DKW 86 7,425 Posted September 11, 2006 Share Posted September 11, 2006 http://www.kiva.net/~jsagarin/sports/cfsend.htm 1 Southern California A = 99.82 2 Ohio State A = 95.65 3 Notre Dame A = 91.00 4 LSU A = 90.08 SOS 128 5 Auburn A = 89.52 SOS 72 6 Virginia Tech A = 89.47 7 Georgia A = 89.25 8 Tennessee A = 88.23 9 Pittsburgh A = 87.98 10 Boise State A = 87.15 Factor in a 2-3 point homefield advantage and we have the 2.5 point pick for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Proud Tiger 4,261 Posted September 11, 2006 Share Posted September 11, 2006 Much more important to note is that it says the ELO Chess (numbers in red) will be used for the BCS input. This has: 1. USC 2. OSU 3. ND 4. Oklahoma 5. Ga. 6. Tenn. 7. Auburn 8. Pitt 9. Va. Tech 10. Oregon Wow!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheeltiger 0 Posted September 11, 2006 Share Posted September 11, 2006 Even more important is to remember that this is a Bayesian statistical model and right now there is not a significant sample size or sample quality for this to be accurate. As they season plays out and the realtive worth of each victory presents itself the rating should increase in accuracy, though precision is of much debate. Because of the flaws mentioned a poll (statistical analysis) of this nature is not valid at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tgr4lfe 220 Posted September 11, 2006 Share Posted September 11, 2006 Even more important is to remember that this is a Bayesian statistical model and right now there is not a significant sample size or sample quality for this to be accurate. As they season plays out and the realtive worth of each victory presents itself the rating should increase in accuracy, though precision is of much debate. Because of the flaws mentioned a poll (statistical analysis) of this nature is not valid at this time. Crap I don't think it has value at any time!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Blubber head can makes changes at any time during the season to tweek some Pac 10 or Big 10 teams SOS or what ever to make it fit what he wants. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aucanucktiger 1,794 Posted September 12, 2006 Share Posted September 12, 2006 This is the guy w/ a Tasmanian's knowledge of American football who retroactively awarded a couple national championships to Bama he reasoned they "statistically deserved." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Proud Tiger 4,261 Posted September 12, 2006 Share Posted September 12, 2006 Crap I don't think it has value at any time!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Blubber head can makes changes at any time during the season to tweek some Pac 10 or Big 10 teams SOS or what ever to make it fit what he wants. Exactly and as I (and others) pointed out on another thread, Sagarin is a bama grad and homer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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