kwagoner 214 Posted June 9, 2008 Share Posted June 9, 2008 I'm suprised this is not already posted. It is Josh Moon's Auburn breakdown similar to the one with so much discussion in the Rivals forum. I agree with him for the most part 2 times within a week???? I doubt his WVU prediction is that great, but I could be absolutely wrong too. Skinny of it: 10-2 and playing UGA twice. Life's a garden. Dig it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SCBusPilot 72 Posted June 9, 2008 Share Posted June 9, 2008 I'm suprised this is not already posted. It is Josh Moon's Auburn breakdown similar to the one with so much discussion in the Rivals forum. I agree with him for the most part 2 times within a week???? I doubt his WVU prediction is that great, but I could be absolutely wrong too. Skinny of it: 10-2 and playing UGA twice. Life's a garden. Dig it. Moon's first few lines: Right at the top here, I'm going to make a request: I don't want crazy e-mails from Alabama fans in response to this column.I'm serious. Over the next few inches, I'm going to break down Auburn's 2008 football season. I'll go ahead and let you know going in that the Tigers will end up with a much better record than the Tide. Yes, I am completely aware that in the eyes of many UA fans, the fact that I would have the gall to write such outrageous things makes me the biggest cow-tipping, tractor-riding "Barner" walking the Earth. Believe me, I get it by now. I don't need the e-mails. With that said, let's get on with the show. Maybe this is why the Alabama media is so biased towards Bama? Fearful of their professional careers maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kwagoner 214 Posted June 10, 2008 Author Share Posted June 10, 2008 Maybe this is why the Alabama media is so biased towards Bama? Fearful of their professional careers maybe? Just ask the folks down in Mobile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lca408 380 Posted June 10, 2008 Share Posted June 10, 2008 Everyone is still picking WVU to beat us. That may happen, and I know they're tough at home, but the Mountaineers aren't gonna be anywhere near as good this year, they play nobody before us, and we're a great road team that should have alot of momentum heading into that one. Plus, he can say what he wants about being "beat up" but we will have an off week before that showdown, so I doubt we're "unhealthy" at the time of that game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kwagoner 214 Posted June 10, 2008 Author Share Posted June 10, 2008 Everyone is still picking WVU to beat us. That may happen, and I know they're tough at home, but the Mountaineers aren't gonna be anywhere near as good this year, they play nobody before us, and we're a great road team that should have alot of momentum heading into that one. Plus, he can say what he wants about being "beat up" but we will have an off week before that showdown, so I doubt we're "unhealthy" at the time of that game. I think we will be VERY deep in all positions except DB, making injuries a problem but not a major one. Given Furr being moved and Harry Adams potentially going to defense could help the secondary too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mowegl 4 Posted June 10, 2008 Share Posted June 10, 2008 First off I dont see WV beating Auburn, but I especially don't see them scoring 42 points. Anyone who knows anything about Auburn's defense knows you don't and can't beat it with an east/west running game. Auburn has one of the fastest defenses from sideline to sideline every year. I just don't see WV doing a whole lot with the option etc against us. They will get theirs on offense, but it will be limited. I think a lot of people are underestimating the effect Shmidt's loss will have on WV. He was just about as important as Pat White and potentially more important than Slaton. Also, if we are relying on true freshman that have never played a certain position to help out on defense, we are gonna be in some trouble. Jemison will probably help some. I don't know how likely Libscomb is to qualify, but we could really use him. The secondary isn't a big concern, but it could become one quickly if a couple guys got injured. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
quietfan 233 Posted June 10, 2008 Share Posted June 10, 2008 Not too far off the mark as predictions go, I think. We could beat WVU or Georgia, but we could also drop one against LSU or possibly Tennessee the week after another physically wrenching LSU game. The emotional side of the Iron Bowl always concerns me, too, and Bammers are getting mighty tired of the streak. I'd say 9-3 to 11-1 is reasonable. My one bone to pick with Josh Moon: He gives our opponents a lot more points than I expect. I know the Muschamp to Rhoads transition is a question mark, but I personally think our defense is going to be as good or better than last year. We're sick with talent on that side of the ball. But if we get to Atlanta as he predicts and Tommy gets to raise that 7th finger for real, I'll be quite happy! WDE! P.S. While I want to go to Atlanta, the recent history of the SEC seems to indicate that if you can't win in the SECCG, you may actually have a better shot at a BCS bowl if you don't play (and lose) in the SEC championship. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU1941 6 Posted June 10, 2008 Share Posted June 10, 2008 I thought Josh Moon was the sports writer for Alabama State Univ. in Montgomery..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgufcm 4,109 Posted June 10, 2008 Share Posted June 10, 2008 Um, I too think he undersells our defense, but I think his predictions are spot on. We are undermanned against UGA. Winning that game would be an upset. I also think going on the road against a very talented team that only has two or three games to actually get up for in a given year is always dangerous. I think football-wise we should be favored in that one, but the emotional edge, the health edge, and the homefield are all in WVU's favor. We may not be "unhealthy" as in having guys lost for the game or anything, but to me, there is no question that our guys will be dealing with more bumps and bruises and soreness than WVU will. (Heck, we'll have played more big games by that point than WVU will all season.) And I'm not at all on the Owen Schmidt was as important as Pat White bandwagon... that's craziness. Schmidt was a nice player. He offered a solid option to change the pace of the game, but there is a reason their primary set was single back, 4-wide. He was just a nice addition. From all I saw they played about equal parts single back/4wide, two back/3 wide (alternating between Schmidt and Devine as the second). The fullback was good, but he was a secondary playmaker behind White, Slaton, and Reynaud. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IslandTiger 0 Posted June 10, 2008 Share Posted June 10, 2008 Not too far off the mark as predictions go, I think. We could beat WVU or Georgia, but we could also drop one against LSU or possibly Tennessee the week after another physically wrenching LSU game. Tennesee will be coming off of their big home game against Florida-I think this game being at Jordan-Hare combined with their losses on the O-side of the ball gives us a BIG advantage in a tough in conference "post-rivalry" game for both teams. My one bone to pick with Josh Moon: He gives our opponents a lot more points than I expect. I know the Muschamp to Rhoads transition is a question mark, but I personally think our defense is going to be as good or better than last year. We're sick with talent on that side of the ball. I agree fully....Based on his predictions, Moon has our D giving up a combined average of 19 points a game during the '08 regular season: 16 at home and 21 on the road. You have to go back to '03 to find a season that we gave up 16 points per game at home(16.28). Since '03 we've averaged giving up only 12 points at home. As far as road record goes, there has been only two years since '02 that we've given up more than 21 points per game on the road-'05(23.5) and '07(24.75). Considering the difficulty of the '05 and '07 road schedules(Don't forget DC Gibbs in '05) compared to this upcoming year's, I'd say Moon's being extremely generous to our opponents to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
quietfan 233 Posted June 11, 2008 Share Posted June 11, 2008 Not too far off the mark as predictions go, I think. We could beat WVU or Georgia, but we could also drop one against LSU or possibly Tennessee the week after another physically wrenching LSU game. Tennesee will be coming off of their big home game against Florida-I think this game being at Jordan-Hare combined with their losses on the O-side of the ball gives us a BIG advantage in a tough in conference "post-rivalry" game for both teams. I wasn't aware of UT's matchcup with Florida the previous week. While in general I think of LSU as a more physical team than Florida in terms of bumps & bruises to recover from, you're probably right about Jordan-Hare giving us the edge. My one bone to pick with Josh Moon: He gives our opponents a lot more points than I expect. I know the Muschamp to Rhoads transition is a question mark, but I personally think our defense is going to be as good or better than last year. We're sick with talent on that side of the ball. I agree fully....Based on his predictions, Moon has our D giving up a combined average of 19 points a game during the '08 regular season: 16 at home and 21 on the road. You have to go back to '03 to find a season that we gave up 16 points per game at home(16.28). Since '03 we've averaged giving up only 12 points at home. As far as road record goes, there has been only two years since '02 that we've given up more than 21 points per game on the road-'05(23.5) and '07(24.75). Considering the difficulty of the '05 and '07 road schedules(Don't forget DC Gibbs in '05) compared to this upcoming year's, I'd say Moon's being extremely generous to our opponents to say the least. And finally, let's not forget that Tommy Tuberville himself is no slouch when it comes to defense and has the MNC hardware from Miami to prove it. He's not going to allow this much talent to play bad defense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.