Alabama gaga over overrated Saban

[DKW 86 7,440]

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/20220603/

Alabama gaga over overrated Saban

Crimson Tide pinning national title dreams on good — not great — coach

Nick Saban’s arrival at Alabama is being treated in these parts like the second-coming of Paul “Bear” Bryant.

By Cary Estes

MSNBC contributor

Updated: 4:01 p.m. CT Aug 11, 2007

BIRMINGHAM, Ala. - In the midst of the wall-to-wall maelstrom that was the 2007 Southeastern Conference Football Media Days, a horde of television cameramen and print photographers jostled for position in an attempt to capture the most important image from the event.

Suddenly, they thought they saw the object of their fixation crossing the room, surrounded by a smaller group of photographers. Cameras were raised in anticipation. Dozens of sneaker-clad feet shuffled to find the perfect location. Finally, at long last, the big moment had arrived.

Then, just as suddenly, the cameras were lowered and a soft muttering could be heard. The man walking toward them was not the person they wanted. It was not Nick Saban, the new head football coach at the University of Alabama.

And so the waiting continued for the disappointed photographers, as they watched Urban Meyer stroll past instead.

As in, Florida head coach Urban Meyer. As in, the leader of college football’s defending national champions. As in, the man who has the highest winning percentage (.836) among active Division I-A coaches not named Pete Carroll.

On this day in late July, however, that resume was not good enough. On this day, the coach who had the No. 1 team in the land just seven months earlier had to settle for being a distant No. 2 in terms of attention.

Welcome to the world of Nick Saban. Or, as it says on a popular T-shirt in Alabama, Sabanation.

The citizens of Alabama never have been rational when it comes to college football, but the state has gone absolutely Lindsey Lohan over the arrival of Saban from his forgettable stint with the Miami Dolphins. How else to explain an overflow crowd of more than 92,000 showing up for the Crimson Tide’s spring game this year? Even by Alabama standards, that’s nuts.

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The Crimson Tide went 6-7 last season and has not won a national championship in 15 years. Yet a number of Alabama fans truly expect Saban to have a 10-victory team this season and be in the BCS title game within three years. And those are the rational fans.

There is no need for Tide fans to roll out the red carpet for Saban, because in their mind, he walks several feet off the ground anyway. Upon his initial arrival in Tuscaloosa, one exuberant woman at the airport grabbed Saban around the neck and kissed his cheek. Children are being told stories about the wonderful Saint Nick that have nothing to do with Christmas.

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Meanwhile, the state media breathlessly documents Saban’s every move, including how many bathrooms there are in his new $3 million home (5½). Cross-state rival Auburn, which currently boasts a five-game winning steak against the Tide, has been an afterthought. During his session with the print reporters at SEC Media Days, Auburn coach Tommy Tuberville endured a five-question stretch in which four of the inquiries were about Saban.

Tuberville shrugged it all off by saying, “We’ve had success, won games. … If you’ve got that kind of going for you, you really don’t need a lot of publicity.”

Tuberville might as well feel that way, because for now, it’s all Saban all the time. After watching their beloved Tide blow through four coaches in seven years — including Mike Price’s brief five-month stop in Tuscaloosa — the Alabama faithful have thrown all their hopes and dreams behind the man in the Panama hat.

The question is, why are Alabama fans so enamored with Saban? He is certainly a very good coach, with a national championship ring to prove it. Tuberville can’t say the same (although he did lead Auburn to a perfect 13-0 record in 2004).

But Saban’s arrival is being treated in these parts like the second-coming of Paul “Bear” Bryant. Or at least Gene Stallings. You would think from the reaction that Alabama had landed one of the two or three best college coaches in the nation, a perception that simply is not backed up by the numbers.

Saban’s career record in 11 seasons as a college head coach (five at LSU, five at Michigan State and one at Toledo) is 91-42-1, meaning he has won 68 percent of his games. In his own conference, that places him behind Meyer, Georgia’s Mark Richt (.782), Tennessee’s Phillip Fulmer (.770) and South Carolina’s Steve Spurrier (.756).

Among coaches across the nation, Saban also is behind such notables as Bob Stoops at Oklahoma, Lloyd Carr at Michigan, Jim Tressel at Ohio State and Mack Brown at Texas. His winning percentage even trails that of Navy’s Bob Johnson (.739).

The fact is, Saban has won more than nine games in a season only twice. His record during his first four seasons at Michigan State was 25-22-1. He went 8-5 during his third season at LSU. It is hard to imagine Alabama fans who are thinking national championship by year No. 3 being happy with 8-5.

And perhaps most importantly, Saban’s record against Auburn when he was at LSU was a mere 2-3.

Again, none of this is to suggest that Saban is a bad coach. Far from it. He is unquestionably one of the better coaches in college football today.

What is questionable is whether his record indicates that he is worth all the hoopla and the moolah ($32 million over eight years). Alabama officials wanted Saban so badly they agreed to a contract that does not include a buyout clause should he decide to leave, which is certainly a possibility considering he has changed teams three times in the past seven years.

Yes, Saban has won a national championship, but a number of coaches have a single title to their credit. Winning multiple championships is a rarity, especially these days. Despite his years of national success while at Florida, Spurrier managed only one title. Lou Holtz, Vince Dooley and John Robinson are among the coaching greats who were one-and-done when it came to national championships. The legendary Bo Schembechler never won a title, and Frank Beamer is still without one.

Since the beginning of the BCS in 1998, the only coaches to pick up a second championship are Bobby Bowden (who won his first in 1993) and Carroll (who shared the title with Saban’s LSU team in 2003 and then won it outright in 2004).

What this means is if Saban ends up with multiple championship rings, he will go down as one of the greatest coaches in the history of the sport. And to this point, there is nothing in his record to indicate that he will reach such lofty heights.

Good? Without a doubt. Great? Possibly. But one of the best ever? That remains to be seen.

Cary Estes is a contributor to MSNBC.com and a freelance writer based in Birmingham, Ala.

[quietfan 233]

Hey, the higher the UAT expectations...err, FANTASIES...climb, the more fun it will be watching the rapid descent and abrupt stop when they're brought down to earth again! $4 Mill a year buys a lot of good comedy.

My favorite part of this was the comparison of Saban to Lou Holtz in the "one-and-done" line.

[CircleDrill 178]

I can't wait for the Iron Bowl.

[WarTim 3,457]

I hope this "reporter" has brick proof windows............