WDE_OxPx_2010

Vegas doesn't exist as a desert oasis simply because they can guess well. Vegas KNOWS.

Link

"Does Vegas adjust the lines based on the known betting habits of certain fan bases? They almost certainly do, but I have never been able to detect any clear bias in the data. Also, it would certainly be very easy to do that for just a handful of games, and that data would just get swamped by all the other data. So, I just ignore this possibility. If I can’t measure it systematically, I don’t care about it.

Practically, if a team is favored by 10 points, this translates to a ~75 percent chance of victory for that team. Does this mean: If those teams were to play 100 times, one team would (roughly) win 25 times and the other would win 75 times? OR, does it simply mean that in any given game with a 10-point spread, the favorite will win 75 percent of the time by an average margin of 10 points. I think that the second statement is clearly the correct one."

13 hours ago, AU-24 said:

Was it eccentric Heisman voters, that voted him number three in the Heisman race? 

Because the Heisman has never failed to predict successful NFL careers. 

That's all I'm saying. He could have easily, EASILY fallen into the 2nd or 3rd round if not for a coach with questionable decision making his entire career. 

Having said all of that, I think he needed to leave Auburn to succeed and for his sake I'm glad to did. Still doesn't mean that he's going to be some AllPro NFL QB, which was my point. 

He was a first round reach by an eccentric HC. He won't be around in the NFL long and that's ok too. He can be a bad teammate and a decent QB and still not be an NFL QB.

Where have I seen this before... 🤔

We've been spoiled the last 5-6 years with great centers and forwards, going back to Macklemore/Wiley. Bruce and Co will get it right.

I don't know why this is a shock. 2019 we did the same thing- finished hot, blitzed through and won the SEC tourney, was a 5 seed far away from home. This team doesn't have the fire power of that team but has as much if not more chemistry and moxy. Bring it on!

Reminds me of 2019. This is where we got hot and made the run. Strong finish to season and SEC tournament.

Ohio State being tossed around as an NIL poster child is hilarious to me.

14 hours ago, Randy4AU said:

He decommitted* today. 

He *began bargaining for a higher paycheck today.

Maybe he will return a short field goal 109 yards like another #11

1 hour ago, bigbird said:

Will Wade

Todd Golden

Will Wade makes too much sense for Auburn if Pearl leaves. Classic choice right there.

I trust Cohen to do the right thing. He's taken every correct step so far. I imagine the apparel deal will finish first, though

7 hours ago, PotPot said:

May not be much recognition but his jersey number is retired. 

That's pretty big, in my eyes. About the biggest honor you can get when only 100 numbers are ever used and only a few are officially retired.

I hate to break it to you, but Bruce doesn't have another 5-6 years as our HC. I bet we get 2-3 tops. He's tired, you can see it in his demeanor compared to a few years ago, and it's obvious that he's not enamored with the current college landscape. If we get Nike sponsorship/apparel, might add more time to his tenure. I don't expect him to be around much longer in that capacity, by his own decision. He would love to hand it off to Steven.

58 minutes ago, ScotsAU said:

Given the Freeze Four (Cain Simmons , Thompson, Coleman) which you receiver:

a) do you think has the biggest year one impact?

b) do you think finishes their career with the biggest impact overall?

a) Thompson. I get big time Megatron vibes from him

b) Thompson, again

On 1/20/2024 at 12:56 PM, tigeraddikt said:

Calling this guy “the village idiot” is pretty insensitive, considering he’s obviously mentally disbled. This video, to any non-Alabama resident or follower of CFB recruiting, looks like a ”nice young man” visiting an adult home. 

I had no idea. Honestly hard to tell the difference  🤷🏻‍♂️

Bracketology seems to think we win the SEC after our start. We're up to #3 seed in South as well.

Down goes Kentucky at aTm. Didn't see that coming.

On 1/4/2024 at 3:24 PM, AURex said:

Isn't this the 2nd time Chiz has been ousted at UNC? Or is my memory garbled?

 

Last time he left on his own to be with family while Fedora was still there. This time it wasn't his choice

Still unranked 

7 minutes ago, JFDTiger80 said:

 Just see a car on the lot you like and drive It off.

Freeze takes that approach to high school 5* football players. 

Interesting that the #2 CB would leave UGA to play at Auburn. Little crack forming in Kirby's armor?

48 minutes ago, LPTiger said:

Easy big fella, she's with child...

 How do you know something about 2A's wife that he doesn't...?

59 minutes ago, W.E.D said:

That tweet us talking about the current year

Auburn should claim that if he wins. "We taught him to win while running scared!"

2 hours ago, BustemBigBlue said:

If we hit 50% of our 3’s every time we might not lose another game. 

3 hours ago, tigeraddikt said:

3-27 from three 

Ding ding ding.