AU 10 pt favorite vs Miss St

[boomstick 1,315]

I think the number is about right. I figured it would open around 8-9, depending on how much home field advantage we're given. I don't think State is as good or as bad as their last two performances.  Right now at most Vegas books it's 9.5 and offshore books the number is 9. Also looks like about 55% of the tickets are on State right now (according to vegasinsider), which would make sense given the line has moved slightly in their favor.

There could be some inflation here by Vegas to encourage betting on the favorite hoping to catch some square money on Auburn just based on State's and Auburn's last performances. I don't think it's much though. If the public continues to back State and the number gets around 8.5, I'll like our chances. If a lot of steam comes on State and that number gets down to 7-7.5, I'd be a little worried. We should be able to control the LOS on both sides and force Fitz to beat us throwing the ball, which I'm not sure he can do. I like us to win, not so much ATS.