StatTiger 3,188 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 The 2018 Auburn offense currently ranks No. 24 among the last 32 Auburn offenses from 1987-2018 in plays of 30-yards or more. The 2018 Auburn offense generates such a play every 46.4 snaps. Auburn's average ratio of big plays is one every 34.4 snaps since 1986. The top-5 Auburn offenses during this time frame were 2010, 2013, 2004, 2014 and 2017. Last season the Auburn offense produced 41 plays of at least 30-yards. This season through 11 games, the Tigers have 16 such plays. The 2018 pass offense currently ranks No. 22 among the last 32 Auburn offenses with a 30-yard play every 25.2 attempts. The average ratio from 1987-2018 is one every 20.5 passes. The top-5 Auburn pass offenses during this time frame were 2004, 2010, 2013, 2014 and 1997. The 2018 Auburn run offense currently ranks No. 26 among the 32 Auburn offenses from 1987-2018. This year's Auburn offense generates a 30-yard run or better every 139.0 snaps, and the average ratio is one every 61.2 attempts. Auburn currently has only three 30+ runs this season, compared to the 16 produced last season. The top-5 Auburn offenses during this period were 2010, 2013, 2016, 2005 and 2017. From 1987-2018, big plays accounted for 22.6 percent of the total yardage gained. During the 2017 season, they accounted for 33.3 percent, which was the highest percentage during the past 32 seasons. As dependent as the 2017 Auburn offense was on big plays, it reveals how much the drop off this season has hurt the 2018 Auburn offense. Auburn went from 1 every 25 plays last season to 1 every 46.5 plays this season. Take away the big plays and Auburn averaged 4.51 yards per play during 2017 and 4.77 yards per play this season. Auburn's lack of punch on offense this season combined with struggles in converting third-downs, defines the 2018 Auburn offense. This year's offense has gone "3 & out" over 27 percent of the time, ranking 13th among the last 26 Auburn offenses. Of Malzahn's offenses at Auburn, only the 2011 offense was worse than the 2018 Auburn offense when it came to going "3 & out". Defense: Compounding Auburn's offensive drought in generating big plays on offense is the high number of big plays allowed on defense. Under Kevin Steele, Auburn's ratio of big plays has gradually declined. During 2016, Auburn allowed a 30+ play every 44.2 snaps. The ratio declined in 2017 with one every 36.8 snaps and this season it has dropped further to 1 every 32.2 plays defended. The average ratio from 1992-2018 is one every 41.7 plays. The top-5 Auburn defenses from 1992-2018 are 1992, 2007, 2015, 1994 and 1996. All five defenses combined allowed a big play every 66 plays. The 2018 Auburn defense currently ranks No. 23 among the last 27 Auburn defenses. The 2016 Auburn defense ranks No. 14, and the 2017 Auburn defense ranks No. 18. From 2016-2018, Auburn has surrendered 71 plays of 30-yards or more, broken down by 14 on the ground and 57 through the air. From 1992-2018, 70.3 percent of the big plays allowed were allowed on pass defense. Under Kevin Steele, it has increased to 80.3 percent. War Eagle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATOTiger 10 Posted November 19, 2018 Share Posted November 19, 2018 Way to depress the heck out of me!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gr82b4au 5,568 Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 10 hours ago, StatTiger said: The top-5 Auburn offenses during this time frame were 2010, 2013, 2004, 2014 and 2017. 4 out of the top 5 had Gus on the sideline. What happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fredst 9,064 Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 10 hours ago, StatTiger said: The 2018 Auburn defense currently ranks No. 23 among the last 27 Auburn defenses. The 2016 Auburn defense ranks No. 14, and the 2017 Auburn defense ranks No. 18. Steele getting more credit than he deserves? Seems to be doing less with more, talent-wise, when you look at things objectively. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexava 6,973 Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 21 minutes ago, gr82b4au said: 4 out of the top 5 had Gus on the sideline. What happened? He didn’t stock up on linemen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigbird 60,371 Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 12 hours ago, StatTiger said: From 1992-2018, 70.3 percent of the big plays allowed were allowed on pass defense. Under Kevin Steele, it has increased to 80.3 percent. That's gonna happen a lot when you run press man ~90% of the time and face guard 100%. That's why we routinely see crossing patterns, back shoulders, and rubs. Our coverages need to be upgraded. They're not the best available. We have the athletes to be able to cover better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnacle 9,064 Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 9 minutes ago, bigbird said: That's gonna happen a lot when you run press man ~90% of the time and face guard 100%. That's why we routinely see crossing patterns, back shoulders, and rubs. Our coverages need to be upgraded. They're not the best available. We have the athletes to be able to cover better. Good point here Bird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigbird 60,371 Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Here is a really good article on the Vikings 2017 defense. Their great 3rd down D in particular. https://zonecoverage.com/2018/vikings/what-makes-the-vikings-third-down-defense-so-good/ I particularly like the part where they talk about adjusting their coverage scheme based on the opposing team, their personnel, or particular formations. This flexibility and fluidity is what is needed from a DC and their secondary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Auctoritas 2,827 Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 Casting back in my mind - my wife and her family are Clemson fans, so Ive watched a good deal over the years. During the beginning of Dabo's team getting good, Steele was a huge part of getting that D on track. And then, 2011 happened. Check out the results in Steele's third year. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_Clemson_Tigers_football_team I remember watching that team. It was big plays. Over and over. Giving up 35 and 40 points a game. And then they get absolutely creamed in the Orange Bowl by WV. And he gets fired. I think there is a bit of a lesson there. Don't know what it is. I do think he's a good DC in terms of teaching and xs and os in general, but has an inability to adjust scheme. Don't know why, not enough of a defense person. But it doesn't feel like obstinancy - I think it's not in the toolkit. He seems smart enough to make a change, so why he wouldn't has to be a technical thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cole256 17,039 Posted November 20, 2018 Share Posted November 20, 2018 I just came in hoping to find some. I was thinking maybe there are some that I missed throughout the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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