Inside the Numbers - Georgia Game

[StatTiger 3,188]

In this series from 1990-2005, the team that scores first is 9-6-1. The team that leads at halftime is 10-4-1. The 1992 game was tied at 7-7 at halftime.

When Auburn scores first, the Tigers are 6-3-0 and 7-2-1 when Auburn leads at halftime.

From 2003-2006, Auburn is 34-0 against ALL opponents when leading at halftime.

From 1966-2005, Auburn is 11-1-2 against UGA when they average over 5.5 yards per play on offense. The loss came in 1996 in overtime.

From 1966-2005, Auburn is 10-0-1 against UGA when the Bulldogs are held to under 100-yards rushing.

From 1966-2005, Auburn is 9-2-1 against UGA when the Bulldogs attempt at least 18 passes but are held to under 50% in pass completions. The two losses were in 1968 and 2003.

From 1966-2005, Auburn is 10-1-1 against UGA when the Tigers have 40 or more rush attempts and the Bulldogs are held to under 40 rush attempts.

From 1966-2005, Auburn is 9-2-1 against UGA when they rush and pass for at least 150-yards in the same game. The two losses came in 1980 and 1996.

Finally...

Under the current rules regarding the time clock, ball control has become huge. Since 1966, Auburn is 12-1-1 against UGA when the Tiger offense has at least 73 snaps. The loss came against the 96 Bulldogs. From 1966-2005, Auburn is 9-1-0 against the Bulldogs when they have 10 more total snaps than the Bulldogs. The lone loss came to the 1982 Georgia Bulldogs.

Game Prediction:

Scoring margins for the entire season: Auburn 23-13

Scoring margins from the 4 common opponents: Auburn 20-8

Scoring margins from the last 3 games: Auburn 26-11.

Average Score: Auburn 23-11

My Pick: Auburn 23-16