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AUGoo

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Posts posted by AUGoo

  1. 1 hour ago, AUSCalum87 said:

    Even though they have Cal, who’s not a great game coach at all, he has done a great job in the portal and they have a lot of talent this year. I still think Auburn beats them since it’s at Auburn, but I wouldn’t be shocked to see them in the conversation next year.

    I hear what you are saying. 

    Cal's had tons of talent in the past.  He's gonna have to prove he doesn't deserve the Done the Least with the Most award.  Be interesting to see if he decides to actually coach again.

  2. 20 hours ago, AUSCalum87 said:

    A&M has most of their scoring back from last year, but it depends on when we play them. If it’s towards the beginning of the conference season, then advantage Auburn, since they always seem to gel towards the last month. But yea, they will be a formidable opponent, as they have been since Buzz has been there. I think the top 4 teams next year will be Auburn, Arkansas, UT and UAT.

    What makes you say Arkansas?

     

  3. 11 hours ago, gravejd said:

    Wow, i didn't see this one coming. Thats a hell of a hire by Arkansas after losing their coach to USCw. They needed a splash type hire and they got it! I don't know what the ceiling is for Cal's teams at this point. I'm not convinced the load up on 1 year players formula is one that can bring a school championships in this day and age, but Cal will field super talented teams, win a lot of games, and keep them in the news constantly and thats not a bad situation for arky IMO.

    Now what dominoes will fall as Kentucky goes looking for a coach? Oats is a possibility i'd have to think.....I would say any school with a coach they really like should be a little worried. That Kentucky bball money goes deep!

    No.

    He won’t.

    He ain’t coached anybody up in years.

    Arkansas ain’t the draw for talent that UK is.

    Unless Walmart is paying for players well, He’ll fall on his face.

    If he does get talent, they’ll be uncoached.

    No one has done less with more in NCAA history.

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  4. AU Swimming Men finished 12th at NCAA's.  

    We are a perennial top 10 team.

    Beginning to show signs of life after a few seasons of not even having qualifiers.

    Women finished 19th.

    Again, signs of life.

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  5. On 4/3/2024 at 2:08 PM, japantiger said:

    This has been fun to follow.  Here's my 2 cents:

    Relationship building matters less than it did 5 years ago; or even 3 years ago.  If you weren't talking to stud HS players when they were in either the 9th or 10th grade, you were left behind as a coaching staff.   Long term relationship was 80-90% of what drove recruit choice

    Relationship still matters; but now it's below 50%.  Relationship gets you to your senior year and drives the recruit top 3 or 5 schools...after that, it's an NIL bidding game now

    For current rostered players; relationship is less than 20%...1) am I getting playing time 2) will I get playing time 3) NIL $$ amounts vs my other options drive decisions now ... 

    2023 NCAA rosters were 21% transfer players; that number was 6% in 2019; half of D1 teams played a transfer QB (57%)

    The last data point I had before the playoffs were over had the average number of transfers per team in the SEC and Big10 over 20 (I think it was 22; but + or - two).  Any staff will have to be able to replace minimally 1/4 of their program via transfers going forward + sign a new recruiting class.  So basically, you have to be able to replace over 1/2 your roster every year thru a combo of recruiting and transfers.  The number of transfer players will increase as we go forward; not decline (in spite of the risk of not landing on a roster being quite high now)

    So, given this environment, what matters is being able to both recruit effectively and replenish the obvious transfers that are going to happen.  I don't think relationship has much to do with any of this any longer.  The "rules" or lack of rules, makes this highly transactional now.  The only school I see bucking this trend at present is UGA (I think they had less than 8 transfers).

    Talent management success will be determined by how effective the organization built can manage these dynamics.  And, you have to be able to coach the actual games, while doing all of the above.

    The verdict is still out on CHF.  He needs to deliver an actual winning season before declaring him "better" than others at this new world.  

    It's going to be impressive to watch the staffs in the AD's explode with people to recruit all three areas of interest.  How one coach is gonna have the time and ability to recruit HS, portal, and his own team, in addition to actually coaching, will be a super human feat.

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