StatTiger

Made this video in tribute to Pat Sullivan but there is a lot of footage of Terry Beasley.

RIP

26 minutes ago, AuburnNTexas said:

Thank you for the clarification.

WDE

1 hour ago, aublaise said:

Was this due to the offensive or the new rules on continous clock except at the end of the game

Teams averaged 68.6 plays per game during 2022 and 66.7 during 2023.

10 minutes ago, W.E.D said:

New clock rules?

Very minimal effect, which surprised me. I feared it would be like 2006 but was not.

1 minute ago, cbo said:

I'd argue the stats show that the defense was good, if not great. 22nd and 24th out of the last 54 Auburn defenses is not bad. We've had quite a few elite defenses over the years. 

I thought Roberts did a solid job for what he had to work with. My biggest concern was the explosive plays allowed too often.

23 minutes ago, AuburnNTexas said:

Statistics are great but it is doing a disservice to the defense. The defense played better than the numbers because of how many 3 and outs the offense produced.

Speaking of 3 and outs, the 2023 Auburn offense ranked 16th among the last 34 seasons, and the defense ranked 18th among the last 34 Auburn defenses.

14 minutes ago, AuburnNTexas said:

Statistics are great but it is doing a disservice to the defense. The defense played better than the numbers because of how many 3 and outs the offense produced.

The reality is the 2023 defense defended the 3rd fewest possessions per game (11.6) from 1992-2023, so they were not on the field more often because of the offense. They also defended the 5th fewest plays the last 34 seasons at 63.3 per game. The biggest issue on defense was surrendering too many explosive plays.

  Sorting the data compiled by wide receivers and tight ends in the Southeastern Conference from 2019-2023, I ranked each team’s output during this five-year period. Here are the results…

· The data compiled is based on the top-50 players from each season, based on total receptions for the year. This resulted in a total of 250 individual performances for examination.

· I then separated the wide receivers and tight ends only for ranking.

· Each team was ranked based on yards per reception, TD ratio, first down ratio, plays of 15+ yards, and plays of 25+ yards. Based on these results, I ranked each team based on their average rankings in these five categories.

RESULTS:

· The top team over the past five years was Alabama, with an average ranking of 1.2 in all five categories. The next four were Ole Miss (3.8), LSU (4.0), Georgia (4.4), and Tennessee (4.6). I found Ole Miss ranked at #2 to be interesting because I have no doubt LSU has fielded better talent. The Rebels’ ranking is indicative of schemes and play calling, where Ole Miss has likely maxed-out with the talent available.

· Auburn finished tied with South Carolina at #10, with an average ranking of 10.8. Kentucky, Vanderbilt and Mississippi State finished 12-14.

· Auburn was 11th in yards per reception, 11th in touchdown ratio, 10th in first down ratio, 12th in producing 15+ yard plays and 10th in producing plays of 25+ yards.

The opportunity for offensive growth likely did not occur until after the Ole Miss game. There were many moving parts to adjust and evaluate as the season progressed. Once Freeze took more control over the offense and Thorne became the full-time starter, the offense showed progress.

FIRST 6 FBS GAMES:

· 299 yards and 23 PPG.
· 29% on third downs.
· 4.74 yards per play on first down.
· Scored on 29.6 percent of possessions.
· 33 percent of offensive snaps were part of a scoring drive.

LAST 5 FBS GAMES:

· 381 yards and 28 PPG.
· 35% on third downs.
· 6.41 yards per play on first down.
· Scored on 41.1 percent of possessions.
· 50 percent of offensive snaps were part of a scoring drive.

The foundation is in place on offense, moving towards the 2024 season, along with an influx of potential talent at wide receiver. Payton Thorne’s efficiency made a dramatic spike during the second half of the season, and the run offense should be solid again in 2024. This spring will be about building on the foundation established during 2023 rather than the rebuilding woes experienced this past season.

Thoughts?

6 minutes ago, gman87 said:

Can you help explain this for the statistically impaired? I'm sure I'm misunderstanding how these numbers are compiled but it looks like 3 different results for the same thing.

Auburn finished last in the conference, reaching a 140 rating only 32.8 percent of the time

As a team, the 2023 Auburn Tigers reached a 140 rating during 5 of 12 games (41.7 percent)

Payton Thorne reached a 140 rating during eight of his twelve starts (66.7 percent)

Over the last five years (2019-2023), Auburn reached a pass efficiency of at least 140, in only 32.8 percent of their games. Auburn played 61 games from 2019-2023, and had a pass rating of at least 140 in only 20 games. This was the lowest in the SEC during that period.

As a "team," the 2023 Auburn Tigers reached the 140 rating during 5 of 12 games. This includes all the passing from three different quarterbacks.

As an individual, Thorne had a rating of at least 140 during 8 of 12 games.

During the past five seasons (2019-2023):

· The fourteen teams in the SEC had a pass efficiency of 140+ during 53 percent of their games.

· The conference combined for a win percentage of 80.6 percent when it happened, scoring an average of 39.1 PPG.

· Alabama led the conference, reaching an efficiency of at least 140 during 88 percent of their games, winning 93 percent.

· Behind Alabama were LSU (70.3 percent), Florida (66.7 percent), Georgia (65.7 percent) and Tennessee (63.9 percent).

· Georgia had the best win percentage with a record of 43-1 with a pass-efficiency of at least 140.

· Auburn finished last in the conference, reaching a 140 rating only 32.8 percent of the time, but won 85 percent and scored 40.6 PPG when they did.

· As a team, the 2023 Auburn Tigers reached a 140 rating during 5 of 12 games (41.7 percent), an improvement over the last five-year average.

· Payton Thorne reached a 140 rating during eight of his twelve starts (66.7 percent). Bo Nix did it during 12 of 34 games (35.3 percent), and Jarrett Stidham did it 15 of 27 games (55.5 percent). Nick Marshall was 15 of 24 (62.5 percent), and Chris Todd was 6 of 19 (31.6 percent). Jason Campbell did it 23 of 41 times (56.1 percent).

· Hugh Freeze’s offenses have reached a 140 rating during 73 of 150 games (48.7 percent), winning 83.6 percent of his games, while scoring an average of 40.7 PPG.

· His offenses at Ole Miss did it 50.0 percent of the time, winning 81 percent of their games, while scoring 42 PPG.

War Eagle!

35 minutes ago, Eagle-1 said:

One would assume that the new clock rules have a lot to do with defending fewer plays.

Watching college football games this year has been a big change for the worse with the new clock rules. If a team is behind two touchdowns going into the 4th quarter it has become almost impossible to mount a comeback on many occasions. It has robbed much excitement from the game in my opinion. 

Auburn basically is basically playing one less possession. The normal average is 12.8 per game.

Outside of Ja'Varrius Johnson, no other WR has proven to be a consistent playmaker. It is the primary reason Auburn has not fielded a 100-yard receiver during 21 consecutive games, the longest drought from 1987-2023.

Taking the leading WR in "yardage" per game, the 2022 receivers ranked 35th among the last 37 Auburn offenses in yardage per game (53.0). The 2023 WR's currently rank 36th with 51.0 yards per game. The average is 73.7 YPG from 1987-2023.

Rating the WR Corps from 1992-2023:

The rating formula is based on yards per game, yards per reception, TD ratio, and impact-play ratio.

Rnk Year Rating
1 - 1997 148.86
2 - 2004 142.56
3 - 2010 141.03
4 - 2014 140.39
5 - 1996 137.70
6 - 2017 135.73
7 - 1999 132.21
8 - 2009 131.07
9 - 1993 126.91
10 - 2005 126.54
11 - 2018 125.21
12 - 2020 123.99
13 - 1994 123.52
14 - 1998 122.57
15 - 1995 122.28
16 - 2022 122.12
17 - 2021 121.44
18 - 2013 121.13
19 - 2019 117.73
20 - 2003 116.25
21 - 2006 115.08
22 - 2016 114.20
23 - 2012 113.44
24 - 2002 112.27
25 - 2011 110.99
26 - 2015 110.91
27 - 2001 109.98
28 - 2000 108.37
29 - 2023 104.46
30 - 2007 104.40
31 - 1992 102.81
32 - 2008 99.15

Thoughts?

8 minutes ago, Gowebb11 said:

Recruiting top talent is the part we’ve done well historically. Recruiting strategically for needs not so much. Thus assuring a great qb protected by a weak o line, or great LBers wasted by poor d line play, or great WRs with an inaccurate qb. 
Hugh is trending early to fix that. If we get that right we can contend just fine with Top 10-12 classes. 

Bingo

27 minutes ago, LPTiger said:

@StatTiger at about game 5 or 6 I argued one reason our offense was not performing well was because we were not balanced.   We were very run heavy and it seemed even more run heavy on first down.   Any chance you could compare overall balance during the 4 game losing streak and the 3 game winning streak and the balance on first down during the same games.   

During the four-game losing streak, Auburn was 70.2 percent run during the first half. During the 3-game winning streak, 52.7% run during the first half. With the lead at halftime, we are 76.7% run during the second half (3-game winning streak).

3 hours ago, maryland tiger said:

The "Team" doesn't touch the ball every offensive play. 

So Thorne is directly involved in 45.6 percent of the plays regarding actual yardage gained or lost. That means the remainder of the offense (54.4%) needs to play well against Alabama. (I have not seen him struggle handing the ball off.) Indeed, a solid defensive outing would aid the cause for a potential upset. Special teams could assist in field position or setting up scoring opportunities for Auburn while forcing Alabama to drive longer fields, limiting their scoring. He can't control dropped passes, poor route running, and penalties. Thorne alone cannot beat Alabama, and if Auburn loses, there will likely be plenty of fault to dish out.

Through ten games, Thorne has reached a pass rating of 140+ on seven occasions and still has three games to play. During the past 50 years of Auburn football, only Jason Campbell, Cam Newton, Nick Marshall, and Jarrett Stidham have compiled eight or more in one season. Does this make him a star? No, but it shows his level of consistency. I would not be surprised to see him struggle against Alabama because he doesn't have the same supporting cast that Alabama's roster will bring. If Auburn has any shot at pulling off the upset, it will take a "team" effort, and yes, Thorne will have to make plays.

A good sign of a QB is how he responds after a bad play.

Here are Thorne’s pass ratings after throwing a pick. I included his final pass efficiency for the entire game.

California 238.4 (153.5)
Samford 177.8 (146.8)
Ole Miss 280.4 (143.8)
Vandy 210.9 (140.3)
Arkansas 174.6 (167.9)

In every case, he played better after throwing a pick. His combined passing totals after tossing a pick…

43 of 59 for 594 yards, 7 TD’s, and one pick. Completes 73 pct of his passes for 10.1 yards per attempt.

These are strong numbers and reflect his ability to play the next down.

6 hours ago, ShocksMyBrain said:

He’s looking at up to 10 years for the Glock switch alone. He’ll plea all of it down I’m sure, but yeah I don’t see him not doing at least a few years. 

Unless something else is added to the indictment, I doubt he will do any prison time. The codefendant could accept ownership by the time it all plays out.

The media got it wrong... shocker.

No sawed-off weapon was involved.

5 hours ago, TigerHorn said:

Pretty sure its going to be Faber College. 

"Knowledge is Good"

  - Emil Faber

Utilizing the 247Sports national rankings of rosters from 2015-2023 reveals the brutality of competition in the Southeastern Conference.

· Auburn’s 2023 roster was ranked No. 18 nationally regarding talent, 7th best in the conference. The 2015 Auburn was 7th best nationally, revealing the steady decline over the past nine seasons.

· 76 of Auburn’s 114 opponents (66.7%) from 2015-2023 were ranked in the nation’s top-30.

· 64 of 114 (56.1%) were ranked in the top-25.

· 34 of 114 (29.8%) were ranked in the top-10.

· Auburn’s record against top-25 teams (talent) is 23-40 (.365).

· Auburn was 42-7 (.857) against their remaining competition.

· Auburn is 8-25 (.242) against teams with a higher-ranked roster.

Based on the 2023 rankings, 12 of the 16 SEC teams could be ranked in the top-25 of talent in 2024, with Auburn being 9th best.

Four of Auburn’s eleven teams appearing on the 2024 schedule will likely be ranked higher than the Tigers.

Thoughts?

1 hour ago, maryland tiger said:

We will see how Payton does when Auburn plays buma. 

Probably will see how the "team" does against Alabama too.