RASports 0 Posted August 29, 2005 Share Posted August 29, 2005 College Football Early Season Betting Strategies by Edward Golden (Handicapper.net) Revised August 17th, 2005 Uncertainty = Bad lines No major betting sport has as much year to year player and coaching staff turnover than college football. There are always several new head coaches, even more new coordinators, and most importantly hundreds and hundreds of new players. The average Division 1 school will return only slightly more than half of their 22 starters from the previous year. No one, not even coaches themselves, know exactly how their new players will perform in live game situations. No position is too important to escape the turnover. There will be just as many new quarterbacks seeing time this year as new centers, running backs, and safeties. JC transfers and freshman will be asked to fill major roles in their first year. Unknown backups that made huge strides in the off-season will be poised for stardom, while many others will disappoint. Meanwhile, new coaches will be implementing new schemes & strategies. New coordinators in particular can have a major effect on early season totals depending on their philosophies. It is this time of the season, namely the first three weeks, that the oddsmakers will have the most difficult time putting out accurate numbers. While it may be difficult to figure out which games are off, just being aware that these will be the weakest lines of the season can give you an advantage. Halftime Wagering Halftime Wagering is easily my favorite and most effective early season betting strategy. First, it is important to know how half-time lines are determined. They come from a combination of the original full game line and the first half score. Only in major television games does it matter what is actually happening in the game when it comes to the opening second half line. No sportsbook, or odds service for that matter, can keep an eye on what is going in every college game on a given Saturday. This allows handicappers an opportunity to have a significant advantage on the book in certain situations. Since many early season games are going to have a bad opening line to begin with, and the halftime line itself is partly determined from the opening line, it is a given that the second half lines will often be soft. It is a good idea to identify key unknowns before the game, such as the ability of a new quarterback or which team will control the line of scrimmage. Often times these question marks can be answered in the first half and enable you to make a much more informed decision on a second half wager than you were able to before the game. Often times you will need luck, such as a close halftime score despite one team clearly outplaying the other. It may take some time to get used to, but second half wagering can be very rewarding, particularly early on in the season. Right Angle Sports has been a pioneer in the sports service industry offering a live halftime play service since 2003. Visit www.handicapper.net for more info. More tips: Be sure to use a sportsbook that offers second half lines on all NCAA games and always use more than one book to shop for the best line. Because you are betting on a half and not a full game, ½ points and key numbers are even more significant than usual. Always get your plays in as early as possible because the lines move fast and early money is usually on the right side. Pinnacle, Olympic, 5Dimes, and CRIS are ideal for college sports halftime betting. Money Line Underdogs Every year with no exception there are going to be surprise teams and disappointing teams in college football. There are going to be upsets! If you like an underdog of 10 points or less, consider playing a portion of your wager on the money line. Split your wager in half for smaller spreads (5 or less) while putting 10-20% of your wager on the money line for the bigger spreads. Money line wagers have inherent value because teams are always trying to actually win the game, not cover a spread. This strategy is something to consider in all college underdog wagers, but even more so early on in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Streyeder 0 Posted August 29, 2005 Share Posted August 29, 2005 Interesting first post... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Tigrinum Major Posted August 30, 2005 Share Posted August 30, 2005 This guy registered at CrimsonTusks this afternoon also and posted the same info in his first post. They deleted it almost immediately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Streyeder 0 Posted August 30, 2005 Share Posted August 30, 2005 This guy registered at CrimsonTusks this afternoon also and posted the same info in his first post. They deleted it almost immediately. 176953[/snapback] Yea, the Name + Postcount + Article Type made me quite suspicious of the intent of the post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Points 2 Posted August 30, 2005 Share Posted August 30, 2005 Let him post what he wants...............don't you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DKW 86 7,441 Posted August 30, 2005 Share Posted August 30, 2005 Anyone stoopid enough to follow the lead here is an adult. I wish they would make a DONATION to AUNation first however.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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