StatTiger 3,188 Posted September 8, 2016 Share Posted September 8, 2016 1st down Production (2009, 2011 and 2015) Yards per play on 1st down: 2009: 5.36 YPR / 6.92 YPP (77.1% run on 1st down) 2011: 4.86 YPR / 5.67 YPP (78.7% run on 1st down) 2015: 4.57 YPR / 7.95 YPP (77.1% run on 1st down) *** Run production continues to drop. 2015 appeared to be the season Auburn should have thrown more on 1st down based on yards per play. *** Impact Play (15+ yards) Pct Passing on 1st down: 2009: 21.5% 2011: 11.8% 2015: 14.4% Impact Play (10+ yards) Pct Running on 1st down: 2009: 13.4% 2011: 14.6% 2015: 12.2% *** Slightly better chance for impact play passing the ball on 1st down *** 1st down pct passing on 1st down: 2009: 26.9% 2011: 19.7% 2015: 27.8% 1st down pct running the football on 1st down: 2009: 12.7% 2011: 14.6% 2015: 12.9% *** Far greater chance of producing a 1st down on 1st down, throwing the football *** Interesting note.... Because AU has been so run heavy on 1st down during the 3 seasons I outlined above, Gus Malzahn has been forced to be more balanced on 2nd down. AU averaged more yards per play on 2nd down than on 1st down during all 3 seasons. That would be 5.38 yds per play on 1st down and 6.15 yds per play on 2nd down. That is 78% run on 1st down and 59% on 2nd down. Opposing defenses can sell out to stop the run on 1st down based on trends but have to play more honest on 2nd down because there is a higher probability of a pass play on 2nd down. If Malzahn would just open it up to 30% pass on 1st down, Auburn would be less predictable and 2nd down would be even more productive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doug3020 842 Posted September 8, 2016 Share Posted September 8, 2016 We'll see what this week holds. Odds are it'll be more of the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatTiger 3,188 Posted September 8, 2016 Author Share Posted September 8, 2016 3 minutes ago, doug3020 said: We'll see what this week holds. Odds are it'll be more of the same. Could be.... We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doug3020 842 Posted September 8, 2016 Share Posted September 8, 2016 Stat- Didn't you have a stat showing SW's numbers on 1st down when he was allowed to throw? Any idea what his QB rating was? TIA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatTiger 3,188 Posted September 8, 2016 Author Share Posted September 8, 2016 9 minutes ago, doug3020 said: Stat- Didn't you have a stat showing SW's numbers on 1st down when he was allowed to throw? Any idea what his QB rating was? TIA. 151.7 last season. Nick Marshall was 129.1 in 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.