Upon Further Review - Missouri Game

[StatTiger 3,188]

 

• Big plays and turnovers were the primary difference in the game. Only 35.1 percent of Auburn's offensive snaps netted at least 5-yards, while Missouri was 40.0 percent. Last week against Mercer, 47.5 percent of Auburn's snaps gained at least 5-yards. The offense is still not where they need to be in terms of consistency.

 

• During the first quarter this season Auburn has converted 58.8 pct of their 3rd downs on offense, while allowing only 16.7 pct on defense. During the third quarter Auburn has converted 50.0 pct, while allowing 14.3 percent. Great way to start each half.

 

• Coming into the Missouri game, Auburn began three possessions on the opponent's side of the field through 3 games. The Tigers had three such possessions against Missouri, scoring touchdowns on all three possessions.

 

• Through 4 games, 53.9 percent of Jarrett Stidham's pass attempts have been within 5-yards of the line of scrimmage. Last season Jeremy Johnson was 42.6 percent in an attempt to prevent him from throwing interceptions. Auburn needs to attack the intermediate range as their schedule becomes more challenging.

 

• Through 4 games, 57.5 percent of the combined carries by Pettway, Johnson and Martin have been for 3-yards or less. Last season through 4 games it was 48.5 percent.

 

• Auburn is currently averaging 4.8 yards per rush during the first half and only 3.5 yards per carry during the second half.

 

• Auburn's front-7 accounted for 41.7 percent of the team's tackles against Missouri. This was the lowest percentage for the season. The front-7 averaged 61.6 percent coming into the game.

 

• Auburn is currently averaging an impact play (15-yds or more) every 10.7 snaps. This ratio ranks 20th among the last 26 Auburn offenses (1992-2017). Impact play ratio is a good scale to judge the efficiency of an offense or defense.

 

• The Auburn defense is currently allowing a TD every 52.0 plays defended. This is the 5th best ratio by an Auburn defense from 1970-2017. The 2016 Auburn defense finished No. 11 on the list. There are plenty of games left to play but it is a solid start for the Tigers.

 

• Jarrett Stidham was 5 of 5 passing on first down for 166-yards and one touchdown. This gave him a passer rating of 444.9, the second best rating during the last 314 Auburn games on first down. His 33.2 yards per attempt on first down was the best during the same time frame.

 

• Auburn averaged over 4-yards more per play on first down than Missouri, marking the 37th time this happened from 1992-2017. Auburn is 34-2-1 during those 37 games with an average score of 41-13.

 

• Auburn is currently averaging a 10-yard run or better every 11.2 attempts. The worst ratio by a Malzahn-Auburn offense was 1 every 8.3 rush attempts during 2015. Auburn is currently No. 111 nationally in this statistical category.

 

• From 2009-2015, Auburn held 27.4 percent of the opponents to under 20 points. Under Kevin Steele, it has happened 76.4 percent of the time. Tommy Tuberville's teams from 2000-2007 were 63-7 in games the offense scored at least 20 points. The Malzahn-Steele combination is currently 10-0 when Auburn scores at least 20 points.

 

• Auburn is currently holding their opponent to 47.8 percent below their rushing average. This is the second best percentage from 1970-2017. Only the 1988 defense ranked higher.

 

• During Auburn's last 663 games, the Tigers have out-rushed their opponent by at least 100-yards on 248 occasions. Auburn won 95 percent of those games with a record of 233-12-3.

 

• From 1992-2017, Auburn averaged eleven impact plays (15 or more yards) during games the Tigers scored at least 45 points. Auburn had only six such plays against Missouri, while totaling 51 points. During the same time period, Auburn has won 82 percent of their games with at least 8 impact plays and 89 percent of their games with at least three plays of 30-yards or more. Big plays (30 or more yards) are great but do not occur as frequently as impact plays. There is normally two impact plays for each big play tallied.   

 

War Eagle!

[shabby 1,958]

It seems like the biggest areas of growth for Auburn are as follows:

1) Better Run blocking

2) Better Run Blocking

and

3) Better Run blocking

[3rdgeneration 6,469]

Thanks @StatTiger! Interesting read.  I learn something new every time.  

[1913-14 263]

In other words...don't let the victory over Mizzou get to your heads...nice win...but we have much work to do...

[ValleyTiger 2,894]

5 hours ago, shabby said:

It seems like the biggest areas of growth for Auburn are as follows:

1) Better Run blocking

2) Better Run Blocking

and

3) Better Run blocking

While that's very true, I still think we can do a better job calling run plays. Healthier #1 & #1A running backs wouldn't hurt either. I like what their doing with Stove, but incorporate guys like KMart and Barrett into those perimeter plays, too. Those two would be good for outside zone and buck sweeps.
 

[Auskip 196]

18 hours ago, shabby said:

It seems like the biggest areas of growth for Auburn are as follows:

1) Better Run blocking

2) Better Run Blocking

and

3) Better Run blocking

Yep

[looney 794]

I like big, comfortable wins where there are still *plenty* of teachable moments on film afterwards to drill into the kids.

The 1st string D should be upset they got lax and let in a TD against this team. We need them to keep that fire.

Offense - yeah - the scoreboard looks nice, but it really is all about that OLine dominance we're still not seeing (though closer this week than previous weeks).

[triangletiger 1,599]

20 hours ago, StatTiger said:

• From 1992-2017, Auburn averaged eleven impact plays (15 or more yards) during games the Tigers scored at least 45 points. Auburn had only six such plays against Missouri, while totaling 51 points. During the same time period, Auburn has won 82 percent of their games with at least 8 impact plays and 89 percent of their games with at least three plays of 30-yards or more. Big plays (30 or more yards) are great but do not occur as frequently as impact plays. There is normally two impact plays for each big play tallied.   

I think we can attribute a good bit of the margin of victory in the Missouri game to the turnovers. They gave us a short field to work with and, thus, less impact plays were needed to score.

[StatTiger 3,188]

1 hour ago, triangletiger said:

I think we can attribute a good bit of the margin of victory in the Missouri game to the turnovers. They gave us a short field to work with and, thus, less impact plays were needed to score.

Auburn’s ratio was 10.7 before the Missouri game so it was already an issue. It has been an issue after the 2014 season.

[ToomersStreet 795]

7 hours ago, triangletiger said:

I think we can attribute a good bit of the margin of victory in the Missouri game to the turnovers. They gave us a short field to work with and, thus, less impact plays were needed to score.

I think we  can attribute a good bit of the margin of victory in the Missouri game to the fact that Missouri flat out sucks and is the worst team in the conference.

Edited September 25, 2017 by ToomersStreet

[Beaker 2,457]

From 1992-2017, Auburn averaged eleven impact plays (15 or more yards) during games the Tigers scored at least 45 points. Auburn had only six such plays against Missouri, while totaling 51 points

 

This concerns me.  We could only manufacture 6 impact plays against one of the worst D's in the conference?   Gus usually gets tight and conservative against tougher competition.   This trend of his needs to change this season....

Thanks StatTiger!

Edited September 27, 2017 by Beaker