Upon Further Review - Oregon Game

[StatTiger 3,188]

Upon Further Review

• Finishing strong on defense once again. Oregon converted a combined 4 of 8 on third downs during the first and third quarters and was 0 of 6 during the second and fourth periods.
   
• Auburn’s average distance to convert on third down was 6.9 yards and Oregon’s average was 6.4 yards.
   
• One of the keys for success during Auburn’s victory was the eight impact plays generated by the Auburn offense. Oregon totaled only four such plays. Of Auburn’s 75 offensive snaps, 36.0 percent went for at least five yards. The Ducks generated 37.1 percent of their 70 snaps on offense for at least 5 yards. During their first three possessions, 43.5 percent of their plays went for 5-yards or better, which dropped to 34.0 percent during their final eleven possessions.
   
• Oregon averaged 7.65 yards per play during their first three possessions and only 3.10 yards during their final 11 possessions.
   
• One of the keys to running tempo on offense is the success rate on first down. Of Auburn’s 32 first down snaps, 56.3 percent went for 3-yards or less, something Auburn must improve on moving forward.
   
• Bo Nix targeted 10 different players in the passing game against the Oregon Ducks.
   
• Nix was 13 of 32 against the Ducks but 8 of 11 on first down for 116 yards and 2 touchdowns. Auburn did throw 34.4 percent on first down. He was 1 of 8 on third down, something he needs to improve.
   
• JaTarvious Whitlow, Kam Martin and Shaun Shivers combined for 32 rush attempts. They were held to 3-yards or less 19 times (59.3 percent).
   
• Oregon averaged 3.85 yards per rush during the first half and only 1.00 during the second half.
   
• Auburn converted 7 of 8 situations of 2-yards or less to convert, running the football against the Oregon Ducks.
   
• Difference in the game? Auburn’s defense bailed out the Tiger offense by forcing Oregon to punt after Auburn turned the ball over two times. The defense also prevented Oregon from going up 21-3 by forcing a fumble, which set up an Auburn field goal. Trailing 14-6 was much better than trailing 21-3.
   
• Auburn is now 34-2 under Gus Malzahn when the Tigers average at least one yard more per play on first down than their opponent.
   
• Auburn is now 38-6 under Gus Malzahn when his pass offense averages at least 7.5 yards per pass-attempt on first down.
   
• Gus Malzahn’s statistical goal on third down is to convert at least 40 percent.  Auburn exceeded that goal against the Ducks and Auburn is 43-9 under Malzahn when reaching the goal.
   
• From 2014-2016, Auburn recovered only 25.4 percent of their opponent’s fumbles. From 2017-2019, that percentage has increased to 51.2 percent.
   
• One indicator of consistency on defense is the number of “droughts” the Auburn defense can generate. The goal is holding the opponent to a scoring percentage of less than 33 percent. Against Oregon, Auburn forced two droughts during the game. Oregon went four consecutive possessions without a score and after scoring, went six additional possessions without scoring to close out the game.
   
• Auburn is now 45-5 under Gus Malzahn when the Tigers account for at least 55 percent of the combined rushing totals of both teams.
   
• Despite losing the “tackle for loss” and turnover battle to Oregon, Auburn was victorious. The Tigers are now 4-9 under Malzahn when that happens.

 

War Eagle!

[tbone4jc 2,241]

Thanks Stat!

[Brannigan's Law 29]

35 minutes ago, StatTiger said:

JaTarvious Whitlow, Kam Martin and Shaun Shivers combined for 32 rush attempts. They were held to 3-yards or less 19 times (59.3 percent).

And how many of those 19 runs were by Martin and Shivers?

[toddc 13,194]

That fumble recovery stat going up like that is a testament to Steele teaching everyone run to the ball/swarm the ball carrier! Thanks @StatTiger for your incredible work on these posts!

[Rednilla 5,383]

19 minutes ago, Brannigan's Law said:

And how many of those 19 runs were by Martin and Shivers?

How easy is it to run when the blocking isn't there?

[CodeRocket 410]

On 9/1/2019 at 7:49 PM, Rednilla said:

How easy is it to run when the blocking isn't there?

It appeared to me, watching the game on TV, that Whitlow was getting a lot of yards after and during heavy contact. He was probably taking a beating for his effort.

Martin seemed to be picking a soft spot and getting through it pretty quickly. I also thought he ran with determination.

Shivers, I just don't know. I don't think he had very many good opportunities.

I suspect it was like, as Terry Henly once said, "It was like running in a syrup bucket".

I read @StatTiger post before the game comparing Auburn and Oregon national player rankings by position group. The Auburn defensive line was far superior

to the Oregon offensive line. On the other hand, the Auburn offensive line was slightly inferior to the Oregon defensive line. The game, after the first quarter or so, unfolded according to those two comparisons. We had a very difficult time getting push on their defensive line and they could not run on ours (AU).

Thank you @StatTiger for doing this analysis work and letting all of us benefit from it. 

Edited September 3, 2019 by CodeRocket

[ArgoEagle 1,771]

Only thing I saw was Auburn did not force the fumble. It was an unforced error on the a qb-rb hand off exchange. Everything else seems spot on.

[tigerwings 75]

42 minutes ago, CodeRocket said:

Shivers, I just don't know. I don't think he had very many good opportunities.

 

The best opportunity I saw for Shivers, Tega got pushed back and put a leg in front of Worm at the last second tripping him up. Happened midway thru the 1st. He had a wide open lane and would have gashed them hard.

[bigbird 60,490]

On 9/1/2019 at 6:28 PM, Brannigan's Law said:

And how many of those 19 runs were by Martin and Shivers?

4 Martin

4 Shivers

11 Whitlow

Oops...

 

[Win4AU 4,052]

14 hours ago, tigerwings said:

The best opportunity I saw for Shivers, Tega got pushed back and put a leg in front of Worm at the last second tripping him up. Happened midway thru the 1st. He had a wide open lane and would have gashed them hard.

Have to agree that Worm didn’t have as many opportunities as I’d hoped.  Seemed like he was always getting the ball on that end around handoff.  I would have liked to see a couple more traditional style runs with him.  Hopefully he’ll get plenty of chances against Tulane this weekend.

[Beaker 2,457]

Thanks Stat - I feel like it's Monday morning and I am reading this right before I meet with Gus to discuss his take on things.  

 

(If that were only the case.)

 

[SumterAubie 3,031]

On 9/1/2019 at 6:14 PM, StatTiger said:

Auburn is now 38-6 under Gus Malzahn when his pass offense averages at least 7.5 yards per pass-attempt on first down.

<wonders if Malzahn is aware of this little nugget>

[AUpreacherman22 3,885]

On 9/3/2019 at 6:33 AM, bigbird said:

4 Martin

4 Shivers

11 Whitlow

Oops...

 

According to the Box Score I read, Worm only had 4 carries, all of which went for 3 yards or less (4 carries for 2 yards), and KMart also had 4 carries, 3 of which went for 3 yards or less (4 carries for 11 yards with a long of 7).  Although Boobee was much more efficient than either of the other 2, KMart and Worm didn’t get enough opportunities to really make a fair comparison.   I do hope to see more of a rotation moving forward.

As for efficiency, let’s give the ball more to Stove who is currently averaging 36 yards per carry, and Joey Ballgame who currently has a TD every single time he has touched the ball.  🤣🤣🤣