The play... On this play Auburn faces a 3rd & 6 from the Razorback 18-yard line. The Tigers come out in a 4-WR set with D'haquille Williams lined up in the slot on the wide-side of the field. Arkansas responds with a nickel package and their safeties playing deep of
  12. Will Auburn improve upon run-defense in 2014? It needs to for Auburn to make another championship run. Last season was the Year of the Quarterback in the SEC. I believe this season could be the Year of the Running Back in the conference. During the 125 games under Tommy Tuberville, Auburn's defense allowed over 200-yards rushing on 11 occasions or 1 every 11.4 games. During the 66 games since Tuberville left Auburn, the defense has allowed over 200-yards rushing, 23 times or 1 every 2.9 games. Auburn was 11-12 in those 23 games. During the last 25 conference games, Auburn has allowed an ave
  13. Last season placed Auburn back into the national picture but only continued success at this highest level will create the "perception" of being an elite program. Consider the percentage of seasons Auburn had with a win percentage of .750 or better... 1950-1959: 30.0% - 1 SEC Title 1960-1969: 20.0% 1970-1979: 40.0% 1980-1989: 60.0% - 4 SEC Ttiles 1990-1999: 30.0% 2000-2009: 30.0% - 1 SEC Title 2010-2013: 50.0% - 2 SEC Titles It is easy to see why the 1980's under Pat Dye is considered the most successful decade of Auburn football. This current decade has the potential to be as good as
  14. Keys to a championship season... Talent: Auburn might not be the most talented team in the SEC but they have recruited well enough to be in the nation's top-15, if not top-10. The key in this category will be player development, which is too early to tell under Malzahn's staff. It appears they are off to a good start. Auburn is in good shape entering the 2014 season. Depth: In this day & age of college football, very few teams are stocked with depth across the board. Each team tends to have a few issues at certain positions, when it comes to "quality" depth. The key IMO, is having
  15. Finding a second receiver to step up in 2014 to team up with Sammie Coates will be one of the primary goals for the Auburn offense. The Tigers fielded one of the top offenses in the nation during their BCS Championship run but a consistent tandem at WR could take the offense to a higher level of performance. With Nick Marshall returning at quarterback, the Auburn offense already has dynamic potential but adding another play maker at WR would truly stretch opposing defenses to the max. From 1970-2013, there has only been 5 occasions, where Auburn had a tandem of WR's or a TE to total at least
  16. With the personnel (OL and RB's) returning for 2014, Auburn should have the capability of fielding another top-10 run-offense. During Gus Malzahn's previous eight seasons at the collegiate level, five of his run-offenses finished in the nation's top-15 and 4 finished in the top-10. Though Rhett Lashlee and Gus Malzahn will strive for continued improvement in the pass-offense this season, it will not change Malzahn's approach to being a run-first offense. History Notes: Over the past 8 seasons, Malzahn's run-offense has averaged 236.4 yards rushing per game on 5.39 yards per attempt. The
  17. The following is a breakdown of offensive football within the Southeastern Conference. 1960-1969: 269.3 YPG / 4.23 YPP / 63.7 snaps per game / TD every 30.7 snaps / Run Pct: 69.6% 149.4 yards rushing per game and 120.0 yards passing per game. Ole Miss & Georgia led conference in total offense 4 times each. LSU led conference in rushing 4 times, Ole Miss 3 times. Alabama led conference in pass-efficiency 5 times, Ole Miss 3 times. Average Pass-efficiency rating for decade: 101.2 _______________________________________ 1970-1979: 331.1 YPG / 4.71 YPP / 70.4 snaps per game / TD ever
  18. I found the following data interesting... 1980-1989: During the decade before Steve Spurrier arrived at Florida, SEC teams averaged 183.6 yards rushing per game with 38% of the teams averaging over 200-yards rushing for the season. 1990-1992: During the first 3 years with Spurrier at Florida, rushing averages dipped to 175.6 yards per game with 34.3% of the SEC teams averaging over 200-yards rushing per game during the season. 1993-1995: Six years into the Spurrier era at UF and SEC teams are averaging 162.9 yards rushing per game with only 13.9% of the teams averaging over 200-yards rus
  19. The following is based on recruiting data from Scout.com... Recruiting from 2002-2006: 26.6% of the recruits signed by SEC teams were 4 & 5 star players. The Pac-10 was closed behind at 24.9%. The SEC averaged 6.5 players rated as 4 & 5 stars being signed per SEC program. The Pac-10 was second with an average of 5.6 players. 48.3% of the 60 SEC teams during the 5-year period finished with a top-20 class. The second best conference in this regard was the ACC at 30.8%. 6 different SEC teams finished in the top-20 in at least 3 of the 5 years. The Big-12 was second with 4 dif
  20. During the past season, there was only 20 times SEC defenses held a conference opponent to under 300-yards in offense. This meant that SEC offenses were held under 300-yards in offense in 17.5% of their conference games. Of the 20 conference games, a team was held under 300-yards, Alabama and Florida were responsible for 9. Five teams in the SEC including Auburn, failed to record a game, holding a conference opponent under 300-yards. From 2000-2012, 32.4% of SEC teams were held to under 300-yards in conference play, making 2013 the lowest output (17.5%) from 2000-2013. The previous low was
  21. From 2007-2013, 33.2 percent of the passes attempted by the top-100 quarterbacks from each season resulted in a first down or touchdown. During the 2013 season, 29.7 percent of Nick Marshall's pass attempts resulted in a first down or touchdown. He ranked 87th among the top-100 quarterbacks in this category. In comparison, 42.1 percent of Cam Newton's pass attempts resulted in a first down or touchdown during the 2010 season. Newton ranked No. 6among the top-100 QB's during the 2010 season. It should be noted 33.7 percent of Marshall's rush attempts resulted in a first down or TD, ranking h
  22. During the 4 seasons under Gus Malzahn, the Auburn run-offense has become the dominant running game in the conference. Sorting the SEC rushing numbers during 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2013, Auburn... 1) Leads the conference in 200-yard rushing games with 39 out of 54 games. Alabama is second behind Auburn. Auburn's 39 games of 200-yards or more accounts for nearly 1/4 of the 200-yard games totaled by the entire conference during the 4-year period. 2) Leads the conference with 42 individual performances of 100-yards rushing, followed by Alabama. 3) Has averaged 253.9 yards per game under Malzahn
  23. Cameron Artis-Payne has been a quality No. 2 RB in the Auburn offense this year, making the most of his 90 carries on the season. The junior-college transfer is currently averaging 6.8 yards per rush and 1/3 of his carries have resulted in a first-down or touchdown this season. He has produced 20 rushes of 10-yards or more and 6 for 20-yards or more. On this play Auburn has a 3rd & 3 at the Missouri 36-yard line. Cameron Artis-Payne checks in to spell Tre Mason. Auburn will run their read-option as Missouri counters with a run-blitz. At the snap Nick Marshall reads the DE, who is playin
  24. Rarely this season have opponents been able to put 8 and 9 men in the box against the Auburn offense. The primary look for the Auburn offense is a 3-WR set, which is normally defended with 7 in the box and at least 1 safety playing deep because of the concern of giving up a deep pass to Sammie Coates or Ricardo Louis. Sammie Coates currently leads the nation in his ratio of pass-plays of 25-yards or more. When teams began to cheat both safeties up for run-support, Gus Malzahn would often go to a 4-WR look. This almost always resulted in a 7 on 6 match up inside the box, favoring Auburn. On
  25. For the season Auburn has run the ball 72.3 percent of the time and hopefully this will hold true against Florida State. Auburn has been efficient throwing the football when they want to but have struggled throwing when they have to. Nick Marshall has converted 20 of 68 third-down situations (29.4%), throwing the football this season. He has converted 15 of 32, running the football (46.8%). If Auburn finishes the game with more than 45 rush attempts, it's probably a good sign but if Marshall is called upon to throw the football more than 25 times, it's probably bad news for the Tigers. On t
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