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Georgia @ Auburn Advanced Box Score


southern_sports

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Tough, tough loss. Too many dropped passes and mistakes plagued Auburn pretty much all day. Third downs on offense and defense is what ultimately beat Auburn at the end of the day. Georgia was able to convert theirs and Auburn was not. Despite all that, there's nothing to hang your head about if you're Auburn. Overall, the metrics say Auburn didn't play all that well but almost pulled it off! I really think CFH made some tweaks that will only help Auburn going forward. There's still a lot to play for.

 

 

Analyzing the advanced box score reveals the strengths and weaknesses of both teams. Georgia excelled in offensive efficiency, converting most of their third downs, which proved crucial. Despite Auburn's lower performance in various metrics, they remained just a few plays away from victory, showcasing their resilience and the support of their home crowd.

 

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Georgia recorded 6 explosive plays, largely thanks to Brock Bowers, while Auburn had none. Auburn demonstrated some success running the ball, which bodes well for their future. However, the lack of explosive plays hindered both teams' offenses, resulting in negative double-digit EPA without Explosive Plays.

 

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The Tigers struggled in the passing game, while Beck made critical throws in the second half that challenged Auburn's defense. While Auburn showed promise in running the ball, improving their passing game is essential for consistent success in the SEC.

 

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Georgia's defense recorded 3 sacks and 3 tackles for loss, while Auburn created more Havoc Plays and tackles for loss, highlighting the strength of Georgia's offensive line.

 

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Ultimately, the game boiled down to Auburn's inability to finish drives compared to Georgia's efficiency in doing so. Utilizing Bill Connelly's 5 Factors to Winning to assess this game, Georgia emerged victorious in the most critical aspects, including Efficiency, Offensive Explosiveness, Field Position, and Finishing Drives. The turnover battle ended in a draw.

 

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Auburn had an 83.8% chance of winning the game the play before Payton Thorne got sacked in the third quarter at the Georgia 35. Truly a game of inches.

 

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2 hours ago, southern_sports said:

Georgia recorded 6 explosive plays, largely thanks to Brock Bowers, while Auburn had none

Curious; what is the criteria for an explosive play?

Wouldn’t the 61 yard run by Thorne be considered explosive?

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23 hours ago, southern_sports said:

Tough, tough loss. Too many dropped passes and mistakes plagued Auburn pretty much all day. Third downs on offense and defense is what ultimately beat Auburn at the end of the day. Georgia was able to convert theirs and Auburn was not. Despite all that, there's nothing to hang your head about if you're Auburn. Overall, the metrics say Auburn didn't play all that well but almost pulled it off! I really think CFH made some tweaks that will only help Auburn going forward. There's still a lot to play for.

 

 

Analyzing the advanced box score reveals the strengths and weaknesses of both teams. Georgia excelled in offensive efficiency, converting most of their third downs, which proved crucial. Despite Auburn's lower performance in various metrics, they remained just a few plays away from victory, showcasing their resilience and the support of their home crowd.

 

https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.ama

 

Georgia recorded 6 explosive plays, largely thanks to Brock Bowers, while Auburn had none. Auburn demonstrated some success running the ball, which bodes well for their future. However, the lack of explosive plays hindered both teams' offenses, resulting in negative double-digit EPA without Explosive Plays.

 

https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.ama

 

The Tigers struggled in the passing game, while Beck made critical throws in the second half that challenged Auburn's defense. While Auburn showed promise in running the ball, improving their passing game is essential for consistent success in the SEC.

 

https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.ama

 

Georgia's defense recorded 3 sacks and 3 tackles for loss, while Auburn created more Havoc Plays and tackles for loss, highlighting the strength of Georgia's offensive line.

 

https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.ama

 

Ultimately, the game boiled down to Auburn's inability to finish drives compared to Georgia's efficiency in doing so. Utilizing Bill Connelly's 5 Factors to Winning to assess this game, Georgia emerged victorious in the most critical aspects, including Efficiency, Offensive Explosiveness, Field Position, and Finishing Drives. The turnover battle ended in a draw.

 

https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.ama

Auburn had an 83.8% chance of winning the game the play before Payton Thorne got sacked in the third quarter at the Georgia 35. Truly a game of inches.

 

Hmm...at least we blitzed creatively and got that havoc rate up. It almost worked. 

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21 hours ago, I_M4_AU said:

Curious; what is the criteria for an explosive play?

Wouldn’t the 61 yard run by Thorne be considered explosive?

My mistake. Yes, we had 4 explosive rushing plays but 0 explosive passing plays according to the box score.

There is no set criteria for an explosive play. It's usually 20+ yards for passing and 12+ for rushing.

I get this data from Game On Paper which uses the ESPN stats for their data. They define explosive of >2.4 EPA/play for passing and >1.8 EPA//play.

It's really up to you how you define it though. I use the 20 and 12 yard as my threshold.

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53 minutes ago, HAPvsOA said:

Hmm...at least we blitzed creatively and got that havoc rate up. It almost worked. 

Yep. Our secondary helped a ton with that.

I know it's hindsight, but it would be interesting to see what would've happened if we ran the ball more. I think we will rush more as the season goes along. I expect the QB play to improve, but I think we can have success running the ball.

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25 minutes ago, southern_sports said:

I expect the QB play to improve

The QB play can’t get much worse, except for maybe turnovers. Hopefully there’s nowhere to go but up.

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8 hours ago, AUINSY said:

The QB play can’t get much worse, except for maybe turnovers. Hopefully there’s nowhere to go but up.

QB play has a lot to do with really bad receivers in the Georgia game. I think that's our most pressing problem on offense at this point. 

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1 hour ago, aucom96 said:

QB play has a lot to do with really bad receivers in the Georgia game. I think that's our most pressing problem on offense at this point. 

Way too many dropped passes in my opinion. I read where Thorne slammed the door after the press conference. I know he had to be frustrated. 

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Thorne had every right to be frustrated. I’m sure he can’t wait until we get some decent to good receivers in here.

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