Cameron Newton by the numbers (passing)

[StatTiger 3,146]

Through 8 games, here is a breakdown of Cameron Newton’s passing numbers.

By downs…

1st down: 32-43-2-478yds-4tds (189.2 rating)

2nd down: 37-57-2-561yds-4tds (163.7 rating)

3rd down: 20-37-1-319yds-5tds (165.7 rating)

In the last 3 games, Newton’s pass rating on 3rd down is 117.2

Field Distribution…

·55.4 percent of his pass attempts have been within 10-yards of the line of scrimmage and he has completed 75.3 percent of those passes.

·24.5 percent of his pass attempts have been from 11-20 yards of the line and he has completed 67.6 percent of those passes.

·20.1 percent of his pass attempts have been beyond 20-yards of the line and he has completed 35.7 percent of those passes. All 5 of his interceptions this season has fallen under this range of 21-yards or more.

Target Distribution:

Darvin Adams ---------- 29.1 percent

Terrell Zachery --------- 17.6 percent

Emory Blake ------------ 12.8 percent

Mario Fannin ------------ 9.5 percent

Kodi Burns --------------- 8.1 percent

Last 5 games…

Darvin Adams ------------ 24.7 percent

Terrell Zachery ----------- 20.6 percent

Emory Blake -------------- 13.4 percent

Philip Lutzenkirchen ----- 11.3 percent

Kodi Burns ----------------- 10.3 percent

·Through 8 games, Auburn has attempted 148 passes, totaling 13 big plays (30-yards or more) and 36 impact plays (15-yards or more).

·Last season through 8 games, Auburn had attempted 222 passes for 10 big plays and 43 impact plays.

  Despite attempting 74 less passes than 2009, the 2010 Auburn pass-offense has a big play ratio of 11.4 and an impact ratio of 4.1. Last season through 8 games, the Auburn pass-offense had a big play ratio of 22.2 and an impact ratio of 5.2.

[FreeBird 0]

You Da Man Stat.

:bow: :bow: :bow: :bow: :bow: :bow: :bow: :bow:

[312234 0]

:thumbsup: :thumbsup:

[tiger241345162816 0]

Are the ratios in the last paragraph correct?  Maybe I am reading it wrong, but I think you have the years with the wrong ratios.  Great post.  Missed your insights the past couple of days.  

[BornaTiger 0]

great post Stat!!!

[AUFan1 0]

Just curious what happened to Q Carr in the passing game. He had a great spring and caught a couple big passes in the opening game, but hasn't really been heard from since.

[tiger241345162816 0]

They seem top only throw the deep ball to Q.  He had a nice TD catch early in the year (got away with a push off though).  They threw deep to him against LSU but it was underthrown a little into double coverage adn the LSU defender made a good play on the ball. 

[StatTiger 3,146]

Are the ratios in the last paragraph correct?  Maybe I am reading it wrong, but I think you have the years with the wrong ratios.  Great post.  Missed your insights the past couple of days.  

They are correct.

[StatTiger 3,146]

Just curious what happened to Q Carr in the passing game. He had a great spring and caught a couple big passes in the opening game, but hasn't really been heard from since.

I don't know. I thought he would have an expanded role this season yet he has been targeted only 5 times this entire season.

[auburn4ever 1,266]

I love reading stats like those.

[tiger241345162816 0]

Are the ratios in the last paragraph correct?  Maybe I am reading it wrong, but I think you have the years with the wrong ratios.  Great post.  Missed your insights the past couple of days.  

They are correct.

Yep, I was reading it wrong.  Got it now.  I'm an idiot.

[guerra aguila 0]

The passing game will be there when we need it.

Malzahn stated that Auburn throws the ball all the time in practice... but they are going to continue doing what works.

[aufan@una 3]

Stat, do you have any numbers as to how far down field each of cam's interceptions have came from the line of scrimmage in relation to times when we would be  looking at a punting situation. I bring this up because with our recent struggles with punting, its not an awful prospect if we get into a 3rd and long situation for him to throw it up and see what happens, I feel like there is a 75/25 chance something good happens. Either we catch it, they get a pass interference, we turn the field position more with an interception than we would with a punt, or it falls incomplete. I know this is real abstract thinking but I'd like to hear everyones thought on it.

[sAULTy71 0]

Stat, do you have any numbers as to how far down field each of cam's interceptions have came from the line of scrimmage in relation to times when we would be  looking at a punting situation. I bring this up because with our recent struggles with punting, its not an awful prospect if we get into a 3rd and long situation for him to throw it up and see what happens, I feel like there is a 75/25 chance something good happens. Either we catch it, they get a pass interference, we turn the field position more with an interception than we would with a punt, or it falls incomplete. I know this is real abstract thinking but I'd like to hear everyones thought on it.

Aufan, I'm not stat, but I really like your thinking.  DB's are taught to just knock the ball down in certain situations, but that's a hard thing for them to do. However we're also talking about a drop in Cam's rating and lessening his chances for receiving certain awards if he has too many interceptions.  Not really sure that would be fair to him or the team and may impact recruiting.  We just need our punters to give us 40-45 yds per punt with a good hangtime. JMO 

[aufan@una 3]

Aufan, I'm not stat, but I really like your thinking.  DB's are taught to just knock the ball down in certain situations, but that's a hard thing for them to do. However we're also talking about a drop in Cam's rating and lessening his chances for receiving certain awards if he has too many interceptions.  Not really sure that would be fair to him or the team and may impact recruiting.  We just need our punters to give us 40-45 yds per punt with a good hangtime. JMO   

I agree with your assessment 100% but also at the same time, if we do get to the national championship, I would hate for us to get beaten by a special teams situation like what we saw against LSU.

[DRW 0]

AUFAN @UNA,

I'm not for throwing the ball fifty yards, forty or whatever to possibly eliminate a thirty-five yard punt w/ hangtime. On a long interception the assumption is that the defender falls down at the spot where he intercepts it. The possibility of a return during an interception is greater then the possibility of a return after a shorter punt with hangtime. What if the defender runs the int back forty yards before being tackled? During a punt return, the kick team becomes a coverage team during the play focusing on tackling the receiver of the punt. But the offense stays focused on being the offensive team during the play, meaning carrying out their assignments. So you have 9 or 10 players that are positioned away from the ball that have to change and go after the one who has intercepted the ball. The potential of a runback during the interception is greater than the potential of a runback during a high hanging punt.

[aufan@una 3]

Drw

Your post got me to thinking about it. This year, we have punted 6 times that there has been a return and have given up 44 yards in punt returns.  On the 5 interception that we've thrown this year, the opposing team has an whopping -2 yards in return. Now I preface this statement with the fact that if our punters can consistently get a 40-45 yrd punt with the high hangtime then obviously you don't even think about the interception route. However against lsu we averaged 37 yards per punt with a average 9 yard return. I'm just saying that it scares me to think about our chances of trying to go undefeated through the rest of our SEC schedule plus the SECCG plus the BCSNCG while having a net punting total of 28 yards.

[oldaufeller 367]

However we're also talking about a drop in Cam's rating and lessening his chances for receiving certain awards if he has too many interceptions.  Not really sure that would be fair to him or the team and may impact recruiting.  We just need our punters to give us 40-45 yds per punt with a good hangtime. JMO   

Have Kodi give the toss.  Everyone will realize the design.  Let Cam head downfield for the tackle - ouch.

[fourthvision 0]

The passing game will be there when we need it.

Malzahn stated that Auburn throws the ball all the time in practice... but they are going to continue doing what works.

exactly 

[jvilletiger 0]

Just curious what happened to Q Carr in the passing game. He had a great spring and caught a couple big passes in the opening game, but hasn't really been heard from since.

I think Emory Blake has surpassed him.