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Capitol One Bowl Prediction


StatTiger

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Defensive averages and margins

Wisconsin Badgers:

For the season, Wisconsin is allowing +13 yards rushing, than what their opponents were averaging for the season. They are allowing +18 yards more passing than what their opponents were averaging for the season. This totals to +31 yards more than what their opponents were averaging on the season.

The Badgers faced off with five D1 opponents with winning records. Here are the margins against the “quality teams”:

+54 yards rushing and –28 yards passing than their opponent’s season average, or +26 total yards more than what their opponent’s averaged. The better running teams had success running against the Badgers.

Auburn is currently averaging 204 on the ground and 223 through the air. Based on the Badgers yardage margins, Auburn should rush for 217 to 258 yards and pass for 195 to 241 yards against the Badgers. This would be 412-499 yards in total offense.

Auburn Tigers:

For the season, Auburn is allowing -36 yards rushing, than what their opponents were averaging for the season. They are allowing -2 yards less passing than what their opponents were averaging for the season. This totals to -38 yards less than what their opponents were averaging on the season.

The Tigers faced off with five D1 opponents with winning records. Here are the margins against the “quality teams”:

-31 yards rushing and –23 yards passing than their opponent’s season average, or -54 total yards less than what their opponent’s averaged. Auburn is actually playing better against their tougher opponents.

Wisconsin is currently averaging 162 yards on the ground and 222 through the air. Based on Auburn’s defensive yardage margins, Wisconsin should rush for 126 to 131 yards and pass for 199 to 220 yards against the Tigers. This would factor out to 325 to 351 yards in total offense.

Edge: Auburn

Offensive Averages and Margins:

Wisconsin Badgers:

For the season, the Badgers are rushing for –7 yards less than what their opponents have surrendered for the season. The Badgers are also passing for –15 yards less than what their opponent’s have allowed for the season. This is an average of –22 yards in total offense than what their opponents have given up per game.

Against their five opponents with winning records, the Badgers are rushing for –52 yards less than what their opponents have given up on the ground. They are passing for +7 yards more than what their opponents have allowed. This would be –45 yards less in total offense than what their opponents have surrendered.

Auburn’s defense is allowing 104 rushing and 190 passing per game. Based on Wisconsin’s season margins, they should rush for 52 to 97 yards and pass for 175 to 197 yards. This would equate to 227 to 294 yards in total offense.

Auburn Tigers:

For the season, the Tigers are rushing for +62 yards more than what their opponents have surrendered for the season. The Tigers are passing for +28 yards more than what their opponent’s have allowed for the season. This is an average of +90 yards in total offense than what their opponents have given up per game.

Against their five opponents with winning records, the Tigers are rushing for +37 yards more than what their opponents have given up on the ground. They are passing for +68 yards more than what their opponents have allowed. This would be +105 yards more in total offense than what their opponents have surrendered.

Wisconsin’s defense is allowing 173 rushing and 259 passing per game. Based on Auburn’s season margins, they should rush for 210 to 235 yards and pass for 287 to 327 yards. This would equate to 497 to 562 yards in total offense.

Edge: Auburn

Scoring Margin:

Auburn is +11 on offense and -6 on defense with an average score of 34-15, excluding the D1AA game.

Wisconsin is +6 on offense and -2 on defense with an average score of 35-25.

Based on both team's scoring margins, Auburn wins 32-21 or 36-29 with an average score of 34-25. I have us favored by 9.

Special Teams ( National Rankings ):

Punt Returns:

Wisconsin: 9th / Auburn 80th :(

Kick Returns:

Auburn: 2nd :big: / Wisconsin 71st

Punt Return Defense:

Wisconsin: 64th / Auburn 81st

Kick Return Defense:

Wisconsin: 33rd / Auburn 69th

Net Punting:

Wisconsin: 12th / Auburn 15th

FG Pct:

Wisconsin 70.6% / Auburn 57.9%

Edge: Wisconsin

**Note**

It could rain like crazy and really screw everything up... :roflol:

:au::football::cheer:

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I'm not too worried about Auburn's punt coverage or their punt return game - sounds like Auburn won't have to punt very often.

Of course, I also don't think we'll have much chance to flaunt that kickoff return unit either, since they won't be scoring much.

Now, if "Dr. Tre" can just hang on to all those punts...............

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