Finish out the season (Merged)

[ellitor 33,062]

26 minutes ago, AuburnArch13 said:

Their BPI predictions for individual games are available for free on the preview pages for the game in the ESPN mobile app. Don’t know where else they may or may not be available. I do recall them being difficult to find via web-browser from a few years back when I was trying to use them as inputs for a Monte-Carlo style simulator I was tinkering around with in excel. 

Thanks for the tip. On a web browser you have to click on the time of game link for a game from the AU schedule web page to get to the game preview & BPI predictions.

[Dual-Threat Rigby 8,641]

If Okoro is truly rested and UK falls before we’d have to meet them, I could see us winning the tourney. It’s going to be tough but I like our chances versus this defeated and beatdown LSU

[ellitor 33,062]

45 minutes ago, Dual-Threat Rigby said:

If Okoro is truly rested and UK falls before we’d have to meet them, I could see us winning the tourney. It’s going to be tough but I like our chances versus this defeated and beatdown LSU

I’m not sure they’re beat down. They just laid one on South Carolina.

[Dual-Threat Rigby 8,641]

26 minutes ago, ellitor said:

I’m not sure they’re beat down. They just laid one on South Carolina.

USC is butt 

[gravejd 3,269]

Man i just got curious and checked the SEC standing and who would have thought USCe and TA&M would be tied for 5th place. SEC will be lucky to get 4 bids this year in tourney. What a terrible year this turned out to be for the conference after such a good one last season. On the plus side i do think Kentucky, LSU, FL, and AU are all capable of making some noise in the tourney.....

[Dual-Threat Rigby 8,641]

42 minutes ago, gravejd said:

Man i just got curious and checked the SEC standing and who would have thought USCe and TA&M would be tied for 5th place. SEC will be lucky to get 4 bids this year in tourney. What a terrible year this turned out to be for the conference after such a good one last season. On the plus side i do think Kentucky, LSU, FL, and AU are all capable of making some noise in the tourney.....

I think alot of important talent eeked out. Chris Silva for USC...I dont think Ive watched an A&M game in 2 years so IDK what to say about them. And there's some promising individual talent dispersed throughout the conference, they're just put on islands or playing for poor coaches. UGA, Ole Miss, Alabama, Vandy, all have incredible NBA level of talents. All are shooting for the NIT 

[ellitor 33,062]

3 hours ago, Dual-Threat Rigby said:

USC is butt 

They are also usually tough at home. Just ask Kentucky.

[ellitor 33,062]

3 hours ago, gravejd said:

Man i just got curious and checked the SEC standing and who would have thought USCe and TA&M would be tied for 5th place. SEC will be lucky to get 4 bids this year in tourney. What a terrible year this turned out to be for the conference after such a good one last season. On the plus side i do think Kentucky, LSU, FL, and AU are all capable of making some noise in the tourney.....

Would have and should have had five but Arkansas is really hurting without Isaiah Joe.

[Gowebb11 9,308]

3 hours ago, gravejd said:

Man i just got curious and checked the SEC standing and who would have thought USCe and TA&M would be tied for 5th place. SEC will be lucky to get 4 bids this year in tourney. What a terrible year this turned out to be for the conference after such a good one last season. On the plus side i do think Kentucky, LSU, FL, and AU are all capable of making some noise in the tourney.....

TAMU looked horrible early, and are obviously lacking in top shelf talent. But Buzz has coached them up well and they are very competitive. Their big man (Nebo?) can be dominant at times. 

[toddc 13,194]

Deep Dive: SEC Standings

Three games left, how can this shake out?

By JackCondon@CollegeAndMag  Feb 28, 2020, 8:08pm CST

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John Reed-USA TODAY Sports

Tomorrow marks the biggest day in conference play during the 2019-202 SEC basketball season. We very well could see the regular season championship decided for all intents and purposes at Rupp Arena tomorrow afternoon. 

Auburn takes on Kentucky as the only team with a real shot at catching the Wildcats in the race for the conference crown. Here’s the situation for the Tigers to capture a third consecutive SEC title....

Auburn sits at 11-4 in the league, while Kentucky’s 13-2. Two-game swing, with Auburn owning the tiebreaker right now. The road for Bruce Pearl’s guys is simple, but they don’t control their own destiny. Here’s what we need —

A 3-0 finish to the year. That’s imperative. Auburn has to beat Kentucky, Texas A&M, and Tennessee. It’s possible for Auburn to still win the league with a 2-1 finish, but that means you have to beat Kentucky and hope the Cats lose out. They’ve got to play at Florida, so another loss is definitely on the table. An 0-3 finish? Unlikely. 

If we do finish 3-0 on the year, we’d end the season at 14-4. Kentucky has to finish 1-2. One of those losses needs to come to us. If Kentucky beats us tomorrow, they win the SEC and guarantee the 1-seed in Nashville (NOT LIKE THAT MATTERS)

Jacob Hillman@Jacob_Hillman3

We’re doubling up today for Auburn’s biggest basketball rival. From the @__Austinwiley50 block, to the @Therealvinoo pass and then the @Bwb_2 three, this sequence should always be remembered

338

8:59 AM - Feb 22, 2020

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Anyway, that’s pretty much it. With only three games left, the scenarios are fairly limited. 

So what’s going to happen with everything behind Auburn? Well, let’s dive in.

CURRENT CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT SEEDING

If the tournament began today, here’s the seeding:

Kentucky

Auburn

Florida

LSU

Mississippi State

South Carolina

Texas A&M

Tennessee

Alabama

Arkansas 

Missouri

Georgia

Ole Miss

Vanderbilt

Vanderbilt’s locked in to the 14-seed. They’re three games back of both Georgia and Ole Miss, and they have no tiebreaker over either. They will play Ole Miss tomorrow, but they’d have to win out to avoid the bottom seed, and that’s unlikely.

Here are the matchups everywhere else if the standings stay the same:

Day 1 - #14 Vanderbilt vs #11 Missouri

Day 1 - #12 Georgia vs #13 Ole Miss

Day 2 - #8 Tennessee vs #9 Alabama

Day 2 - #5 Mississippi State vs Vandy/Missouri Winner

Day 2 - #7 Texas A&M vs #10 Arkansas

Day 2 - #6 South Carolina vs Georgia/Ole Miss Winner

Day 3 - #1 Kentucky vs Tennessee/Alabama Winner

Day 3 - #4 LSU vs TBD

Day 3 - #2 Auburn vs A&M/Missouri Winner

Day 3 - #3 Florida vs TBD

It gets a little wild with the possibilities once you hit Nashville, so maybe the best course of action is to plot out who Auburn would like to face. Obviously, you’d like the Tigers to get the 1-seed, but then that might turn out with us facing off against a primed Alabama team in Nashville. The last time that happened, it wasn’t good for us, and we got blitzed.

However, we might also get to play Tennessee. That would be hilarious, because Rick Barnes has no idea what to do against a fully operational Bruce Pearl. I believe it’s been three (?) years since the Vols beat Auburn? Bruce just keeps getting the best of Ricky. Still, facing the Vols or Tide might be an unlikely scenario since we have to win the regular season and that’s not in our control. So, let’s assume we get the 2-seed. We’re a game up on LSU and Florida, so let’s just assume they can’t make up two games in the final three. 

That means we play the winner of Missouri and Texas A&M. Eh. I don’t want to play a hot Aggie team with Buzz Williams doing some ace coaching, and I don’t want to play Missouri, even though we know they’re not going to hit 65% of their threes again (not an overestimation). Maybe we’d get the Missouri that hits like 7% of its threes. Dare to dream. 

If we got through that, then it would likely be Florida again, unless South Carolina upsets them. Hey, we beat BOTH of those teams last year on the way to the SEC Championship. We made Florida super mad, and now the Gamecocks don’t have a goliath in Chris Silva. On a neutral floor, we can probably handle both of those groups again. 

Did I just write all of this to say that the spot where we currently sit might not be that bad? Possibly. However, getting the top seed would likely get us a spot in the half of the bracket where we’re a combined 7-2 against the rest of the participants. Let’s shoot for that, and let’s just beat Kentucky tomorrow. 

Shouldn’t be tough. We’ve gotten two straight over those guys.

https://www.collegeandmagnolia.com/2020/2/28/21158594/deep-dive-sec-standings

[Tigerpro2a 5,650]

Thanks

[auburn4ever 1,266]

Auburn's last 2 regular season games are against Texas A&M in Auburn and at Tennessee. It would be nice if we could end the regular season at 26-5.

[cheap seats 40]

Auburn needs to win at least one of the remaining 2 games to guarantee at least a 4 seed in the SEC Tournament and a double bye. Winning both would be a whole lot cooler. 

[alexava 6,973]

I feel pretty good about winning both. 

[SumterAubie 3,031]

23 hours ago, alexava said:

I feel pretty good about winning both. 

Auburn needs to win at least one to practically insure a 2/3 seed. We don't want to be on the same side of the bracket as Kentucky

[Tigerpaul53 33]

Can those that know better than me help me out.  Auburn also holds tiebreaker wins over Mississippi State and South Carolina, meaning that, I think that the best they can do is 11-7 and worst we can do is 11-7.  So with tiebreakers, we can’t be worse than 4th.  Is that correct?  We clinched the double bye?

 

[gravejd 3,269]

17 minutes ago, Tigerpaul53 said:

Can those that know better than me help me out.  Auburn also holds tiebreaker wins over Mississippi State and South Carolina, meaning that, I think that the best they can do is 11-7 and worst we can do is 11-7.  So with tiebreakers, we can’t be worse than 4th.  Is that correct?  We clinched the double bye?

 

I think with USCe beating State tonight this is true. 

[Tigerpaul53 33]

14 minutes ago, gravejd said:

I think with USCe beating State tonight this is true. 

Thanks!  That is huge.  WDE

[ellitor 33,062]

4 hours ago, SumterAubie said:

We don't want to be on the same side of the bracket as Kentucky

I don't mind if it's the UK team that showed up in the 2nd half of their game versus the Vols tonight.

[auburn4ever 1,266]

After watching the Tigers play in the last 5 to 6 games, I'm not sure they can beat UT @ UT. I hope I'm wrong though.