Popular Post StatTiger 3,188 Posted November 3, 2018 Popular Post Share Posted November 3, 2018 From 1981-2018 and before the TAMU game, Auburn was 3-69-1 in games the Tigers trailed by at least 10 points, going into the fourth quarter. Auburn was also 0-12 from 1961-2018 when held to under 20-yards rushing and 0-8 with 21 rush attempts or less. These three statistics should place this "team" victory into perspective. The players never quit, despite playing TAMU, the officials and a poor game plan on offense and defense. The outcome appeared to be hopeless when Auburn's offense went "three and out" after the Aggies increased their lead to 27-13. During Auburn's last two possessions, Jarrett Stidham was 7 of 8 in passing for 126-yards, leading Auburn on two touchdown drives to win the game. Darius Slayton made up for his dropped deep ball during the first quarter, hauling in 7 passes for 108-yards. Ryan Davis made up for fielding a punt inside his own three, with a tremendous 47 yard gain on a shallow crossing route. The defense was gashed by the TAMU running game but was terrific in situational play. The defense forced two turnovers which resulted in 14 Auburn points. The Tigers allowed only four third-down conversions from 14 attempts and held the Aggies to 50 percent in touchdown percentage inside the red zone. Auburn won the tackle for loss battle and the first-down battle (yards per play). During the first seven possessions defended, Auburn allowed 304 yards on 41 snaps and 24 points. The Auburn defense clamped down during the final six possessions, allowing 117 yards on 38 snaps and zero points. It was fitting to see Jarrett Stidham embrace Deshaun Davis right before the last play of the game. Both team leaders stepped up and kept their teammates in the game to mount an improbable comeback. Regardless of your stance on Gus Malzahn's future at Auburn, it was beautiful to see the players fighting to the end. They have faced an uphill climb against injuries and outside crowd noise to play to the final whistle. The win does not make up for the last two disappointing losses, but it was indeed lovely to overcome adversity to win a critical game. For the final eight minutes and 40 seconds of the game, Auburn's offense, defense, and special teams were all on the same page, which was required to snatch a victory from the grasp of a sure-defeat. The challenge remaining for the Auburn Tigers is implausible, but for this Saturday, the Auburn Family were able to witness and enjoy a thrilling victory. War Eagle! Game #9 Statistical Evaluation (Texas A&M Game)Offensive Report Card 01) Avg 6-yards per play on 1st down: [6.30] pass 02) Convert at least 40% of 3rd downs: [27.3%] fail 03) Avg at least 4.5 yards per rush: [0.9] fail 04) Score on at least 1/3 of possessions: [30.8%] fail 05) Keep 3 and out series under 33%: [46.1%] fail 06) Average 8.0 yards per pass attempt: [8.6 yds] pass 07) Score at least 75% inside red zone: [100.0%] pass08) TD red zone above 60%: [100.0%] pass 09) Avg at least 30-yards per possession: [21.4 yds] fail 10) 40% of offensive snaps part of scoring drives: [39.2%] fail 11) TD / Turnover ratio above 1.6: [4 / 0] pass 12) TD ratio of at least 1 every 17 snaps: [12.7] pass 13) At least 8 impact plays: (8) pass 14) At least 2 big plays: (2) pass 15) Pass rating of at least 126.3: [168.8] pass16) Yards to Point Ratio of 14.0 or under: [9.9] pass Score: 10 of 16 (62.5%) PASS Defensive Report Card: 01) Avg under 6-yards per play on 1st down: [4.51] pass 02) Convert below 35% of 3rd downs: [28.6%] pass 03) Avg at least 4.0 yards per rush or less: [4.3] fail 04) Score 1/3 of possessions or below: [30.8%] pass 05) Keep 3 and out series above 33%: [15.4%] fail 06) Average below 7.5 yards per pass attempt: [6.9 yds] pass 07) Score below 75% inside red zone: [75.0%] fail 08) TD red zone below 60%: [50.0%] pass 09) Avg under 30-yards per possession: [32.4 yds] fail 10) 40% or less of offensive snaps part of scoring drives: [37.9%] pass 11) TD / Turnover ratio below 1.6: [2/2] pass 12) TD ratio of at least 1 every 30 snaps: [39.5] pass 13) Less than 8 impact plays: (10) fail14) No more than 2 big plays allowed: (2) pass 15) Pass rating below 125.0: [111.8] pass16) Yards to point ratio of 18.0 or higher: [17.5] fail Score: 10 of 16 (62.5%) PASS Special Teams Report Card: 1) Punt Average (Above 41.3): [48.2] pass 2) Punt Return Defense (Below 7.8 YPR): [3.5] pass 3) Punt Return Offense (Above 9.8 YPR): [9.3] fail4) Kick-Return Defense (Below 21.2 YPR): [14.0] pass 5) Kick-Return Offense (Above 22.3 YPR): [8.0] fail 6) PAT’s (100%): [4/4] pass 7) FG Pct (75% or above): [N/A] Score: 4 of 6 (66.7%) PASS * 50% is a passing score. 8 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wareagleguy 1,393 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Great stuff Stat, as always! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
akillshot 293 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Stat, thanks for your analysis. Your two weekly analysis posts and JMR's weekly post are the best posts in the football forum that make it worth coming to read. War Eagle! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PigskinPat 2,512 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Great as always, Stat. It still feels like, though, that for the most part we failed on offense. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dual-Threat Rigby 8,513 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Glad the stats reflect how unparalled this W was. Ive seen some great Auburn comebacks but not when one team is just clearly humming and unstoppable and we're just blowing hot air. The elation I had at the end of that one was the most Ive felt since 2017 UGA tbh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lala 327 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 (edited) Exciting finish but after 53 mins of the worst football I have ever seen i was over it. I am proud of the guys not quitting as they did the last year of Chizik but it felt like the d was not putting in the effort the way A&M was controlling us. I applaud the coaches for inserting the true freshman if the older guys are not getting it done. C Miller looked good. Just need o-line and RB. Edited November 3, 2018 by lala 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
autigeremt 6,504 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 24 minutes ago, lala said: Exciting finish but after 53 mins of the worst football I have ever seen i was over it. I am proud of the guys not quitting as they did the last year of Chizik but it felt like the d was not putting in the effort the way A&M was controlling us. I applaud the coaches for inserting the true freshman if the older guys are not getting it done. C Miller looked good. Just need o-line and RB. It wasn’t the worst 53 minutes of football. That was 2015 UGA. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU64 10,122 Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Wow...passed on offense....will take some time to study the explanation but expect it was the last 5 minutes that got us over the hump. But as they say...it's a 60 minute game and our offense remembered that and took full advantage of that INT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weagl1 1,780 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 Hard to believe they won that game as bad as it looked for 3 1/2 quarters but you have to be proud of them for not quitting. They made the plays when it counted! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DKW 86 7,344 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 So, what was the change that made the O Click so much better in the final 8 minutes? Anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
auburn4ever 1,266 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 I realize a win is a win, but when you only have 19 yards rushing and you have to throw all the time, 8 out of 10 times your gonna get killed. It was a HUGE win for our Tigers and I send my out my congrats to them. We batter enjoy this because we might only one more during these next three weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatTiger 3,188 Posted November 4, 2018 Author Share Posted November 4, 2018 2 hours ago, DKW 86 said: So, what was the change that made the O Click so much better in the final 8 minutes? Anyone? I think we reached a point in the game even Malzahn felt, "what the heck" and cut the passing game loose. Kind of like the UCF game last year, when AU just let it rip everywhere on the field. Gus is normally conservative when it comes to the passing game and likely felt there was nothing to lose when the fourth quarter began, trailing by 13. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUBwins 9,984 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 You bring in a guy like Chip, known for letting the QB sling it. When we finally left him do it, it seems to work. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
I_M4_AU 7,559 Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 After 24 hours to reflect and with no stats to back up my assertion, I believe Gus Orgeroned Fisher. Orgeroned being defined as steeling momentum at the end of a game leaving your opponent with no time left to react. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnnyAU 3,604 Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 Gus seems overly concerned about tricking the D, rather than attacking the D. When we had to go on the attack, we fared much better. I never cared for Lane Kiffin, but the one thing he did well was stress out the D and make them worry about all parts of the field. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SumterAubie 3,027 Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 Nice to see that punting average approaching 50 yards per. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexava 6,969 Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 On 11/4/2018 at 10:00 AM, StatTiger said: I think we reached a point in the game even Malzahn felt, "what the heck" and cut the passing game loose. Kind of like the UCF game last year, when AU just let it rip everywhere on the field. Gus is normally conservative when it comes to the passing game and likely felt there was nothing to lose when the fourth quarter began, trailing by 13. I think we only trailed by 10. But we went 3-5 wide. No play action. This may be the first time I ever remember Gus not faking handoffs for two straight series. We finally accepted that we can’t run the ball. Jarrett looked totally different. Which is puzzling. He supposedly had more options. He got the ball out quickly, accurately and to the right person. This is what puzzles me. He makes worse decisions when he has less options, I guess? Anyway, I like what I saw. Just start where we left off. If we beat uga and I mean keep the offense clicking then compete with the turds.... I’ll fire Gus myself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUsince72 11,084 Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 (edited) 15 minutes ago, alexava said: I think we only trailed by 10. But we went 3-5 wide. No play action. This may be the first time I ever remember Gus not faking handoffs for two straight series. We finally accepted that we can’t run the ball. Jarrett looked totally different. Which is puzzling. He supposedly had more options. He got the ball out quickly, accurately and to the right person. This is what puzzles me. He makes worse decisions when he has less options, I guess? Anyway, I like what I saw. Just start where we left off. If we beat uga and I mean keep the offense clicking then compete with the turds.... I’ll fire Gus myself. When your "less" options are covered and the coach/play-call doesn't give you "more" options to choose from, I guess it stands to reason it would be harder to play QB. I suspect Stids is a dang fine QB and probably quite bright. He's been underdeveloped, and hamstrung in this offense. Interested to see if any real lessons were learned from the last 5 mins of the aTm game going into this week. I doubt it, but we'll see.... Edited November 6, 2018 by AUsince72 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexava 6,969 Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 46 minutes ago, AUsince72 said: When your "less" options are covered and the coach/play-call doesn't give you "more" options to choose from, I guess it stands to reason it would be harder to play QB. I suspect Stids is a dang fine QB and probably quite bright. He's been underdeveloped, and hamstrung in this offense. Interested to see if any real lessons were learned from the last 5 mins of the aTm game going into this week. I doubt it, but we'll see.... We have seen him take sacks with open receivers jumping up and down right in front of him. We have seen him throw into coverage when he had better options. He has several nice designed runs but few if any ad lib scrambles. No coaching good or bad encourages this. I think it’s the internal clock. If he has no more than two quick reads and one is open it’s good. Which is why that should be or should have been the game plan all along. I think it will be Saturday. Recognizing your players strength and weakness is a very big part of coaching. Why I said I’ll fire him myself if an adjusted game plan is wildly successful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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