RunInRed 16,528 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 So there's a chance ... Favorites to win the East:@Vol_Football - 69%Favorites to win the West:@AlabamaFTBL - 60%ESPN FPI predictions heading into Week 5. pic.twitter.com/rn2YQKVyLE— SEC Network (@SECNetwork) September 28, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
api1957 1,783 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 6 minutes ago, RunInRed said: So there's a chance ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerOne 1,159 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 boy the SEC is not good this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShocksMyBrain 9,389 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 42 minutes ago, api1957 said: My immediate thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lionheartkc 6,150 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 So, basically, A&M has to beat bama, but lose to Tennessee and Ole Miss, and we need to win out. Stranger things have happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icanthearyou 4,464 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 10 minutes ago, lionheartkc said: So, basically, A&M has to beat bama, but lose to Tennessee and Ole Miss, and we need to win out. Stranger things have happened. Not sure that is correct. I don't think it matters whether or not they beat bama. We need them to lose two conference games if we win out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lionheartkc 6,150 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 4 minutes ago, icanthearyou said: Not sure that is correct. I don't think it matters whether or not they beat bama. We need them to lose two conference games if we win out. You're right... if we win out, bama only needs to lose to us. I was thinking everyone needed to lose 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgufcm 4,107 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 Bama losing two is irrelevant if we win out. If both teams won out until the Iron Bowl AND A&M lost one other (non-Bama) game, the Iron Bowl would be winner take all. Assuming we won, both teams would finish 7-1 with us owning the tiebreaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charhair 345 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 Pretty much the same scenerio as 2013 after the LSU game minus the players Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lca408 366 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 Pretty sure that's going to happen anyway with A&M losing two down the stretch. Bammer is unlikely to lose more than 1 game before the Iron Bowl and I'd put money on that potential loss being in Knoxville more than in Tuscaloosa hosting A&M. I figure if we do find a way to win out, we'd likely still be in control of our own destiny by the time we head to Tuscaloosa, just like in 2013. That's one hell of a big IF though and right now, I'm not sure even the most blinded sunshine pumper would be comfortable making that pick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SumterAubie 3,033 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 <Laughs> And here I am worried about Auburn getting by Monroe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToraGirl 5,498 Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 5 hours ago, api1957 said: That is EXACTLY what I envisioned before scrolling to see your post! Well done! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dual-Threat Rigby 8,819 Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 If by some miracle, A&M lost 2 games, and we had the opportunity to hand Alabama it's first L of the year to make Atlanta, that'd be pretty damn incredible I'd think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SphyNxXx 96 Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 43 minutes ago, Dual-Threat Rigby said: If by some miracle, A&M lost 2 games, and we had the opportunity to hand Alabama it's first L of the year to make Atlanta, that'd be pretty damn incredible I'd think Under Sumlin, A&M is usually good for a couple late season drops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rednilla 5,401 Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 1 hour ago, Dual-Threat Rigby said: If by some miracle, A&M lost 2 games, and we had the opportunity to hand Alabama it's first L of the year to make Atlanta, that'd be pretty damn incredible I'd think Would indeed be pretty danged awesome, if you ask me...that would put us center stage vs. (probably) Tennessee for a shot at the playoffs. Hey, it could happen. The offense has improved from each Power 5 opponent to the next thus far, so I'm not putting it past them, but they have to find a way to consistently punch the ball into the end zone, as well as establishing a reliable spark plug to produce big plays. And it could come from a number of places. Much as I love the way Sean White has been leading the team, a part of me wants to see Woody Barrett step to the plate now and start producing. I can only imagine the shiver running down the spine of the college football world if Gus were to find a dual threat QB who could run his offense, considering the defense we're putting on the field this year... But yeah, stepping away from fantasy island, I don't think it's at all ridiculous to think we could be 9-3 at the end of the season, so long as the offense solves its red zone issues. We moved the ball well against a quality defense last Saturday, and if we had been near the national average for RZ TD efficiency, we would have scored four TDs; if we keep the same RZ scoring percentage, that add two field goals (one from inside the RZ, one from outside), which is 34 points. If the offense produces 34 points in every game for the rest of the season, it's hard for me to imagine losing more than two more games. Now, it's going to take some major strides from the offensive line before I believe we have a somewhat reasonable shot at upsetting Bama in T-town, and Ole Miss in Oxford is looking mighty tough at the moment, as well, but IF the offense figures out the red zone, I think 8-4 is conservative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WDE Matty 30 Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 Never Say never! Why is Arkansas ' chances so low? They only lost 1 game ? And they're regular non conference is SC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keesler 5,932 Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 2 hours ago, WDE Matty said: Never Say never! Why is Arkansas ' chances so low? They only lost 1 game ? And they're regular non conference is SC? Yeah, I don't understand that either. But the next month of football will sort out both divisions pretty well. At this point, it looks like we have just as much of a chance to win the West as Mizzou has of winning the East. There are only 3 SEC teams with 4-0 records right now, a ton of 2-2's and I haven't seen a really solid/well rounded team yet. So every team will get better and make strides over the next few weeks, including AU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aucanucktiger 1,805 Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 ESPN being the primary source, I'll go out on a limb and guess there's a LOT of subjective input behind these current predictions (e.g. Danny Kennel thinks _____). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcgufcm 4,107 Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 I think the projection/percentages are based solely on statistical odds of winning each game, which is likely based on ESPN's FPI formula + calculations for home/away/neutral sites. There's no way they're giving percentages based on commentary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JwgreDeux 1,279 Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 If A&M were to lose to Bama and us beat Bama would'nt there be a three way tie in the West. With all having the same conference and divisional record I believe the tie breaker would come down to the combined conference record of each teams non-divisional opponents. I have projected those records out and here are the results: A&M plays South Carolina and Tenn with a projected combined conference record of 7-9 Bama plays Kentucky and Tenn with a projected combined conference record of 7-9 We play Vandy and Georgia with a projected combined conference record of 6-10 That has Tenn winning the East with their only losses to A&M and Bama, so we need to route for Vandy and Georgia in addition to our Tigers. PS. you will notice that Bama and A&M are still tied, their tie would then be broken by head to head and Bama would go to the SEC title game in this huge hypothetical. Although this was strangely fun, there is a lot of ball left to be played. Let's beat ULM this weekend and see where this season goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AUpreacherman22 3,892 Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 Exactly! A&M losing two is very likely. They are still A&M. Us winning out is where we need the miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lionheartkc 6,150 Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 1 hour ago, AUpreacherman22 said: Exactly! A&M losing two is very likely. They are still A&M. Us winning out is where we need the miracle. Good thing Auburn specializes in miracles in our great seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tigerbrotha12 2,362 Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 Currently, if we win out, and A&M loses 2 SEC games, we win the west. A&M still has to play Bama, Ole Miss, LSU, Tennessee, and a few others. If we get hot, there's definitely a possibility of a west championship. Let's see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WDE Matty 30 Posted September 29, 2016 Share Posted September 29, 2016 I hope we gel, Bama and the rest falter, and we're the Phoenix rising from the ashes! And Paul Finrbaum chokes on his vomit, his vocal chords are ruined and he can no longer speak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charhair 345 Posted September 30, 2016 Share Posted September 30, 2016 11 hours ago, JwgreDeux said: If A&M were to lose to Bama and us beat Bama would'nt there be a three way tie in the West. With all having the same conference and divisional record I believe the tie breaker would come down to the combined conference record of each teams non-divisional opponents. I have projected those records out and here are the results: A&M plays South Carolina and Tenn with a projected combined conference record of 7-9 Bama plays Kentucky and Tenn with a projected combined conference record of 7-9 We play Vandy and Georgia with a projected combined conference record of 6-10 That has Tenn winning the East with their only losses to A&M and Bama, so we need to route for Vandy and Georgia in addition to our Tigers. PS. you will notice that Bama and A&M are still tied, their tie would then be broken by head to head and Bama would go to the SEC title game in this huge hypothetical. Although this was strangely fun, there is a lot of ball left to be played. Let's beat ULM this weekend and see where this season goes. it would be a fun scenerio, especially if we could come out on top of it. It would also be interesting to see if a one loss SEC team who doesn't make it to the SEC championship could still get a playoff bid. I don't know if that's possible in the play off system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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