I felt like getting a little philosophical so bear with me.
It is next to impossible to use past team performance to predict future team performance. Here is why....
A team can be broken down into 2 basic areas for prediction.
Quantitative numbers and incorporeal factors.
The FIRST consists of he numbers and stats. It is a decent starting point for future results. Including W-L record, returning players, total years playing together, new player experience, size, speed, power, etc.
The SECOND, intangibles, make the quantitative predictions less accurate and have almost as much effect. Things like, how motivated the team and each specific player is or still is. Team chemistry changes, coaching dynamics, changes in confidence, game planning changes, fan support, game day focus, understanding of the playbook, whatever it is that people call luck, etc. These can change for good or bad and happen to every team . We have no realistic way to track these.
MONKEY WRENCH! Now, with the NIL and the transfer portal, almost every team's roster changes year to year way more than before NIL and TP. So we don't even know how similar other teams will be to what they were the year before let alone our own.
A.I. would have a hard time accurately prediction a future outcome even if it had every stat possible. There are just to many variables that are not quantitative or even logical at times.
I am a firm believer that any team can beat any team on any given Saturday. It is rare a major underdog pulls it off, but it happens. Can you predict a single game outcome? Most of the time...IF the stats are skewed toward one team. Trying to predict a future season record is a random guess at best.
W's and L's come and go. ALL I ever ask of our team is to fight. Have good work ethic, be prepared and look organized. I can take a loss as long as we look competitive and competent. I get more irritated by barely winning a game we look totally incompetent during. I do not want to go back to the Chinese-fire-drill of the Gus days.
There is no shame in losing to a better team. The shame is in lack of preparation... Win or loss.