Viper

Joe Lunardi isn't on the committee either. What am I talking about? You called my bluff... I said we were a 5-seed going into the 2019 Tournament. I provided someone who writes bleachreport articles on NCAA bball who agreed with me on March 12, 2019 that AU was a 5-seed in the NCAA Tourney, prior to the SEC Tournament. You called my bluff. You lost. I set you straight.

Yes it was the closest home win of the year. We led the entire game or close to it. IMO, it was never in doubt. Won by 11.

3rd game of the SEC season. Point taken. Then at home, we beat LSU by 26.

Nice work.

Donaldson & Hollaway are most def concerns. They need to hit half their 3s for this team to make it past the Sweet 16.

You attempted to call my bluff. You lost.

How does that change our 1-7 record in Quad 1 games?

Absolutely, but the point remains, 1999 AU had zero experience in tight games. They couldn’t handle adversity after they out-talented their way through the 1st two rounds.

Those teams are not more difficult than the top 2019 SEC teams as I already listed the record comparisons. All “potential” teams. Upsets do happen, as was the case when 8-seed FL beat 1-seed LSU in 2019. So by proxy, AU beat the #1 seed in 2019. Wasn’t AU’s fault that LSU was so good, they kept TN & UK from being the top 2 seeds, therefore had to face one another in the semis. If we win the tournament, I will celebrate the 4-seed that is our destiny. If we don’t win it, I will celebrate the 4-seed that is our destiny. In fact, on 12/21/2023 on this forum, when no one else was predicting this team to do anything in the tournament, I predicted this team to make the Sweet 16. That prediction (16 teams remaining) equals a 4-seed to begin the tournament. Thus far, I am spot on. You can expect all you want. I will post when I want and how often I want. I will not be told by you or anyone else to be expected back to post, regardless of circumstances.

Yup have thought about this quite a bit and what concerns me most come NCAA Tourney time. We have little experience in close games. Baylor, at Appy St, at bammer and at TN were all within reach towards the end, but we withered away in crunch time. Huge concern. Eerily similar to the 1999 season. Destroyed most everyone, which was awesome, but gained no tight game experience.

Don't get what? We're 1-7 in Quad 1 games. The one win was at home, against a 21-10 team. Like FL, if we could play the rest of our games at home, we might win it all. If only "ifs" really happened. If we wanted a higher seed than 4, we should have gone at least 3-5 in Quad 1 games. Quad 1 wins are valued the most above all else by the committee. When has that ever changed? It's why mid-majors can steamroll their cupcake conference, go 27-4 and only get a #9 seed. Gotta beat some big boys to get respect.

How are they “much” different? 2019 TN was 27-4 entering the SEC Tourney. 15-3 SEC. Grant Williams was SEC POTY. 2024 TN is 24-7 overall. 14-4 SEC. Dalton Knecht will likely be SEC POTY. 2019 UK was 26-5 entering the SEC Tourney. 15-3 SEC. 2024 UK is 23-8 overall. 13-5 SEC. 2019 LSU was 26-5 entering the SEC Tourney. 16-2 SEC. 2024 bammer is 21-10 overall. 13-5 SEC. 2019 AU was 22-9 entering the SEC Tourney. 11-7 SEC. 2024 AU is 24-7 overall. 13-5 SEC. As similar as the two TN teams are, I would strongly argue the Top 4 SEC teams in 2019 were collectively better than the Top 4 SEC teams in 2024. So no, there is not tougher competition in this tournament amongst the top 4.

I thought Quad 1 wins were at the time of the matchup.

NCAA Bracketology 2019: Real-Time Seed and Region Projections for All 68 Teams KERRY MILLER MARCH 12, 2019 NCAA Championship - East Region 1UVA 16WEBB/WEBB 8HALL 9USU 5AUB 12LIB 4WIS 13NE 6WOF 11Play-in 3HOU 14MONT 7MD 10WASH 2UK 15BRAD

We’re a 4-seed no matter what. The results of the 2019 SEC Tourney changed nothing. We came in as a projected 5-seed. We left with the trophy and a 5-seed.

The forgotten loss at Appalachian State is also a factor.

Polls are what have you done for me lately. Committee seedings are total bodies of work. The one team on that list we played at a neutral site, we lost to. The only team on that list we beat was at home. Against all the teams on that list combined, we went 1-4. We deserve a 4-seed.

Nope. Missouri finished 0-18 in the SEC vs. Vandy's 4-14.

Agreed. We match up way better against SC. Double-edged sword. We do not match up with FL as they kicked our ass a few weeks ago. Broome does not like shooting over taller guys. On the other hand, FL is not good away from home, going 3-7 in true road games (4-2 neutral sites) and just lost at Vandy. But FL has been hot down the stretch. All of their losses have been super tight games. Much prefer playing SC.

Biggest con on the resume is our best win is at home over a team who’s lost its last 3 of 5. That’s what will keep us a 4-seed.

Yup. Exactly this.

Arrow means you just moved up or down one ranking. You're equating last game losses in bball (to the committee) to football (rankings). Football rankings are impulse, what have you done for me lately, changes. bball seedings by the committee have always been total bodies of work. Also the two games you referenced are not seeding crashers. Losing to TN and Houston (both likely 1-seeds) are not frowned upon in bball like they are in football. In fact, if the losses are close, the losers (UK and Kansas in those scenarios) are given a fair amount of respect for playing tough opponents well.

The up arrow simply means we just leaped from a strong 5-seed to a weak 4-seed, so that likely equals 4.4. We’re favored to beat GA at home and minus a matchup v UK, we’ll be favored in our Friday game. Winning two more games we’re favored in will not vault us from a 4.4 to a 3.4.

Zero possibility we get a 3-seed with just two more wins.