JwgreDeux

A&M is up to 42 in NET now. A win vs UF could get them closer to top 30 as well.

South Carolina dropped out of top 50 so yesterday’s W isn’t a Q1. Today’s vs State is so now we have 2 Q1s. STATE is also now 32 in Met so if they bump up two more the home W va them could go to a Q1. Lunardi and some others now have us as a 3 seed. Going to be close

Old miss did not move up that win won’t jump to Q1. South Carolina didn’t move much from their first round win. So our home win will not bump up to Q1 but today is a Q1 opportunity on a neutral floor with uSC at 48 in the NET. Hoping for MSU win vs UT to boost the MSU win but not holding my breath.

Kansas has lost their 3 seed. Someone will bump up to the spot they were holding.

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Quadrant 1: Home 1-30, Neutral 1-50, Away 1-75 Quadrant 2: Home 31-75, Neutral 51-100, Away 76-135 Quadrant 3: Home 76-160, Neutral 101-200, Away 135-240 Quadrant 4: Home 161-353, Neutral 201-353, Away 241-353 Nope, they are live. Losses: Neutral to Baylor (14 Net) Road To APP St. (72) Risk of dropping to quad 2 loss if they drop out of top 75 To Bama (8) To Miss St (42) To Florida (35) To UT (5) Home To UK (19) Wins that could improve to quad 1s: Road win at Ole Miss (90 needs to get to top 75), home win vs Miss State (42 need to get to top 30), Home win vs SOuth Carolina (49 needs to get to 30). Potential opponents as Q1 opportunity: South Carolina (49) in round 3, Miss St or UT in round 4, UA or UF or UK in round 5. So in a perfect world, we win 3 Q1 games and two of our existing wins bump up to Q1 and suddenly we have 6 Q1 wins. I agree usually the SEC tourney doesn't move the needle much, but we may be an exception if anything remotely close to that happens. But if App St. drops to a Q2 loss and we lose our first game, we could drop a seed line as well.

Normally I would agree with you. However, I think one thing holding us back with human voters is we only have 1 quad 1 win right now. If we win a couple games and therefore quad 1 wins, it may matter. (Also, if Miss State wins a couple they would likely bump back up to a quad 1 win).

Can we really know anything? What is truth.....

Does a team hang a banner for a 5-way tie for regular season title? Has a five way tie ever happened before in the SEC or other Major conference?

I don't think the details of the Neville donation were ever released. I recall it being a donation to the athletic dept. so it wouldn't be able to be used for NIL anyway.

Big game tonight so lets take a look at a couple of our losses against high powered offenses and see whats up. Vs Alabama on the road we held them 12pts below their season average. That is a huge accomplishment by our defense, but our offense put up 7 points under our average. We only shot 20% from three. Vs. Florida on the road we held them nearly 5 points below their season average, but only shot 17.5% from three. Vs Kentucky at home we held them 18 below their season average, but shot 18.2% from three. Oh and we shot 11% from three vs App St and 25% from three and only 33% from the field vs Ms. State. The only game where we played well offensively and lost was the first game of the year where we gave up 88 to Baylor losing 82-88. So, can we make enough shots to beat UT? Auburn averages 80 pts a game in away games and UT averages 82 pts a game at home this season. Not as big a differential as I expected to find when I went looking. We are very similar to UT across statistical categories. The two areas that have gotten us beat are poor shooting and rebounding. If we can shot close to our averages and win on the glass I think we can get this one. An area to watch that is interesting is that UT gives up more free throws per game than they take. They still make more than their opponents, but this one may come down to the charity stripe. That puts our guards as the focus point. Has Holloway turned a corner after a mid season adjustment? Can Jones make us a few shots? Will the Donaldson that was so clutch in tough games at the end of last season re-emerge? Not knowing the status of J. Williams, our guards will have to get the ball to Broome, Chaney and Cardwell in favorable spots to score. Can CBM pick up the scoring slack again. A lot of interesting things to watch tonight. Not the least of which will be how do we guard UT. Do we go big with Broome and Cardwell together or can Chaney hold up? A win in this game is huge for the SEC race, but it is also huge for our tourney resume. It is a seed changer type win. A loss doesn't effect seeding much, but pretty much puts us out of the SEC race.

Now at 194 wins, realistic chance to get to 200 this season with a few post season wins.

I guess I am missing something. It seemed like your brother was "putting all this" negatively on CBP. Didn't seem like he was giving credit, maybe I missed something. Also, with your inference that CBP recruits and hopes for the best, getting lucky sometimes and not other times. Maybe I am not the only one missing something. Not sure why the need for anything extra on replies. Its ok for us to just disagree. CBP, and most modern college basketball offenses, have a framework of cuts, passes, movements etc that the player work within utilizing a lot of read and react decision making in the process. We have one of the highest assist to baskets make ratio's in the country. That alone should dispel any misplaced idea that there is no offensive structure and it is just a bunch of one on one iso going on. I'm not sure what "discipline plays" are to you, but there isn't a situation where our team is going to come down and make a series of predetermined passes and cuts to get a specific shot, except for special circumstances.

I have no info, but looking at the schedule if they sat him the full remaining regular season he would have almost an entire month to heal/rehab as the SEC tourney started. I hope he gets at least a little action before the NCAA so his first game back isn't a win or go home game.

I hear you, and I'm not sure we really disagree on the coaching salary issue. But Malzhan did things that had all been done before. Pearl has done things that have never been done at Auburn or even the entire State of Alabama. Yes a national championship is the ultimate goal, but to dismiss a final four just seems short sighted.

Put what exactly on CBP? The SEC title hunt? The bracketology of how high a seed we may earn? Fighting for a double bye in the SEC tourney an potentially another title? YES tell your brother to put all of that on CBP.

I have never liked the coach in waiting stuff. That is not a comment on CSP. I think that CBP, in conjunction with in the investment AU made in the arena before he got here, have elevated the profile of the basketball program. As a result we should be at least looking for a proven head coach. CSP may be the best option when CBP is not longer at AU, whenever that may be, but I don't think we should lock ourselves in.

I'm not a Malzahn hater but come on. Malzahn had 1 conference title in 8 years. Pearl has 2 reg season titles and a tourney title in 10 years. That alone is a huge difference, not even taking into account the differences between football and basketball historically at AU. Pearl has taken us to the NCAA tourney four times (would be five if covid didn't cancel the 2020 tourney with what might have been his best team at AU) and will take us there again this season! He has 7 NCAA tourney wins of our 19 in program history (37%). Malzahn made 7 bowl games and had 2 wins of our 24 wins in program history (8%). The discussion about how much any coach is worth is a worthy one, but stop acting like Pearl and Malzhan are remotely similar on success or anything else.

While we don't have an elite shooter right now, Williams and Donaldson are both over 40%, CBM is at 39%, Jones at 36% and Broome at 33%. Being able to put that lineup on the floor is a really good shooting lineup. I'd be curious is there is anther 5 players on the floor at the same time with overall better averages.

We did a great job of defending their guards on the ball. They had 8 assists to 15 TOs, we also had 12 blocks. Our guys got after it on defense period. We fouled a good bit along the way which led to nearly 30 points from the stripe for them, but that is the way the game was being called. Huge statement win.

Agree with the spirit of this. Deny him the ball as much as possible, double him hard on ball screens, not just switching on a big. Force it out of his hands away from the bucket. He had a season high in assists against us last time, hurt us more there than shooting the three by far. He was taking advantage of the big switching on him, scoring on drives and creating for others. That is the primary adjustment we need to make. Last game at their place we were a stop and a bucket away from getting it on the road.

Obviously, the way that our guards defend Sears will be a major factor, but with Broome being in the top five player of the year rankings on KenPom, and Bama‘s lack of size, for us to win this game we’re gonna need a dominate in the paint.

Can we get this one on the road? If we do I think you will see the Auburn hype train start to pick up real steam from the casual observer. Bama can score and they play well at home, but Auburn is the better team. Bama can shoot the ball, one of the top scoring offenses in the game and in the league. They arent great at moving the ball though and rely a lot on possessions with 0 or no passes. I couldn't find a stat on it easily, but when I have watched them play, I recall a lot of possessions where the guards never give up the rock. This will put a lot of pressure on Aden, Tre, Jones and KD to force them to pass the ball. Sears is the guy. You know that guy, he's that guy. Need a bucket, need a three, need a drive, need to create, yeah he's that guy. Super tough player, smart player, plainly put, he's a problem. If we need must choose his weakness, it is that he is a little loose with the ball. He gets 3.8 assists a game to 2.33 turnovers. Combine that with him playing 30+ minutes a night and I think the formula to deal with him is to try and wear him down. Get up in him high and make him work all game long. I have not seen him have to work a lot with out the ball and don't think their group set up for him to work off the ball consistently. Estrada is a capable guard who can set up others at nearly 4 assits per game, but he also leads them in turnovers at 2.4 per. As a team they average 15 assist to 12 turnovers and if we want to get this one on the road, we need to force turnovers. We are top 50 at forcing 14 turnovers per game and we are ELITE at only allowing 0.681 assist/turnover (6th) in the country. I like the way we match up in this area, despite Sears being the best guard, maybe player, on the floor tomorrow night. Another area of interest to watch is fouls and blocked shots. Alabama starts a small ball lineup and brings some size off the bench, but do they have anyone that can guard Broome? Can our bigs contest shots without getting in foul trouble (on the road)? With the likely production from Sears, we will need to win the points in the paint to win this game on the road. Broome, Williams, Cardwell are all experienced and ready for this, is Chaney? He has been an up and down guy recently. Is he ready for the road in this rivalry and able to produce? I expect the whistle to force him to get some minutes, and I am concerned that he is not yet ready for it. If he steps up and gives us quality minutes it will be a huge factor in the game that won't show up on the stat sheet. Is Aden ready to face a guard like Sears? I don't think so. I think we need a big defensive game from Donaldson, or maybe Pearl puts Jones on Sears and Aden guards the 2 spot more. Will be interested to see how CBP rotates fresh guys on Sears throughout the night. One guy I look for to have big game if we want the win is CBM. His match up with Griffen will be one to watch, who gets the best of that one. CBM seems to be ready for the moment, but we will find out soon enough. CBP will have to make some adjustments to the rotations I expect. Bama plays some small lineups and if Nelson is giving Broome trouble on the perimeter, what is our adjustment? Can we punish Nelson in the paint on the other end and force him to play defense in the post? I feel like our guards are ready for the challenge. I feel like our depth is a major factor in this one. I think we get a close one on the road. Something like 78-75 good guys. Broome with a big game, Donaldson shows his value, and Jones steps up defensively. Will post more in this thread as the game approaches hopefully ... War Eagle!!!!

That was me. You are taking a stretch of games that would be a slump for him when compared to his career numbers and then comparing with a stretch where he has played well. Jaylin is going to Jaylin, that was my point. He isn't a different guy.

I'll be the first to lament on some of Moore's shortcomings. However, his role with the starters is a good fit and it allows CBM to come off the bench firing shots. It is working and I hope we leave it as is until it proves to be an issue.